Newcastle United vs Everton FC 11/02/2026 Soccer Prediction

Our soccer betting prediction for Newcastle United vs Everton FC starts with a close look at the standings and each club’s recent results. This is Premier League Matchday 9 at St James’ Park on Monday, November 2, 2026, with Newcastle eighth on 11 points and Everton 11th on 10. The Magpies’ 2-0 road win over Crystal Palace offers a timely boost, while Everton comes in after a 2-0 loss at Arsenal. Newcastle has scored 12 goals and allowed 14 through eight league games, an average of 1.50 scored and 1.75 allowed per game. Everton’s totals of eight scored and nine allowed work out to 1.00 and 1.13 per game. The available season stats show 12 shots per game for Newcastle and 13.6 for Everton, although shot totals are not the same as shots on goal. Recent form is mixed for both sides, but Newcastle has home-field advantage and the stronger attacking output. Our picks below weigh that edge against Everton’s tendency to tie away from home.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Newcastle United vs Everton FC

1. Newcastle United to Win — +125

Newcastle is the pick in the 1X2 market at +125 with BetMGM Sportsbook. The home side has three wins in eight league games and just earned a 2-0 road result, while Everton has yet to win on the road, recording three ties and one loss away. Newcastle’s home record is not dominant—one win, two ties, and one loss—but St James’ Park and the gap in goals scored make the Magpies a reasonable value play. Our estimated chances: Newcastle 44%, tie 29%, Everton 27%.

2. Both Teams to Score — Yes, -175

Both teams to score is our second selection, available at -175 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Newcastle’s defense has allowed 14 goals in eight league games, or 1.75 per match, leaving room for Everton to find a way through even with a modest scoring average. The Toffees have managed eight goals overall, but they have also generated 109 shots across eight matches. Newcastle’s 96 shots suggest the home team should create chances, too. This is a higher-priced market, so consider the odds and your risk tolerance before placing a bet.

3. Under 2.5 Goals — +120

Our third pick is Under 2.5 goals at +120. Everton’s away games have been low-scoring so far: the team has scored three and conceded five across four road matches, averaging 0.75 goals for and 1.25 against. Newcastle’s overall defensive record is less convincing, but Everton’s 1.00 goals per game points to a limited attacking ceiling. The case for the under depends on the visitors’ scoring struggles outweighing Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities. It is a value-oriented option rather than a certainty.

Team Statistics

Newcastle United: Home Advantage, Uneven Form

Newcastle sits eighth with 11 points after eight matches, with three wins, two ties, and three losses. That is a 37.5% win rate and a 37.5% loss rate. The team has scored 12 goals and conceded 14, averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 allowed per game. At home, Newcastle has one win, two ties, and one loss. Across its last five matches in all competitions, the Magpies have two wins and three losses. Their latest result, a 2-0 win away to Crystal Palace, gives manager Matthias Jaissle’s side a positive note to build on.

Everton FC: Hard to Beat, Still Seeking an Away Win

Everton is 11th on 10 points, with two wins, four ties, and two losses. The Toffees have tied half of their league games, a 50% tie rate, while their win and loss rates are both 25%. They have scored eight goals and allowed nine, averaging 1.00 scored and 1.13 conceded per match. Away from home, Everton has three ties and one loss, with no wins. Its last five matches in all competitions produced two wins, one tie, and two losses. David Moyes’ team most recently lost 2-0 at Arsenal.

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Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors

Newcastle’s 96 shots through eight league matches average 12 per game, while Everton’s 109 shots average 13.6. Those figures suggest Everton can generate attempts despite its lower goal total, but they do not confirm how many efforts have been on target. Newcastle has recorded 36 corners, compared with Everton’s 39, giving both teams a potential route to chances from set pieces. The Magpies’ recent win over Crystal Palace should help their confidence, while Everton will want a response after a scoreless outing at Arsenal. Newcastle’s home setting and higher scoring average support the home-win pick; Everton’s road ties and modest goal production are reasons to be cautious about expecting a high-scoring game.

Last Direct Match: Newcastle United vs Everton FC

The most recent head-to-head meeting ended in a 3-1 home win for Everton FC. That result is a reminder that the Toffees can trouble Newcastle, even though the current venue and form point toward a different challenge.

Performance in the Last 5 Matches

Newcastle United: two wins, no ties, and three losses. Everton FC: two wins, one tie, and two losses.

Performance

Newcastle United

Last games

Newcastle United performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

80%

Everton FC

Last games

Everton FC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

40%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three soccer betting picks are Newcastle to win at +125, both teams to score at -175, and Under 2.5 goals at +120. Newcastle’s home advantage, recent win, and better scoring average make the Magpies the preferred 1X2 side. Everton’s road record makes an away win less compelling, but Newcastle’s goals-against average leaves a path for the visitors to score. The under is supported by Everton’s limited away output, though the BTTS pick means the match could land close to the 2.5-goal line. Odds can change, and no betting outcome is guaranteed; compare soccer betting odds and wager responsibly.