Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool FC 11/04/2026 Soccer Prediction
Our soccer betting prediction for the match Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool FC starts with the contrasting Champions League positions: Liverpool arrive in Istanbul third in the league phase with nine points from three wins, while Fenerbahçe sit 31st with two points after two ties and a loss. The teams meet on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 12:45 p.m. ET at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium for Matchday 4. Liverpool’s 12 goals in three matches work out to an average of 4.0 per game; Fenerbahçe have scored 1.0 per game and allowed 3.0. Those figures point toward an entertaining matchup, although Liverpool’s defensive record—an average of 2.33 goals allowed per game—also gives the hosts reason to believe they can score. We don’t have reliable current figures for shots on target or possession, so those are better left out than guessed. For soccer betting, our focus is Liverpool’s stronger results, a possible goal from each side, and the potential for a high-scoring game.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool FC
1. Liverpool to Win — Tip 2 at -161
Liverpool have won all three of their league-phase matches and have scored an average of 4.0 goals per game in the competition. Fenerbahçe, by contrast, are still looking for a first win and have conceded an average of 3.0 goals per Champions League match. The home crowd and Liverpool’s defensive absences add uncertainty, but the visitors’ form makes them the stronger side on the 1X2 market. Our pick is Liverpool to win at BetMGM Sportsbook’s listed price of -161.
2. Both Teams to Score — Yes at -189
Fenerbahçe have scored in each of their three league-phase matches, but they have also allowed nine goals across those games. Liverpool’s attack has been productive, averaging 4.0 goals per match, while their seven goals allowed indicate that clean sheets have not been a given. The home side’s need for points should encourage an assertive approach, and Liverpool’s defensive availability is a concern. We expect both teams to find the net; the listed FanDuel Sportsbook price is -189.
3. Over 3.5 Goals at +120
This is the more aggressive of our three picks, but the scoring numbers make it worth considering at plus money. Liverpool’s Champions League matches have averaged 6.33 total goals per game, while Fenerbahçe’s have averaged 4.0. Those early-season figures are based on a small sample and shouldn’t be treated as a guarantee, but both teams have shown attacking potential alongside defensive vulnerabilities. Our third pick is over 3.5 total goals at the available +120 price.
Team Statistics
Fenerbahçe: Searching for a First League-Phase Win
Fenerbahçe have two points from three Champions League matches, placing them 31st in the table. Their record is two ties and one loss, with three goals scored and nine allowed. At home, they have tied both matches, earning two points from a possible six. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have two wins, one tie, and two losses: a 40% win rate and a 40% loss rate. Their most recent result was a 2-1 away loss to Galatasaray. Coach İsmail Kartal’s team will need to improve defensively while making the most of home support.
Liverpool FC: Perfect Start and Strong Scoring Form
Liverpool are third with nine points after winning each of their first three league-phase games. They have scored 12 goals and conceded seven, an average of 4.0 scored and 2.33 allowed per match. Their away record in the competition is one win from one game. Liverpool have also won all five of their last five matches in all competitions, a 100% win rate over that stretch. Their latest outing finished 1-1 against Chelsea before Liverpool won 6-5 in the penalty shootout. Coach Andoni Iraola’s side will aim to carry its winning run into Istanbul.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors
Liverpool’s attacking output is the headline: they have scored in every league-phase match and average four goals per game. However, the supplied team information lists several defensive absences, including Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, and Jeremie Frimpong, which could leave the visitors less settled at the back. Fenerbahçe’s two home ties show they have avoided a home loss in this competition so far, but their nine goals conceded across three matches underline the defensive challenge. Liverpool’s recent five-match winning run contrasts with Fenerbahçe’s mixed results. The Istanbul atmosphere and Fenerbahçe’s need for points could make this more competitive than the table suggests.
Last Direct Match: Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool FC
No information about a previous competitive meeting between these teams is available in the supplied match data.
Performance in the Last 5 Matches
Fenerbahçe: two wins, one tie, and two losses. Liverpool FC: five wins and no ties or losses.
Performance
Fenerbahçe performance of the last 6 home matches
Liverpool FC performance of the last 4 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three picks are Liverpool to win at -161, both teams to score at -189, and over 3.5 goals at +120. Liverpool’s perfect league-phase record and superior scoring average support the away-win selection. Fenerbahçe’s home ties and Liverpool’s goals-against record make a goal from each team plausible, while the high scoring averages point toward a potentially open game. The goal total is the riskiest pick, so consider it separately and compare current soccer betting odds before placing a wager. Odds can change, and every bet carries risk.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
|
2
|
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
|
3
|
Liverpool FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
|
4
|
Real Madrid CF
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
5
|
Real Betis Sevilla
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
6
|
VfB Stuttgart
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
|
7
|
Arsenal FC
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
|
8
|
FC Barcelona
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
|
9
|
Como
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
10
|
Manchester City
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
|
11
|
FC Bruges
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
|
12
|
Sporting CP
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
13
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
14
|
FC Bayern München
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
15
|
AS Roma
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
|
16
|
Schachtar Donezk
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
17
|
Atlético Madrid
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
18
|
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
|
19
|
Villarreal CF
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
20
|
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
21
|
Inter Milan
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
22
|
SSC Napoli
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 |
|
23
|
LASK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
24
|
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
25
|
Sabah FK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 |
|
26
|
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 |
|
27
|
RC Lens
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 |
|
28
|
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 |
|
29
|
AEK Athen
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
30
|
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
31
|
Fenerbahçe
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 |
|
32
|
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 |
|
33
|
Viking FK
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 |
|
34
|
Futebol Clube do Porto
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
|
35
|
Lille OSC
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 |
|
36
|
Slovan Bratislava
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 |
- Next round
- Play-offs