Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

As the Premier League season progresses into Matchday 5, Tottenham Hotspur will host Aston Villa at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026. With both teams lingering near the bottom of the standings, this match promises to be a high-stakes encounter. Tottenham currently sits in 17th place with two points and has been experiencing a goal drought, having not found the back of the net in four league matches. Meanwhile, Aston Villa isn't faring much better, positioned at 19th with just one point. Both teams are desperate for a win, making this a compelling fixture for soccer betting enthusiasts.
Tottenham's lack of offensive production is concerning, averaging 0 goals per game while conceding 1.25. Aston Villa, on the other hand, has averaged 0.25 goals per game while conceding 1.75. These statistics suggest a potentially low-scoring affair. The average shots on goal per match are also modest for both teams, with Tottenham at approximately 3.5 and Aston Villa at 3.7. Additionally, Tottenham's average ball possession stands at 51%, slightly higher than Villa's 48%. Both teams will need to capitalize on their limited opportunities if they wish to secure crucial points.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
1. Match Result - Home Win
Our soccer betting pick suggests a home win for Tottenham Hotspur. Despite their struggles, Spurs have the home advantage, and manager Roberto De Zerbi will be keen to turn things around. The odds for Tottenham to win are +100 at BetMGM Sportsbook, making it a value bet considering Aston Villa's poor form on the road.
2. Both Teams to Score
Our soccer predictions favor both teams to find the net. Despite their recent goal-scoring issues, both teams are under pressure to deliver. The odds for both teams to score are -149, which can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook. This bet presents a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
3. Total Goals - Under 2.5
Our soccer picks also lean towards a low-scoring match, with under 2.5 goals being a likely outcome. Both teams have been struggling offensively, and the odds of +110 for under 2.5 goals provide good value for a cautious bettor.
Further Predictions
Our tips
Team Statistics
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur's recent form has been lackluster with 1 win, 2 ties, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last outing ended in a 0-0 tie against Everton. Currently, they hold the 17th spot in the Premier League with a 0% win rate in the league this season. With a home record of 0 wins, 1 tie, and 1 loss, Roberto De Zerbi's side needs to improve their offensive output to climb up the standings.
Aston Villa
Aston Villa has been equally disappointing with 1 win, 1 tie, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their most recent game resulted in a 1-2 home loss to Nottingham Forest. Positioned at 19th in the league, Villa has only managed to score once in the Premier League this season. Their away record mirrors Tottenham's, with 0 wins, 1 tie, and 1 loss. Unai Emery will be eager to see his side improve their form.
Latest Odds Boosts
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
Tottenham's attacking struggles can be attributed to the absence of key players like James Maddison and Dominic Solanke due to injuries. Meanwhile, Aston Villa's challenge is compounded by the unavailability of important players such as Tammy Abraham and Leon Bailey. The psychological edge may lean towards Villa, having won four of their last five encounters against Tottenham. However, Tottenham's home advantage and desperation for points could tilt the balance in their favor.
Last Direct Match: Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
The last meeting between these two sides was a 2-1 away win for Tottenham Hotspur, indicating a competitive yet favorable outcome for the home side.
Performance Last 5 Matches
Performance
Tottenham Hotspur performance of the last 5 home matches
Aston Villa performance of the last 5 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three tips for the Tottenham vs Aston Villa match focus on a home win, both teams to score, and under 2.5 goals. The home advantage and Tottenham's desperation for a win make them the likely victors. Despite both teams' struggles, the pressure might lead to both finding the net. However, given their recent offensive woes, a low-scoring affair is anticipated.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Arsenal FC
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
|
2
|
Manchester City
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
|
3
|
Leeds United
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
|
4
|
Hull City AFC
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
|
5
|
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
|
6
|
Chelsea FC
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 |
|
7
|
Brentford FC
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
8
|
Liverpool FC
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
|
9
|
Everton FC
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
|
10
|
Ipswich Town
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 |
|
11
|
Nottingham Forest FC
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
|
12
|
Newcastle United
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
|
13
|
Manchester United
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
|
14
|
Sunderland AFC
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 |
|
15
|
AFC Bournemouth
|
3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 |
|
16
|
Crystal Palace
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 |
|
17
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
|
18
|
Fulham FC
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 |
|
19
|
Aston Villa
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 |
|
20
|
Coventry City
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 |
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