CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao 11/07/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao starts with the gap in league position and the teams’ contrasting recent results. This La Liga Matchday 12 game is set for Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 12:30 p.m. local time at El Sadar. Osasuna sit 15th with 11 points, while Athletic are seventh on 15 points and arrive after a 2-1 win over Real Sociedad. Osasuna’s most recent league outing was a 2-1 loss away to Deportivo La Coruña.

The season numbers suggest Athletic have been more productive in attack: they have scored 14 goals in 10 league games, or 1.40 per game, compared with Osasuna’s 11 in 11, exactly 1.00 per game. Athletic have also taken 149 shots across 11 matches, about 13.5 per game; Osasuna have 118, or 10.7 per game. Possession percentages are not included in the supplied statistics, so we won’t guess at them. The available shot and scoring data, plus Athletic’s stronger recent run, inform our picks below. The listed American odds are market prices, not guarantees, and can change before kickoff.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao to Win — +105

Athletic are the pick on the moneyline. They have four league wins to Osasuna’s three despite playing one fewer match, and their 14 goals scored compare favorably with Osasuna’s 11. Athletic’s last-five all-competition record is 3-1-1, while Osasuna’s is 2-0-3. The away side’s league road record is not dominant, so this is not a risk-free play, but the stronger overall form makes Athletic at +105 an appealing price.

Both Teams to Score: No — -115

Osasuna’s scoring rate is only 1.00 goal per league game, and Athletic have allowed 10 goals in 10 league matches. That points toward a game where the visitors can control the key moments without both teams necessarily finding the net. The risk is Osasuna’s home support and their ability to make El Sadar uncomfortable. Still, the market’s “No” option at BetMGM Sportsbook is our selection at -115.

Over 2.5 Goals — +110

This is the more aggressive of the three picks. Osasuna’s recent results include some high-scoring games, and Athletic have shown they can contribute several goals when their attack clicks. The season averages alone are more restrained, so the over relies on the teams’ ability to turn chances into goals rather than simply their typical scoring pace. For bettors seeking a higher-return angle, Over 2.5 at +110 is a reasonable, higher-variance option.

Team Statistics

Osasuna: Home Edge, but Results Need to Improve

Osasuna enter Matchday 12 in 15th place with 11 points from 11 matches: three wins, two ties, and six losses. Their league record is a 27% win rate and a 55% loss rate. The team has scored 11 goals (1.00 per game) and conceded 22 (2.00 per game), leaving a -11 goal differential. At El Sadar, they have been more competitive, with two wins, two ties, and one loss. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Osasuna are 2-0-3, including a 6-0 cup win and the latest 2-1 league loss to Deportivo La Coruña.

Athletic Bilbao: Better Momentum and a Higher League Position

Athletic are seventh with 15 points from 10 league games, having recorded four wins, three ties, and three losses. That translates to a 40% win rate and a 30% loss rate. They have scored 14 goals, or 1.40 per game, and conceded 10, also averaging 1.00 per game. Their away league record is one win, one tie, and two losses, a caution against treating the visitors as a sure thing. Still, Athletic’s 3-1-1 run over their last five all-competition matches includes a 2-1 home win over Real Sociedad.

Latest Odds Boosts

🏈 Derrick Henry 70+ Rush Yards & TD on 11/5 + 210

Ends in

Expired

Must be 21 or older to gamble. Know When To Stop Before You Start®.Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER Caesars Sportsbook is committed to supporting Responsible Gaming.

🏈 Jakobi Meyers 3+ Receptions & TD on 11/5 + 425

Ends in

Expired

Must be 21 or older to gamble. Know When To Stop Before You Start®.Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER Caesars Sportsbook is committed to supporting Responsible Gaming.

Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors

Athletic’s season shot volume stands out: 149 attempts across 11 matches, roughly 13.5 per game, compared with Osasuna’s 118, or about 10.7. Athletic have also won 51.26% of their duels, while Osasuna’s figure is 49.16%. Those margins support the away-side lean, though Osasuna’s home record of two wins, two ties, and one loss is a meaningful counterpoint. Osasuna coach Luis Miguel Ramis will want his team to turn home advantage into a more reliable defensive performance after conceding 22 goals in 11 league games. Athletic coach Edin Terzić has a recent derby win to build on. No possession figures are provided here, so the preview does not assign either team a possession edge.

Last Direct Match: CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

The most recent meeting ended 1-0 to Athletic Bilbao at home. That result gives the visitors a recent head-to-head success, but one match alone is not enough to determine Saturday’s outcome.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Osasuna: 2 wins, 0 ties, 3 losses. Athletic Bilbao: 3 wins, 1 tie, 1 loss. Osasuna’s last match was a 2-1 away loss to Deportivo La Coruña; Athletic’s was a 2-1 home win over Real Sociedad.

Performance

CA Osasuna

Last games

CA Osasuna performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

0%

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

40%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our main pick is Athletic Bilbao to win at +105, based on their higher league standing, stronger recent form, and superior scoring and shot averages. We also lean toward Both Teams to Score: No at -115, with Osasuna’s modest 1.00-goal-per-game league average supporting that angle. Over 2.5 goals at +110 is the higher-risk alternative, driven by the possibility that Athletic’s attack and Osasuna’s recent scorelines produce a more open game. Compare soccer betting odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks, including FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook, and keep your stake within your budget.