Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna 11/02/2026 Soccer Prediction
Our soccer betting prediction for the match Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna focuses on the home side’s edge at Riazor, while accounting for Osasuna’s poor away record and the possibility of goals. This La Liga Matchday 11 game is set for Monday, November 2, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. ET (8:00 p.m. UTC). Both teams have 11 points, but Deportivo sit 11th with a 2-5-3 record and a level goal difference, while Osasuna are 12th after going 3-2-5 and conceding 20 goals in 10 matches. That works out to averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 allowed per game for Deportivo, compared with 1.0 scored and 2.0 allowed for Osasuna.
Deportivo’s season totals show 120 shots across 10 games, or 12 per match; Osasuna have taken 107, or 10.7 per game. Those figures suggest the hosts can generate pressure, though neither side’s shot total alone guarantees a high-scoring afternoon. Deportivo have gone winless in their last five across all competitions, while Osasuna arrive after a 6-0 away win over Atlético Calatayud. The contrast between Deportivo’s home setting and Osasuna’s 1-0-4 away record shapes our picks. The odds below are listed in American format and can move before kickoff.
Our 3 betting predictions for Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna
1. Deportivo La Coruña to win (+115)
Deportivo are our 1X2 pick at +115 with BetMGM Sportsbook. They have only one home win so far, but their 1-3-1 record at Riazor is more encouraging than Osasuna’s 1-0-4 away mark. The visitors have allowed 17 goals in five road games, an average of 3.4 per match, and that defensive record gives the hosts a route to three points. We estimate Deportivo’s win chance at about 43%, with the tie near 29% and an Osasuna win around 28%. Our lean is a narrow home win.
2. Both teams not to score: No (-125)
Our second pick is -125 on both teams not to score, listed as “No” in the market. Deportivo have scored 13 times in 10 league games, but their top-end output has been inconsistent, and Osasuna’s recent results have varied sharply. The visitors’ 2.0 goals conceded per game is a concern, yet Deportivo’s recent spell without a win and the uncertainty around their attack make a one-sided scoreline plausible. We put the chance of at least one team being held scoreless at roughly 55%. Check the final lineups before placing a wager.
3. Over 2.5 goals (+120)
For a goals-market alternative, we like Over 2.5 at +120. Osasuna’s defense has been vulnerable, especially away from home, and Deportivo may find chances in front of their own crowd. The concern is that the hosts have struggled to turn recent performances into wins, while the no-both-teams-to-score pick reflects the possibility of one attack being shut out. Those outcomes can coexist with a 3-0 or 0-3 scoreline. We estimate Over 2.5 at about 46%, so the plus-money price offers a speculative option rather than a core play.
Team Statistics
Deportivo La Coruña: Searching for a home breakthrough
Deportivo enter Matchday 11 in 11th place with 11 points from 10 games. Their league record is 2 wins, 5 ties, and 3 losses, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded—averages of 1.3 for and 1.3 against per game. At Riazor they are 1-3-1, scoring six and allowing five. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have no wins, two ties, and three losses, a 0% win rate and a 60% loss rate. Their latest result was a 1-0 away loss to Atlético Madrid. Coach Antonio Hidalgo will be looking for a more decisive performance at home.
CA Osasuna: Strong latest score, difficult road record
Osasuna are 12th, also on 11 points, with a 3-2-5 league record. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 20, averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 allowed per match. Their away form is a major warning sign: one win, no ties, and four losses, with 17 goals conceded in five road games. Over the last five in all competitions, Osasuna have two wins, one tie, and two losses—a 40% win rate and 40% loss rate. Their latest result was a 6-0 away win over Atlético Calatayud. Luis Miguel Ramis’s side will want to carry that attacking momentum into a much tougher league test.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors
Deportivo’s season shot volume is 12 per match, compared with Osasuna’s 10.7, giving the hosts a modest edge in attacking activity. The teams have recorded 51 and 36 corners, respectively, across 10 league games. Osasuna’s 20 goals allowed are the standout defensive concern, particularly given their 17 conceded in five away fixtures. The supplied team information lists Ante Budimir as an important attacking presence, while Deportivo will need contributions from their forward line to compensate for the absence of key attacking options noted in the match report. Confirmed lineups and late availability updates could affect both the home-win and goals markets. The match is at Riazor, with no major travel burden for either Spanish side.
Last direct match: Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna
The most recent meeting ended in a 2-1 away win for Osasuna. That result gives the visitors a recent head-to-head success, but Deportivo will have home advantage this time.
Performance last 5 Matches
Deportivo: 0 wins, 2 ties, and 3 losses. Osasuna: 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses. Deportivo’s latest match was a 1-0 loss at Atlético Madrid; Osasuna’s latest was a 6-0 win away to Atlético Calatayud.
Performance
Deportivo La Coruña performance of the last 4 home matches
CA Osasuna performance of the last 6 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our top pick is Deportivo to win at +115, supported by home advantage and Osasuna’s 1-0-4 road record. We also lean toward both teams not to score at -125, given Deportivo’s uneven recent attack and the possibility of a one-sided result. Over 2.5 goals at +120 is a higher-variance option, driven mainly by Osasuna’s away defensive numbers. These are probability-based opinions, not guarantees; compare soccer betting odds at legal sportsbooks in your state and wager responsibly.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
FC Barcelona
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 |
|
2
|
Atlético Madrid
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 |
|
3
|
Real Madrid CF
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 15 |
|
4
|
Real Betis Sevilla
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 |
|
5
|
Real Sociedad San Sebastian
|
19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 |
|
6
|
Sevilla FC
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
|
7
|
Club Deportivo Alavés
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 |
|
8
|
Athletic Bilbao
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 |
|
9
|
RC Celta de Vigo
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
|
10
|
Villarreal CF
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 |
|
11
|
Deportivo La Coruña
|
11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
|
12
|
CA Osasuna
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 |
|
13
|
Real Racing Club
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 |
|
14
|
Levante UD
|
10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 |
|
15
|
Elche CF
|
10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 |
|
16
|
Rayo Vallecano
|
9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 |
|
17
|
Getafe CF
|
9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 |
|
18
|
Espanyol Barcelona
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 |
|
19
|
Valencia CF
|
6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 |
|
20
|
Málaga CF
|
5 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 |
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