Orlando City vs New England Revolution 11/07/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Orlando City vs New England Revolution focuses on a compelling season finale at Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Kickoff is set for 4:00 p.m. ET, with both Eastern Conference clubs looking to finish the regular season strongly. New England comes in fourth in the conference with 58 points, while Orlando is ninth with 43. The home side has a stronger record in Orlando than its overall standing suggests: 9 wins, 3 ties and 4 losses at home. New England’s road record is an even 7-2-7.
The recent form points in different directions. Orlando’s last five show one win, three ties and one loss, including a 0-4 loss at Charlotte in its most recent outing. New England had won four straight before falling 1-2 at home to Inter Miami. Across 33 matches, Orlando averages 1.88 goals scored and 2.36 allowed per game; New England averages 1.67 scored and 1.39 allowed. Those season-long rates suggest a lively matchup, while Orlando’s home advantage makes the moneyline more interesting than the table gap alone might imply. We don’t have verified shot or possession figures to cite, so the picks below rely on the supplied results, records and soccer betting odds.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for Orlando City vs New England Revolution
Pick 1: Orlando City to Win — Moneyline at -102
Orlando’s defensive numbers are a concern, but the Lions have been far more effective at home than away, with 9 wins in 16 home games. New England is the better team by points and has the stronger recent run, yet its 7-2-7 road record leaves room for an upset. At -102 with BetMGM Sportsbook, the home moneyline is a reasonable value play. Our estimated Orlando win probability is 51%, with a tie at 25% and a New England win at 24%.
Pick 2: Both Teams to Score — Yes at -294
Orlando has scored 62 goals this season but allowed 78, an average of 2.36 conceded per match. New England’s attack has produced 55 goals, and the Revs have multiple recent wins with goals on the board. The price is steep, so this market is better suited to bettors who expect both offenses to find a way through. We estimate a 74% chance that both teams score. BetMGM Sportsbook lists Yes at -294; weigh the price carefully before placing a wager.
Pick 3: Over 3.5 Goals at -120
This is the higher-variance selection, but Orlando’s matches have averaged 4.24 total goals per game based on its season scoring and conceding rates. New England’s corresponding average is 3.06. The teams’ defensive profiles and Orlando’s recent 0-4 result support the possibility of an open contest, though four goals is a demanding threshold. The listed price is -120. We estimate a 55% chance of at least four goals, making Over 3.5 our goals-market lean.
Team Statistics
Orlando City: Home Strength, Defensive Questions
Orlando enters Matchday 34 with 43 points and ninth place in the Eastern Conference standings. Its season record is 12 wins, 7 ties and 14 losses, equivalent to a 36% win rate and 42% loss rate. The Lions have scored 62 goals and conceded 78, averaging 1.88 scored and 2.36 allowed per match. Their home record is notably better: 9 wins, 3 ties and 4 losses. Orlando’s last five matches produced one win, three ties and one loss, a 20% win rate over that stretch. The latest result was a 0-4 road loss to Charlotte FC. Coach Martín Perelman will want a more composed defensive performance in front of the home crowd.
New England Revolution: Strong Season, Recent Setback
New England sits fourth in the Eastern Conference with 58 points, built on 18 wins, 4 ties and 11 losses. That is a 55% season win rate and a 33% loss rate. The Revs have scored 55 goals and conceded 46, averaging 1.67 scored and 1.39 allowed per match. Away from home, they have 7 wins, 2 ties and 7 losses. Their last five results include four wins and one loss, an 80% win rate; the most recent was a 1-2 home loss to Inter Miami. Marko Mitrovic’s team has shown stronger overall consistency than Orlando, but it will need to translate that form into a challenging road setting.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors
The supplied matchup notes identify Carles Gil as a central New England threat, with 13 goals and 11 assists, while Martín Ojeda is listed as Orlando’s leading scorer with 16 goals. Those contributions could matter in a game where both teams have reasons to attack. Orlando’s 78 goals allowed are a major warning sign, but the Lions’ home record gives them a credible path to the win. The notes also flag several potential absences for both sides, so check confirmed lineups before betting. The forecast provided is sunny, with a high near 82°F, conditions that should not significantly disrupt play. These are season-finale stakes, and New England’s stronger table position meets Orlando’s home-field edge.
Last Direct Match: Orlando City vs New England Revolution
The latest meeting ended in a 4-2 home win for New England. That result offers a reminder of the Revs’ attacking threat, though this rematch takes place at Inter&Co Stadium.
Performance Last 5 Matches
Orlando City: 1 win, 3 ties, 1 loss. Latest: 0-4 loss at Charlotte FC.
New England Revolution: 4 wins, 0 ties, 1 loss. Latest: 1-2 loss to Inter Miami CF.
Performance
Orlando City performance of the last 4 home matches
New England Revolution performance of the last 6 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three picks are Orlando City to win at -102, both teams to score at -294, and Over 3.5 goals at -120. The home moneyline reflects Orlando’s strong home record, while the goals selections account for the Lions’ high scoring and unusually generous defense, alongside New England’s capable attack. The Revs’ better season and recent form make this a competitive matchup, not a sure thing. Odds can change, so compare the latest soccer betting odds at sportsbooks such as BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, and bet responsibly.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Nashville SC
|
74 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69 | 25 | 44 |
|
2
|
Inter Miami CF
|
59 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77 | 56 | 21 |
|
3
|
New England Revolution
|
58 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55 | 46 | 9 |
|
4
|
Chicago Fire
|
55 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 |
|
5
|
Charlotte FC
|
53 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 |
|
6
|
Philadelphia Union
|
47 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 51 | 11 |
|
7
|
FC Cincinnati
|
46 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 73 | -6 |
|
8
|
Columbus Crew
|
44 | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 6 |
|
9
|
Orlando City
|
43 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 78 | -16 |
|
10
|
New York City FC
|
39 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 |
|
11
|
Toronto FC
|
39 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51 | 63 | -12 |
|
12
|
New York RB
|
39 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 62 | -17 |
|
13
|
Atlanta United FC
|
33 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 57 | -14 |
|
14
|
D.C. United
|
33 | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 60 | -21 |
|
15
|
CF Montréal
|
26 | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 67 | -30 |
|
16
|
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
61 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 |
|
17
|
FC Dallas
|
55 | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 50 | 9 |
|
18
|
San Jose Earthquakes
|
52 | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 48 | 8 |
|
19
|
St. Louis City SC
|
51 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 10 |
|
20
|
Houston Dynamo
|
51 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 |
|
21
|
Los Angeles FC
|
47 | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 |
|
22
|
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 55 | -6 |
|
23
|
Portland Timbers
|
43 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60 | 61 | -1 |
|
24
|
Colorado Rapids
|
43 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 |
|
25
|
Seattle Sounders FC
|
43 | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 |
|
26
|
Real Salt Lake
|
42 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 51 | 0 |
|
27
|
Minnesota United FC
|
41 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 |
|
28
|
San Diego FC
|
38 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57 | 62 | -5 |
|
29
|
Austin FC
|
34 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 63 | -21 |
|
30
|
Sporting Kansas City
|
23 | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 81 | -42 |
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