Nashville SC vs New York RB 11/01/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for the match Nashville SC vs New York RB starts with the home side’s remarkable consistency at GEODIS Park. This Matchday 33 MLS matchup kicks off Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 4:30 p.m. ET in Nashville. Nashville leads the league with 70 points from 31 games and is unbeaten at home, winning 14 and tying once. New York RB has 39 points and a 5-3-7 road record, making the gap between these teams especially relevant for the 1X2 market.

Nashville has scored 66 goals in 31 matches, an average of 2.13 per game, while allowing 23, or 0.74 per game. New York has averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.81 allowed per match. Those season rates point to a home side capable of controlling the scoring, though Nashville’s recent 0-0 tie with Philadelphia and New York’s 2-3 loss to New England add some uncertainty to the total-goals outlook. The supplied data does not include shots-on-goal or possession figures, so we won’t invent those numbers. Instead, our soccer betting odds analysis focuses on the teams’ records, goal averages, and recent results.

Our 3 betting predictions for Nashville SC vs New York RB

Pick 1: Nashville SC to win — 1X2 at -250

Nashville’s perfect home loss record is the clearest case for backing the hosts. They have won 14 of 15 at GEODIS Park, while New York has lost seven of 15 away matches. Nashville also leads the standings by a wide margin and has the stronger season-long goal difference. The price is short, but our estimated home-win probability is 68%, which supports Nashville SC on the moneyline at BetMGM Sportsbook, listed at -250.

Pick 2: Both teams to score — Yes at -189

New York’s away attack has produced 17 goals in 15 games, an average of 1.13 per road match, and the visitors need points as they pursue a postseason place. Nashville’s defense has been excellent overall, but New York has enough attacking threat to find a goal. We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score. It is a higher-priced market, so weigh the risk against Nashville’s strong home defense; the listed BetMGM Sportsbook price is -189.

Pick 3: Under 3.5 total goals at -122

The under offers a way to balance Nashville’s scoring strength against its stingy defense and the possibility of a measured home performance. Nashville has allowed just 23 goals in 31 games, while its latest match finished scoreless. New York’s recent results have varied, but the visitors average fewer than two goals per game overall. We put the chance of staying under 3.5 goals at about 62%. The recommended play is Under 3.5 at BetMGM Sportsbook for -122.

Team Statistics

Nashville SC: dominant at home and atop the standings

Nashville enters Matchday 33 in first place with 70 points, 21 wins, seven ties, and three losses. Its 66 goals for and 23 against create a +43 goal difference. At home, the record is even more impressive: 14 wins, one tie, and no losses. That means Nashville has won 93% of its home games and avoided a loss in all 15. Across its last five matches, Nashville has three wins, two ties, and no losses, a 60% win rate in that sample. The latest result was a 0-0 home tie with Philadelphia Union. Coach B.J. Callaghan’s team has shown both attacking production and defensive control over the season.

New York RB: playoff pressure with an uneven road record

New York RB has 39 points and sits 19th in the overall standings supplied for the competition, with 11 wins, six ties, and 14 losses. The team has scored 41 goals and conceded 56, leaving a -15 goal difference. Its away record is five wins, three ties, and seven losses, so it has lost 47% of its road matches. New York’s last five show two wins and three losses, with no ties. Most recently, the Red Bulls lost 3-2 away to New England Revolution. Coach Michael Bradley’s squad has shown it can score, but its defensive record and road results make this a demanding trip.

Latest Odds Boosts

🏒 Oilers Win & Leon Draisaitl Goal on 10/28 + 175

Ends in

Expired

Must be 21 or older to gamble. Know When To Stop Before You Start®.Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER Caesars Sportsbook is committed to supporting Responsible Gaming.

🏒 Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson & Trevor Zegras Each 2+ Shots On Goal on 10/28 +340

Ends in

Expired

Must be 21 or older to gamble. Know When To Stop Before You Start®.Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER Caesars Sportsbook is committed to supporting Responsible Gaming.

Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

Nashville’s season scoring average of 2.13 goals per game is a major reason the home side is favored, while its 0.74 goals allowed per game underlines the defensive advantage. New York has averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per match. The teams’ recent form also favors Nashville: three wins and two ties in its last five, compared with two wins and three losses for the Red Bulls. Nashville may have additional motivation around its Supporters’ Shield celebration, although lineup rotation ahead of the playoffs is worth monitoring. New York, meanwhile, has important postseason points at stake. Both teams last played on October 28, leaving only a short turnaround before Sunday’s match.

Last direct match: Nashville SC vs New York RB

The supplied head-to-head information lists Nashville SC as a 1-0 away winner in the most recent meeting. That result offers a reminder that Nashville has been able to get the better of this matchup, though the current game takes place at GEODIS Park.

Performance last 5 Matches

Nashville SC: 3 wins, 2 ties, 0 losses. Latest: 0-0 vs. Philadelphia Union.
New York RB: 2 wins, 0 ties, 3 losses. Latest: 2-3 at New England Revolution.

Performance

Nashville SC

Last games

Nashville SC performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

100%

Over 2.5

80%

New York RB

Last games

New York RB performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

20%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks reflect Nashville’s outstanding home record and the clear difference in the teams’ season statistics. Nashville to win is the primary selection, supported by 14 home wins and New York’s losing road record. Both teams to score is a secondary angle because the Red Bulls have shown they can contribute offensively, even against a stronger opponent. Under 3.5 goals accounts for Nashville’s reliable defense and the possibility of a controlled game. The estimated probabilities are analytical projections, not guarantees; compare available lines and bet responsibly.