Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés 11/06/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for the match Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés starts with a clear home-field angle, but the recent results make this a matchup to approach thoughtfully. The La Liga Matchday 12 game is set for Friday, November 6, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. ET at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Sevilla sit sixth with 17 points after 11 games, while Alavés are 11th with 12. Sevilla have won three of five league games at home; Alavés have yet to win on the road, taking two ties and suffering three losses. Both clubs have had defensive trouble: Sevilla have allowed 19 goals in 11 league games, and Alavés have conceded 17. That works out to averages of 1.73 and 1.55 goals allowed per game, respectively. The supplied data doesn’t include reliable team averages for shots on target or possession, so we won’t invent those figures. The available form and venue data point toward a Sevilla result, with the goal markets less straightforward.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés

1. Sevilla to Win — 1X2, -102

Sevilla’s recent results have been uneven, but the home split gives them a meaningful edge: three wins from five league games at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, compared with no away wins for Alavés. Sevilla are also five places higher in the table and have five league wins overall. Alavés’ recent slide is a concern, though the home side’s defensive record keeps this from being a high-confidence pick. Our 1X2 tip is Sevilla to win at BetMGM Sportsbook for -102.

2. Both Teams to Score — No, -125

This is a more cautious read than the teams’ overall defensive numbers might suggest. Alavés have scored just four league goals away from home across five matches, an average of 0.8 per road game, and Sevilla’s home results have included three wins and two losses without a tie. Sevilla’s attack may also be affected if Isaac Romero is unavailable, while Alavés arrive after a heavy loss to Barcelona. The pick: both teams do not score, listed at FanDuel Sportsbook for -125.

3. Over 2.5 Goals — +120

The total has some appeal at plus money because both defenses have been conceding regularly, and Sevilla’s league matches have featured 36 combined goals through 11 games—an average of 3.27 per match. Alavés’ league games average 2.91 combined goals. Those season-long figures support an over, although the no-BTTS pick above means we’re not necessarily expecting both sides to score. A 3-0 or 2-1 Sevilla result would cash this wager. Our total pick is over 2.5 goals at +120.

Team Statistics

Sevilla FC: Home Advantage, with Room to Improve

Sevilla are sixth in La Liga with 17 points from 11 games: five wins, two ties, and four losses. That is a 45.5% win rate and a 36.4% loss rate. They have scored at an average of 1.55 goals per league game and allowed 1.73. At home, Sevilla have three wins and two losses from five matches, with no ties. Their latest league result was a 3-1 away loss to Getafe. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have two wins, one tie, and two losses. Coach Luis García will want a response, especially after the Getafe result, but the home record offers a reason for optimism.

Deportivo Alavés: Road Results Remain a Concern

Alavés are 11th with 12 points from 11 league games, recording three wins, three ties, and five losses. Their win rate is 27.3%, while their loss rate is 45.5%. They have scored an average of 1.36 goals per game and conceded 1.55. The away split is less encouraging: no wins, two ties, and three losses in five road games. Alavés’ latest league match ended in a 6-1 away loss to Barcelona. Their last five games across all competitions show no wins, two ties, and three losses, a run Quique Sánchez Flores will be eager to halt.

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

Sevilla’s Isaac Romero has three league goals and an assist, but he is reported as a major doubt; his availability could affect the home side’s attacking options. Sevilla midfielder Youssouf Fofana has contributed three assists in league play, while Lucas Boyé is Alavés’ leading scorer with five goals. Alavés are also without long-term injured defender Facundo Garcés and midfielder Mikel Rodríguez, according to the supplied report. Sevilla’s Manuel Bueno is listed as suspended. These absences matter when weighing both the home-win price and the goals markets. Check confirmed lineups before placing a wager, and compare current soccer betting odds at licensed operators such as BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Odds can move, and availability varies by state.

Last Direct Match: Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés

The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 tie. That result is a reminder that Alavés can make this matchup competitive, even though Sevilla have the stronger home and season records going into this meeting.

Performance: Last 5 Matches

Sevilla: 2 wins, 1 tie, 2 losses across all competitions; most recent result was a 3-1 away loss to Getafe.

Alavés: 0 wins, 2 ties, 3 losses across all competitions; most recent result was a 6-1 away loss to Barcelona.

Performance

Sevilla FC

Last games

Sevilla FC performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

Deportivo Alavés

Last games

Deportivo Alavés performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

60%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Sevilla to win at -102, both teams not to score at -125, and over 2.5 goals at +120. Sevilla’s home record and Alavés’ winless road form support the 1X2 selection. The away side’s limited scoring output on the road informs the BTTS-No lean, while the combined scoring averages and defensive vulnerabilities make the over an attractive plus-money option. These markets carry different risks, so treat them as separate wagers rather than a guaranteed combination. Betting involves risk; set a budget and only wager what you can afford to lose.