Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC 11/01/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC points to a high-stakes Premier League Matchday 9 showdown at Anfield on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 11:30 a.m. ET. Arsenal arrive in second place with 21 points, six ahead of fourth-place Liverpool, and have won seven of their first eight league games. Liverpool have four wins, three ties, and one loss, with a 11-8 goal record. The matchup offers an intriguing contrast: Arsenal have been the more consistent league side, while Liverpool have home-field advantage and a strong recent run across competitions.

The supplied season stats show Liverpool taking 123 shots in eight league matches, or 15.4 per game; Arsenal have 107, or 13.4 per game. Those totals indicate both teams are generating chances, although they are not shots on target. The teams have also recorded 5,340 and 5,626 ball touches, respectively—about 668 per game for Liverpool and 703 for Arsenal. Touches are not the same as possession percentage, so they should not be treated as a direct possession measure. The betting case here leans toward Arsenal’s league consistency, goals at both ends, and a game with scoring opportunities.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC

Arsenal to Win — +125

Arsenal’s league record is the clearest argument for backing the visitors: seven wins from eight, compared with Liverpool’s four. Liverpool have been impressive lately, but their home league record is only one win, two ties, and one loss. Arsenal are priced at +125 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which implies a 44.4% break-even probability before accounting for the sportsbook’s margin. We estimate Arsenal’s win chance at 45%. The pick: Arsenal to win at +125.

Both Teams to Score — Yes, -149

Liverpool’s attack has produced 11 league goals in eight games, while Arsenal have scored 13. Liverpool also have 8 goals against and Arsenal have conceded 5, leaving room for each side to find a scoring chance. The previous head-to-head ended scoreless, but that single result is not enough to outweigh the current season’s scoring profiles. We estimate a 62% chance of both teams scoring. The pick: Yes at -149 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Over 2.5 Goals — -125

The over is supported by the teams’ combined league scoring rate of 3.0 goals per game: Liverpool average 1.38 scored and 1.00 allowed, while Arsenal average 1.63 scored and 0.63 allowed. Their recent form also suggests both attacks can create chances, even though Arsenal’s cup match ended scoreless in regulation. We estimate a 58% chance of at least three goals. The pick: Over 2.5 goals at -125.

Team Statistics

Liverpool: Recent Momentum, With Home Results Still a Question

Liverpool are fourth with 15 points after eight league matches, recording four wins, three ties, and one loss. They have scored 11 goals and allowed 8, averaging 1.38 scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their home league record is less convincing: one win, two ties, and one loss. That is a 25% home win rate and a 25% loss rate.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Liverpool have four wins and one loss, a 80% win rate. Their latest result was a 2-0 home win over Brighton. The run includes a 4-3 Champions League win over Villarreal and a 2-1 league win at Brentford, along with a 0-3 home loss to Manchester City. Under coach Andoni Iraola, Liverpool have shown attacking momentum, but their home league record makes this a tougher spot to call than their recent streak alone might suggest.

Arsenal: Strong League Form and a Recent Cup Setback

Arsenal sit second with 21 points, having won seven of eight league matches and lost once. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 5, averaging 1.63 scored and 0.63 allowed per game. Their away league record is three wins and one loss, a 75% win rate on the road.

Arsenal’s last five across competitions produced three wins, one tie, and one loss: a 60% win rate. Their latest game was a League Cup loss to Fleetwood Town on penalties after a scoreless regulation period. Before that, Mikel Arteta’s side beat Everton 2-0, tied Bayern Munich 2-2, and won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. The cup exit may be a distraction, but Arsenal’s league form remains the stronger foundation for the away-win pick.

Latest Odds Boosts

Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors

The supplied matchup notes identify Alexander Isak as Liverpool’s leading league scorer with six goals, making him a key threat if Liverpool can supply him in dangerous areas. Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres is listed with 11 league goals, while Declan Rice’s fitness is a major variable: the notes describe him as a doubt after coming off late against Everton. Bukayo Saka and William Saliba are also listed as unavailable, which could affect Arsenal at both ends. Liverpool have their own reported absences, including Dominik Szoboszlai and Hugo Ekitiké. These availability details should be checked close to kickoff, since lineups can shift the matchup and the soccer betting odds. Anfield gives Liverpool a meaningful home boost, but Arsenal’s stronger league record keeps the visitors in the conversation.

Last Direct Match: Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC

The most recent meeting between Liverpool and Arsenal ended in a 0-0 tie. That result offers a reminder that this matchup can turn tight, although the current scoring numbers support considering goals in this meeting.

Performance in the Last 5 Matches

Liverpool: 4 wins, 0 ties, 1 loss. Arsenal: 3 wins, 1 tie, 1 loss. Liverpool’s latest result was a 2-0 win over Brighton; Arsenal’s latest was a penalty-shootout loss after a 0-0 regulation tie with Fleetwood Town.

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three picks are Arsenal to win at +125, both teams to score at -149, and Over 2.5 goals at -125. Arsenal’s seven league wins and 75% away win rate make the visitors our 1X2 choice, despite Liverpool’s recent run and Anfield advantage. The scoring picks reflect both teams’ league goal production and the prospect of chances at both ends. These are estimates, not guarantees; compare the available soccer betting odds, check confirmed lineups, and wager responsibly.