Fulham FC vs Newcastle United 11/07/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for the match Fulham FC vs Newcastle United centers on a home side looking to build momentum and a visiting team trying to steady a rough run of results. The Premier League Matchday 10 meeting is set for Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. ET at Craven Cottage. Fulham sit 15th with nine points, while Newcastle are 13th on 11 points. The standings are tight, and both clubs have reason to value a strong result.

Fulham’s season-to-date scoring rate is 1.00 goal per game, with 1.22 allowed. Newcastle average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Those figures point to a matchup where the visitors have produced more up front, but neither defense has been consistently secure. Fulham’s recent league result was a 1-1 tie at Aston Villa; Newcastle most recently lost 1-0 at home to Everton. The supplied statistics do not include shots-on-target or possession averages, so we’ll avoid inventing those numbers. Our angles instead focus on the available form, venue records, and listed American odds.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Fulham FC vs Newcastle United

1. Fulham to Win — Moneyline (+105)

Fulham’s overall record is modest, but the home side has a timely reason for optimism: it earned a 2-0 win in the most recent meeting with Newcastle. The Cottagers have also taken points in three of their last five matches across competitions, compared with one win and four losses for Newcastle. A home moneyline at +105 offers plus-money value, though it is not a low-risk pick. Our estimated probabilities are Fulham 43%, tie 27%, and Newcastle 30%; those estimates make the home side our narrow choice.

2. Both Teams to Score — Yes (-175)

Newcastle have scored 12 goals and conceded 15 through nine league games, while Fulham have scored nine and allowed 11. That works out to 3.00 combined goals per Newcastle match and about 2.22 in Fulham matches, making a goal at both ends a reasonable possibility. The price is steep, so shop around and keep the stake measured. We estimate a 64% chance of both teams scoring, equivalent to roughly -178 fair American odds. The listed best price is -175 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Under 2.5 Goals (+120)

This is a more cautious alternative to the both-teams-to-score angle: a 1-1 tie would cash both selections, while a narrow 1-0 result would also stay under the total. Fulham’s average is 2.22 combined goals per league match, and the most recent head-to-head finished 2-0. Newcastle’s higher combined average of 3.00 is the main concern, but its recent 0-1 loss and Fulham’s limited scoring rate support a lower-scoring possibility. We estimate Under 2.5 at 46%, which is close to the listed +120 price.

Team Statistics

Fulham: Home Support and Signs of a Reset

Fulham enter Matchday 10 in 15th place with nine points from nine league games: two wins, three ties, and four losses. That is a 22.2% win rate and a 44.4% loss rate. The team has scored nine goals, averaging 1.00 per game, and conceded 11, or 1.22 per game. At Craven Cottage, Fulham have one win, one tie, and two losses across four games. Their latest result was a 1-1 away tie with Aston Villa. Across the last five matches in all competitions, they have two wins, one tie, and two losses. Coach Álvaro Arbeloa will hope the home crowd can help turn that mixed run into a more consistent league stretch.

Newcastle United: More Goals, but a Difficult Recent Stretch

Newcastle are 13th with 11 points after nine games, having recorded three wins, two ties, and four losses. Their win rate is 33.3%, while their loss rate is 44.4%. The Magpies have scored 12 goals, an average of 1.33 per game, and allowed 15, averaging 1.67 conceded. Their away record is two wins and two losses, with no ties. The latest league outing ended in a 1-0 home loss to Everton. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Newcastle have one win and four losses. That recent sequence raises questions about consistency despite their stronger scoring totals. Coach Matthias Jaissle will be looking for a response on the road.

Latest Odds Boosts

🏈 Derrick Henry 70+ Rush Yards & TD on 11/5 + 210

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🏈 Jakobi Meyers 3+ Receptions & TD on 11/5 + 425

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors

Fulham’s season totals show a relatively low scoring rate, so their best route may be to make home advantage count and avoid giving Newcastle easy chances. Newcastle have scored more overall, but their 15 goals conceded in nine league games underline a defensive vulnerability that Fulham can target. The visitors’ recent run—one win and four losses in five across all competitions—also gives the hosts a momentum argument. The last direct meeting went Fulham’s way, 2-0. These factors support a cautious home-moneyline lean and make both teams scoring plausible, although the Under 2.5 selection reflects the possibility that Fulham’s attack keeps the match close rather than open.

Last Direct Match: Fulham FC vs Newcastle United

The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 home win for Fulham. That result gives the Cottagers a positive reference point ahead of another match at Craven Cottage, but one head-to-head result should not outweigh current-season form on its own.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Fulham: two wins, one tie, and two losses. Newcastle United: one win and four losses. Fulham’s most recent match was a 1-1 away tie at Aston Villa; Newcastle’s latest was a 0-1 home loss to Everton.

Performance

Fulham FC

Last games

Fulham FC performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

25%

Newcastle United

Last games

Newcastle United performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Fulham to win at +105, both teams to score at -175, and Under 2.5 goals at +120. The home pick leans on Fulham’s recent results and the previous 2-0 meeting at this venue, while the scoring angles balance Newcastle’s higher goal output against Fulham’s lower scoring average. These are probability-based opinions, not guarantees. Compare soccer betting odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks, check the latest lineup news before kickoff, and wager only what you can afford to lose. BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are examples of brands that may offer markets on the match; availability and prices can vary by state and may change before kickoff.