Denmark vs Norway 11/17/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Denmark vs Norway focuses on a tight Nordic derby with meaningful Group 4 stakes. The Nations League A Matchday 6 matchup is set for Tuesday, November 17, 2026, at Parken. Denmark enter in second place with six points, while Norway sit third with three. Both teams have two group games behind them? No: each has played four, and this is the final matchday. Denmark’s home record is one win and one loss; Norway have lost both of their away games.

The standings and recent results point in different directions. Denmark have won three of their last five across all competitions, including a 1-0 road win over Wales in their latest outing. Norway have lost four of their last five, most recently 2-1 away to Portugal. Still, Norway won the previous meeting 3-2, and their attacking quality means Denmark cannot take this lightly. The supplied match data does not include shots-on-goal or possession figures, so we won’t invent those statistics. For soccer betting, the main angles are a possible tie, both teams finding the net, and a lower-scoring game than the September meeting.

Our 3 betting predictions for Denmark vs Norway

1. Tie — 1X2 at +250

Denmark have the home advantage, but the 1X2 market prices both teams at +155, underlining how closely matched this fixture is expected to be. Norway’s recent run is poor, yet they beat Denmark 3-2 in the last head-to-head and have enough attacking talent to stay competitive. With pressure on both sides and a short turnaround after their November 14 games, a cautious, closely contested match is plausible. Our pick is the tie at Bet365’s listed +250. Check the final team news and updated soccer betting odds before placing a wager.

2. Both teams to score — Yes at -200

Norway have scored in each of their four Nations League matches so far, while Denmark have found the net in three of their four. The previous meeting finished 3-2, and Norway’s attack can cause problems even when the team is not getting results. Denmark, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in four group games and should create chances at Parken. The price is short, but the matchup supports goals at both ends. Our tip is Both Teams to Score — Yes at Bet365’s listed -200.

3. Under 2.5 goals at +135

This is a more speculative angle than backing both teams to score, but the two bets can coexist in a 1-1 finish. The tie selection also fits a game where neither side takes excessive risks, particularly if the score is level late. Denmark’s latest result was a 1-0 win, and the teams may be wary of conceding first in a high-stakes group finale. Norway’s September win suggests goals are possible, so this is not a low-risk play. Our value lean is Under 2.5 goals at the listed +135.

Team Statistics

Denmark: Home advantage and a mixed recent run

Denmark are second in Group 4 with six points from four matches, having recorded two wins and two losses, with no ties. They have scored seven goals and conceded seven, an average of 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 allowed per game. Their group win rate is 50%, and their loss rate is also 50%. At Parken in this group, Denmark have one win and one loss. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have three wins and two losses: a 60% win rate and 40% loss rate. Their latest result was a 1-0 away win over Wales. Coach Brian Riemer’s side have a chance to finish their group campaign strongly on home soil, but they will need to manage Norway’s counterattacking threat.

Norway: Dangerous attack, difficult stretch

Norway are third with three points from four Group 4 matches. They have one win and three losses, with no ties, scoring six goals and allowing eight. That works out to 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Norway’s group win rate is 25%, while their loss rate is 75%. Their away record is a concern: two matches, two losses, and no points. Over their last five games in all competitions, they have one win and four losses—a 20% win rate and 80% loss rate. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 away loss to Portugal. Ståle Solbakken’s team will need a sharper defensive performance, but their recent 3-2 win over Denmark shows they can trouble this opponent.

Latest Odds Boosts

Macklin Celebrini & Matthew Schaefer Each 4+ Shots On Goal on 11/9 + 350

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

Norway’s Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard had reportedly returned to training after minor fitness concerns, but their availability and workload should be checked after the November 14 match. Jørgen Strand Larsen was reported out, while other Norway players had fitness questions; the final lineup could therefore matter. Denmark have concerns of their own: Andreas Christensen and Patrick Dorgu were expected to miss the international games, and Mikkel Damsgaard’s status was uncertain after leaving camp with an issue. Denmark also have the heavier travel schedule, going to Portugal before returning to Copenhagen, while Norway host Wales before traveling. Both teams face a short turnaround, so late updates, confirmed starters, and the group standings after November 14 are important before betting.

Last direct match: Denmark vs Norway

Norway won the most recent meeting 3-2 at home. That result gives the visitors a confidence boost, although this rematch takes place at Parken.

Performance last 5 Matches

Denmark: 3 wins, 0 ties, and 2 losses. Norway: 1 win, 0 ties, and 4 losses. Denmark’s latest match was a 1-0 win over Wales; Norway’s latest was a 2-1 loss to Portugal.

Performance

Denmark

Last games

Denmark performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Norway

Last games

Norway performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

83%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are the tie at +250, Both Teams to Score — Yes at -200, and Under 2.5 goals at +135. The tie reflects the closely priced 1X2 market and the competitive stakes; the BTTS selection is supported by both teams’ scoring records and the 3-2 head-to-head; and the under is a higher-risk value play based on the possibility of a cautious, tight finale. These are estimates, not guarantees. Recheck lineups and the latest odds close to kickoff, and bet responsibly. BetMGM Sportsbook and other legal US sportsbooks may offer different prices and markets, so compare the available lines before making a decision.