CF Monterrey vs Club Tijuana 11/01/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for CF Monterrey vs Club Tijuana focuses on the home team’s advantage at Estadio BBVA, while keeping an eye on Tijuana’s ability to earn ties on the road. This Liga MX Matchday 15 matchup is set for Saturday, October 31, 2026, at 9:05 p.m. local time. Both clubs have 20 points after 13 games, with Monterrey seventh and Tijuana eighth, so the result could matter in the race for a postseason place.

Monterrey has scored 23 goals and allowed 18, an average of 1.77 scored and 1.38 allowed per game. Tijuana’s 21 scored and 17 allowed work out to 1.62 scored and 1.31 allowed per game. Those figures point to two capable attacks, though Tijuana’s away record is a notable concern: four ties and one loss, with no road wins. Monterrey has won four of seven at home. The supplied match data does not include average shots on goal or possession figures, so we won’t invent those statistics. Our picks lean toward Monterrey at home, both teams scoring, and a higher-scoring game.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for CF Monterrey vs Club Tijuana

1. Monterrey to Win — Moneyline at -182

Monterrey is the stronger moneyline choice, especially at home, where it has four wins in seven matches. The teams are level on points, but Tijuana has yet to win away, recording four ties and one loss across five road games. We estimate Monterrey’s win chance at about 58%, with a tie around 25% and a Tijuana win near 17%. The listed BetMGM Sportsbook price of -182 implies a higher break-even rate, so shop around and consider whether the home edge justifies the price. Our pick: Monterrey to win.

2. Both Teams to Score — Yes at -161

Both teams have scored consistently across the season: Monterrey averages 1.77 goals per game, and Tijuana averages 1.62. Each side has also allowed more than a goal per match on average. That combination supports a goal from each team, even though Tijuana’s road results have leaned toward ties rather than wins. We put the chance of both teams scoring at roughly 62%. FanDuel Sportsbook lists Yes at -161. Our pick: both teams to score.

3. Over 3.5 Goals at +120

This is the higher-variance selection of the three. Monterrey and Tijuana combine for 3.38 goals scored per game, and both teams’ season averages suggest there is potential for an open contest. The previous direct meeting finished level at 2-2, another sign that this pairing can produce chances, although one head-to-head result is not a guarantee. We estimate the chance of four or more goals at about 46%. At +120, the price offers a more aggressive alternative to the safer team and BTTS markets. Our pick: Over 3.5 goals.

Team Statistics

CF Monterrey: Home Edge, but Recent Results Are Mixed

Monterrey sits seventh with 20 points from 13 games, holding a 6-2-5 record and a +5 goal difference. It has scored 23 goals, an average of 1.77 per match, while conceding 18, or 1.38 per game. At Estadio BBVA, the team has won four, tied once, and lost twice. Its last five matches across all competitions produced two wins, one tie, and two losses: a 40% win rate and 40% loss rate. Monterrey’s latest result was a 1-0 home loss to Deportivo Guadalajara. Coach Matías Almeyda will be looking for a response in front of the home crowd.

Club Tijuana: Resilient in Ties, Still Searching for a Road Win

Tijuana is eighth, also on 20 points, with five wins, five ties, and three losses from 13 matches. Its 21 goals scored equal 1.62 per game, while 17 conceded equal 1.31 per game. The away split is central to this matchup: Tijuana has no road wins, with four ties and one loss in five away games. Across its last five matches in all competitions, it has one win, four ties, and no losses. That is a 20% win rate and a 0% loss rate over the sample. The latest outing ended 1-1 away against CF América. Sebastián Abreu’s side has shown persistence, but converting a road tie into a win remains the challenge.

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

The supplied match information does not include confirmed lineups, injury reports, individual player statistics, possession rates, or shots-on-goal averages, so those details should be checked closer to kickoff. The clearest measurable matchup factor is Tijuana’s away record: four ties and one loss, with no wins. Monterrey, meanwhile, has taken four wins from seven home games. Both sides have exactly 20 points, making this a meaningful Matchday 15 contest in the standings. Monterrey’s recent 0-1 loss gives it a bounce-back angle, while Tijuana arrives after a 1-1 tie with América and has avoided losses in its last five matches. These contrasting trends support a home-win lean, but also leave room for Tijuana to stay competitive.

Last Direct Match: CF Monterrey vs Club Tijuana

The most recent meeting ended in a 2-2 tie. That result supports the possibility of goals from both sides, though the teams’ current form and venue matter more than one past game.

Performance in the Last 5 Matches

Monterrey: 2 wins, 1 tie, 2 losses. Tijuana: 1 win, 4 ties, 0 losses.

Performance

CF Monterrey

Last games

CF Monterrey performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Club Tijuana

Last games

Club Tijuana performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

75%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Monterrey to win at -182, both teams to score at -161, and Over 3.5 goals at +120. Monterrey’s home record and Tijuana’s lack of road wins make the home side the clearest result-based choice. The teams’ scoring and conceding averages support the BTTS angle, while the Over 3.5 selection is a higher-risk play based on their combined scoring output and the previous 2-2 meeting. Compare soccer betting odds across sportsbooks, including BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, and remember that odds imply probabilities rather than guarantees. Bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.