AS Roma vs Real Madrid Predictions & Odds - UEFA Champions League Picks
Soccer fans in the US are eagerly anticipating the UEFA Champions League match between AS Roma and Real Madrid on October 14, 2026. Set to kick off at 15:00 EST, this thrilling encounter will take place at the iconic Stadio Olimpico in Rome. With both teams entering this match under different circumstances, the soccer betting odds are buzzing with possibilities. Real Madrid, led by the tactical prowess of José Mourinho, comes off a challenging loss to Atlético Madrid but remains a formidable force in the Champions League, having secured a 2-1 win over Inter Milan in their opening game. Meanwhile, AS Roma, under the guidance of Gian Piero Gasperini, is enjoying an unbeaten domestic run, though they currently sit 17th in the Champions League table after a 1-1 tie against Fenerbahce. Both teams boast impressive attacking statistics, with Real Madrid averaging 2 goals per match in their last five, while AS Roma holds a strong defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game. As the match approaches, the soccer betting market is heating up, with fans keen to capitalize on the insights offered by platforms like BetMGM Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for AS Roma vs Real Madrid
1. Match Winner - Real Madrid
Our soccer betting pick leans towards an away win for Real Madrid, tipped at -118 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Despite their recent loss to Atlético Madrid, Real Madrid's attacking quartet, featuring the likes of Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior, remains a potent threat. Roma's defense might struggle against this level of firepower, especially with key players like Svilar out. With Real Madrid's historical success in the Champions League, betting on them to secure a win seems like a solid wager.
2. Both Teams to Score
Our soccer predictions suggest that both teams will score, with the odds set at -250 on FanDuel Sportsbook. AS Roma's attacking prowess, led by Donyell Malen, combined with Real Madrid's defensive injuries, makes this a likely outcome. Both teams have consistently found the back of the net in recent fixtures, and the trend is expected to continue in this high-stakes match.
3. Total Goals - Under 3.5
Our soccer betting prediction indicates that the total goals will be under 3.5, with odds at -125. While both teams have strong offensive capabilities, the strategic nature of Champions League fixtures often leads to more cautious play, especially in the early stages of the league phase. Real Madrid's recent performances have shown a balance between defense and attack, suggesting a tighter scoreline.
Further Predictions
Our tips
Team Statistics
AS Roma - Unbeaten Streak Continues
AS Roma, under Gian Piero Gasperini, has maintained an unbeaten record in their last five matches across all competitions, with three wins and two ties. Their latest result was a 2-2 tie against Inter Milan, showcasing both their scoring ability and defensive resilience. Roma's current standing in the Champions League sees them 17th, with one point from their opening match, having scored and conceded once. Their domestic form, however, has been stellar, positioning them as a tough competitor.
Real Madrid - Mixed Form but Strong Potential
Real Madrid's form in their last five matches has been mixed, with three wins and two losses. Their recent 1-2 loss to Atlético Madrid was a setback, yet their offensive prowess is undeniable, highlighted by a 4-1 win over Rayo Vallecano. Currently sitting 13th in the Champions League table with three points, Real Madrid's ability to perform on the big stage remains unquestioned. Their average goals per match stand at 2, reinforcing their attacking threat.
Latest Odds Boosts
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
Donyell Malen, AS Roma's leading scorer, is in outstanding form, having netted 7 goals this season, averaging a goal every 91 minutes. Real Madrid's Kylian Mbappé, despite a minor knee scare, is expected to be a key figure in the attack, bringing pace and finishing skills that could exploit Roma's defensive gaps. The absence of key defenders for Real Madrid, like Militao and Mendy, due to injuries, could be a pivotal factor, potentially impacting their defensive stability. Meanwhile, Roma's backup goalkeeper, Gollini, will need to step up in Svilar's absence to keep Real Madrid's attacking threats at bay.
Last Direct Match - AS Roma vs Real Madrid
The last encounter between these two sides ended in a thrilling 2-2 tie, with AS Roma prevailing 5-4 on penalties, showcasing the evenly matched nature of these teams.
Performance Last 5 Matches
Performance
AS Roma performance of the last 3 home matches
Real Madrid performance of the last 7 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our soccer predictions suggest betting on Real Madrid for an away win due to their potent attack, despite recent defensive concerns. Both teams are expected to score given their recent form and attacking capabilities. Lastly, the under 3.5 goals prediction reflects the strategic and cautious approach typical of Champions League matches. These insights are backed by current squad dynamics and recent performances, making them suitable for those looking to engage in soccer betting.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
|
2
|
FC Bayern München
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
|
3
|
FC Barcelona
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
|
4
|
Manchester United
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
|
5
|
Como
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
|
6
|
VfB Stuttgart
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
|
7
|
Sporting CP
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
|
8
|
Manchester City
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
|
9
|
Aston Villa
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
10
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
11
|
Real Betis Sevilla
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
12
|
RC Lens
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
13
|
Real Madrid CF
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
14
|
Liverpool FC
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
15
|
Arsenal FC
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
16
|
AEK Athen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
17
|
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
18
|
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
19
|
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
20
|
Schachtar Donezk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
21
|
Villarreal CF
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
|
22
|
Lille OSC
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
|
23
|
Slavia Praha
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
|
24
|
FC Bruges
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
|
25
|
Inter Milan
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
|
26
|
Atlético Madrid
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
|
27
|
SSC Napoli
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
28
|
LASK
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
29
|
Viking FK
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
|
30
|
Galatasaray
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
|
31
|
Futebol Clube do Porto
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
|
32
|
RB Leipzig
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
|
33
|
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 |
|
34
|
Sabah FK
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
|
35
|
Slovan Bratislava
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 |
|
36
|
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
- Next round
- Play-offs