Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC 11/07/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC leans toward the home side, with a goals market also worth considering. This Major League Soccer Matchday 34 game kicks off Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 4:00 p.m. ET at Subaru Park. Philadelphia enters with 47 points and a 13-8-12 record; Toronto has 39 points and a 9-12-12 mark. The Union have been uneven lately, going 1-2-2 across their last five matches, while Toronto is 2-1-2 over the same span. Both clubs are coming off road losses, so neither arrives with a fresh result to build on.

Philadelphia’s home record—7 wins, 5 ties, and 4 losses—offers a meaningful edge over Toronto’s 3-3-10 road mark. The season scoring figures also point to a potentially lively game: Philadelphia has averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.55 allowed per match, while Toronto has averaged 1.55 scored and 1.91 allowed. Those averages support looking at both teams to score, though Toronto’s road struggles and Philadelphia’s home advantage make the Union the leading side in the 1X2 market. The supplied data does not include shot or possession averages, so we won’t speculate about those metrics.

Our 3 betting predictions for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

Philadelphia Union to win — 1X2, best odds: -217

Philadelphia is the clear choice on the moneyline. The Union have collected 26 points at home, compared with Toronto’s 12 points away, and Toronto has lost 10 of 16 road games. The recent form is not dominant for either team, but Philadelphia’s home results provide a stronger foundation. BetMGM Sportsbook lists the home win at -217. That price requires a substantial stake for a modest return, so compare available soccer betting odds and bet responsibly.

Both teams to score: Yes — best odds: -200

There is a case for goals at both ends. Philadelphia has averaged 1.88 goals per game this season, and Toronto has averaged 1.55, while both defenses have conceded at a higher rate than the Union would prefer. Toronto’s 51 goals scored show it can contribute, even with a poor road record. The Yes price is -200 at FanDuel Sportsbook. It is a relatively short price, but the season scoring averages make this a reasonable secondary pick.

Under 3.5 total goals — best odds: -120

Even with a both-teams-to-score lean, Under 3.5 offers a sensible ceiling for the total. Philadelphia averages 3.42 combined goals per game across its scoring and conceding figures; Toronto’s combined average is 3.46. Both are close to the line, but a four-goal game is not required for either team to find the net. The Under 3.5 pick at -120 leaves room for a 1-1, 2-1, or 2-0 result. Keep the stake measured given the teams’ defensive numbers.

Team Statistics

Philadelphia Union: home advantage, but inconsistent form

Philadelphia sits 12th in the supplied overall standings with 47 points from 33 games, recording 13 wins, 8 ties, and 12 losses. The Union have scored 62 goals and conceded 51, averaging 1.88 scored and 1.55 allowed per match. At Subaru Park, they are 7-5-4, with 28 goals scored and 18 conceded across 16 games. Their last five results amount to one win, two ties, and two losses: a 20% win rate and 40% loss rate in that stretch. Most recently, Philadelphia lost 1-0 away to FC Cincinnati. Coach Ryan Richter will look for a steadier performance at home.

Toronto FC: road record remains the concern

Toronto is listed 23rd in the supplied standings, with 39 points from 33 games. Its record is 9 wins, 12 ties, and 12 losses, with 51 goals scored and 63 allowed—averages of 1.55 for and 1.91 against per match. Away from home, Toronto has won 3, tied 3, and lost 10 of 16 games. Over its last five, the club has two wins, one tie, and two losses, equivalent to a 40% win rate and 40% loss rate. The latest result was a 3-1 road loss to Atlanta United FC. Robin Fraser’s team needs a more reliable defensive showing to challenge Philadelphia.

Latest Odds Boosts

🏈 Derrick Henry 70+ Rush Yards & TD on 11/5 + 210

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

Philadelphia’s season scoring total is the stronger of the two, but the supplied information does not confirm current player availability or provide verified player-level statistics for this match. The key evidence is therefore the team profile: Philadelphia has scored more often overall and has a much better home record than Toronto’s away record. Toronto’s defense has allowed 63 goals in 33 games, while Philadelphia has conceded 51. Both clubs have motivation to finish the regular season with a positive result, but the standings and match context supplied here do not establish a specific playoff consequence. Lineups and late availability can change the outlook, so check confirmed team news before placing a wager.

Last direct match: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

The most recent meeting finished 3-3, a high-scoring tie. That result supports the possibility of goals, but one head-to-head game should not outweigh the season-long home and away records.

Performance last 5 Matches

Philadelphia Union: 1 win, 2 ties, and 2 losses. Toronto FC: 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses.

Performance

Philadelphia Union

Last games

Philadelphia Union performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

100%

Toronto FC

Last games

Toronto FC performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

66%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Philadelphia Union to win at -217, both teams to score at -200, and Under 3.5 goals at -120. Philadelphia’s home record and Toronto’s 10 road losses are the main reasons to favor the hosts. The teams’ scoring averages make a goal from each side plausible, while the Under 3.5 line allows for a competitive score without needing a high-scoring shootout. These are estimates, not guarantees; compare prices at sportsbooks such as BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, set a budget, and wager responsibly.