Greece vs Serbia 11/16/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Greece vs Serbia starts with a clear contrast: Greece arrive unbeaten through four Nations League matches, while Serbia have yet to earn a point. The teams meet Monday, November 16, in Matchday 6 of Nations League A, Group 2, at Panthessaliko in Volos. Greece are second with eight points; Serbia sit fourth with zero. Greece also won the previous meeting, 2-1 in Serbia.

Greece vs Serbia: Match Preview

Greece’s recent results point to a team that is difficult to break down. They have allowed three goals in four group matches, an average of 0.75 per game, and their latest outing was a 0-0 tie with Germany. Serbia’s numbers are more concerning: three goals scored and eight conceded in four matches, or averages of 0.75 scored and 2.00 allowed per game. The supplied statistics do not include shots on target or possession figures, so those metrics should not be guessed.

There is a meaningful stakes angle, too. Greece are in position to pursue a quarterfinal place, while Serbia need points to improve their standing and avoid a relegation fight. Both teams play on November 13, so their results and any new injury concerns could affect the outlook for this match. Greece’s defensive record and home setting make them the more appealing side, but Serbia’s urgency could make the contest tense rather than one-sided. For soccer betting, that supports considering a Greece result and a lower-scoring game. The odds below are estimated American-odds equivalents, not live sportsbook prices: no current odds were available when this preview was prepared.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Greece vs Serbia

1. Greece to Win — Estimated odds: -145

Greece have the stronger group record, with two wins and two ties, while Serbia have lost all four of their matches. Greece also won the first meeting, 2-1, and have conceded just three goals in the group. With coach Ivan Jovanović’s side playing at home, the straight-up win is the clearest pick. The estimated price is not a live quote, so compare soccer betting odds at legal U.S. sportsbooks before placing a wager.

2. Both Teams to Score: No — Estimated odds: +105

Greece’s defense has been consistent, including a scoreless tie against Germany in their most recent match. Serbia have averaged only 0.75 goals per game in the group, and their attack has struggled to produce reliable scoring. Serbia’s defensive record is weaker, but that does not automatically mean Greece will concede. The lean is that one side—or neither—finds the net. Consider “No” for both teams to score, while checking team news after the November 13 fixtures.

3. Under 2.5 Total Goals — Estimated odds: -115

Greece have conceded fewer than a goal per match in the group, and their latest result finished 0-0. Serbia’s attack has averaged less than one goal per game, which makes a high-scoring performance difficult to project. The previous head-to-head finished with three total goals, so this pick is not without risk; still, Greece’s defensive profile and Serbia’s scoring struggles point toward a more controlled game. Under 2.5 is the preferred total.

Team Statistics

Greece: Unbeaten and in the Quarterfinal Picture

Greece have eight points and rank second in Group 2 after two wins, two ties, and no losses. Their group goal difference is plus two, with five scored and three allowed. That works out to 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. At home, they have two ties and no wins or losses in the supplied group record. Their last five across all competitions show two wins, two ties, and one loss: a 40% win rate, 40% tie rate, and 20% loss rate. Greece’s most recent match was a 0-0 home tie with Germany.

Serbia: Searching for a Turnaround

Serbia are fourth with zero points after four losses. They have scored three goals and conceded eight, averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 allowed per group match. Their away record is two losses from two matches. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Serbia have five losses: a 0% win rate and a 100% loss rate. Their latest result was a 2-1 away loss to the Netherlands. That run puts pressure on coach Veljko Paunović to find a more effective approach, particularly in attack and at the back.

Latest Odds Boosts

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors

Greece’s Christos Tzolis and Anastasios Douvikas scored in the 2-1 win in the first meeting, making Tzolis a player to monitor if he is fit. His availability was uncertain in the information available for this preview, and Greece also have a possible concern around Dimitris Kourbelis. Serbia may be without Filip Stanković, Aleksa Terzić, and Filip Kostić, while Strahinja Pavlović’s status was unclear. Dušan Vlahović withdrew from camp for private reasons. These reports need confirmation after both teams play on November 13. The three-day turnaround could also influence selection and energy levels. BetMGM Sportsbook and other legal U.S. sportsbooks may list updated markets closer to kickoff; verify availability and prices in your state.

Last Direct Match: Greece vs Serbia

Greece won the previous meeting 2-1 away from home. Serbia scored first, but Greece came back to claim the result late in the match.

Performance in the Last 5 Matches

• Greece: 2 wins, 2 ties, 1 loss.
• Serbia: 0 wins, 0 ties, 5 losses.

Performance

Greece

Last games

Greece performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

40%

Serbia

Last games

Serbia performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

80%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

The main lean is Greece to win, backed by their better group position, unbeaten record, home advantage, and victory in the first meeting. Serbia’s five straight losses and average of 2.00 goals allowed per Nations League match strengthen that case. The two supporting picks—both teams to score: No and Under 2.5 goals—reflect Greece’s defensive results and Serbia’s modest scoring average. These are estimates rather than confirmed market prices; check current odds, lineups, and local sportsbook rules before betting.