Atlético San Luis vs FC Juárez 11/07/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Atlético San Luis vs FC Juárez centers on a home side with more to play for and a visitor whose away record has been a major problem. This Liga MX Matchday 16 game is set for Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:00 p.m. at Libertad Financiera. San Luis sits 13th with 19 points, while Juárez is 18th with eight. The standings and the visitors’ 0-1-6 road record make the home team the natural favorite, even though San Luis has been inconsistent at home, too.

Recent form offers reasons for both optimism and caution. San Luis has two wins, one tie, and two losses across its last five matches, and is coming off a 1-0 home loss to Atlas Guadalajara. Juárez has one win, two ties, and two losses, but arrives after a 3-1 home win over Gallos Blancos. San Luis has scored 19 goals in 15 league games, an average of 1.27 per game; Juárez has scored 12, or 0.80 per game, while allowing 34, an average of 2.27. Those season rates point toward a home-win lean, but Juárez’s latest result and San Luis’s home record make the total-goals and both-teams-to-score markets worth considering as well.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Atlético San Luis vs FC Juárez

Pick 1: Atlético San Luis to Win — BetMGM Sportsbook, -139

San Luis is the stronger side in the table and has the home-field edge against a Juárez team that has yet to win on the road in league play. The hosts have five wins overall compared with Juárez’s two, and the visitors have lost six of seven away games. San Luis’s own home record is far from dominant, so this is not a risk-free play; still, the matchup favors the hosts. Our pick is Atlético San Luis to win at -139. That price implies roughly a 58% chance before accounting for sportsbook margin.

Pick 2: Both Teams to Score — Yes, FanDuel Sportsbook, -143

Juárez’s low season scoring average is a concern, but its 3-1 win in the most recent match shows it can find attacking rhythm. San Luis has conceded 23 times in 15 league games, and its home defense has allowed 12 goals across eight matches. That leaves a path for Juárez to contribute even if San Luis controls more of the game. The price is -143, equivalent to about a 59% implied probability before the sportsbook margin. Our lean is yes, both teams to score.

Pick 3: Under 2.5 Goals — +108

This total is a more cautious alternative to backing a high-scoring game. Juárez averages only 0.80 goals per league match, and San Luis is coming off a match in which it failed to score. The visitors’ defensive numbers are poor, but the home side’s uneven form and Juárez’s modest scoring rate could keep the game below three goals. Under 2.5 at +108 offers plus-money value, with an implied probability of about 48% before sportsbook margin. The pick is under 2.5 goals.

Team Statistics

Atlético San Luis: Home Advantage, but Inconsistent Results

Atlético San Luis enters Matchday 16 in 13th place with 19 points from 15 matches. Its record is five wins, four ties, and six losses, with 19 goals scored and 23 allowed. That works out to 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. At Libertad Financiera, San Luis has two wins, two ties, and four losses, scoring nine goals and allowing 12. Its home scoring average is 1.13 per match, while its home goals-against average is 1.50.

Across the last five matches in all competitions, San Luis has won twice, tied once, and lost twice: a 40% win rate and 40% loss rate. The latest result was a 1-0 home loss to Atlas Guadalajara. Coach Diego Mejía will want a more productive performance in a match that offers San Luis an opportunity to collect important points. The home team’s overall numbers are better than Juárez’s, but its home record cautions against treating the favorite as a sure thing.

FC Juárez: Searching for Its First League Road Win

FC Juárez is 18th with eight points from 15 games, having recorded two wins, two ties, and 11 losses. It has scored 12 goals and conceded 34, averaging 0.80 goals for and 2.27 against per match. Away from home, Juárez has no wins, one tie, and six losses. The team has scored four times in those seven road games, an average of 0.57 per match, and conceded 21, or 3.00 per game.

Juárez’s last five results across all competitions include one win, two ties, and two losses, matching a 20% win rate and 40% loss rate. Its latest outing was a 3-1 home win over Gallos Blancos, a welcome result after a difficult stretch. Tomás Campos’s team will try to carry that attacking confidence onto the road, where its season record remains a serious obstacle. The visitors’ defensive averages make a San Luis goal plausible, but their recent win gives them some momentum.

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors

The clearest statistical contrast is Juárez’s road defense: it has conceded 21 goals in seven away league games, averaging 3.00 per match. San Luis has scored 19 goals in 15 games, while Juárez’s 12-goal total underlines why the visitors may struggle to sustain an attack. Both teams come into the match after contrasting latest results: San Luis lost 1-0 at home to Atlas, while Juárez won 3-1 against Gallos Blancos. The previous head-to-head result went Juárez’s way, so San Luis should not assume the matchup is straightforward. Diego Mejía leads the home side, with Tomás Campos in charge of Juárez. For US readers comparing soccer betting odds, the listed prices are market snapshots and can change before kickoff; check current availability and terms at the sportsbook.

Last Direct Match: Atlético San Luis vs FC Juárez

The most recent meeting ended 2-1 to FC Juárez at home. That result gives the visitors a recent head-to-head success, though this time they must contend with San Luis at Libertad Financiera.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Atlético San Luis: two wins, one tie, and two losses. FC Juárez: one win, two ties, and two losses. San Luis’s latest result was a 1-0 home loss to Atlas Guadalajara; Juárez’s latest was a 3-1 home win over Gallos Blancos.

Performance

Atlético San Luis

Last games

Atlético San Luis performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

80%

FC Juárez

Last games

FC Juárez performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

80%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Atlético San Luis to win at -139, both teams to score at -143, and under 2.5 goals at +108. The home-win selection reflects San Luis’s stronger league position and Juárez’s winless away record. The BTTS angle accounts for San Luis’s defensive concessions and Juárez’s latest scoring performance, while the under pick leans on the visitors’ low season scoring average and San Luis’s recent shutout loss. These markets carry different risks, so consider them individually and compare the latest soccer betting odds before placing a wager. BetMGM Sportsbook lists the home side as its 1X2 favorite in the supplied odds, while FanDuel Sportsbook offers the listed BTTS and away-win prices. Please gamble responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.