FK Bodoe/Glimt vs OSC Lille 11/03/2026 Soccer Prediction
Our soccer betting prediction for the match FK Bodoe/Glimt vs OSC Lille centers on the home side’s strong start at Aspmyra Stadion and the defensive concerns both teams have shown in the Champions League. This is Matchday 4 of the league phase, with kickoff set for Tuesday, November 3, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. ET (8:00 p.m. UTC). Bodø/Glimt have three points from three matches, while Lille are still looking for their first point after three straight losses.
The numbers point toward an energetic, open contest. Bodø/Glimt have scored four goals and conceded nine in Europe, while Lille have scored four and allowed 10. That works out to averages of 1.33 goals scored per game for Bodø/Glimt and 1.33 for Lille, with 3.00 and 3.33 conceded per game, respectively. Their Champions League shot totals equal roughly 9.7 per match for the hosts and 8.3 for Lille. The supplied statistics do not include reliable possession percentages, so the clearest indicators are the shot volume and the teams’ goals-against figures. Those trends shape our picks: a home win, both teams to score, and over 3.5 goals.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for FK Bodoe/Glimt vs OSC Lille
Pick 1: FK Bodø/Glimt to Win — Tip 1 at -114
Bodø/Glimt get the nod at home, where they have already taken a Champions League win this season. They also arrive off a 3-2 win over Viking, while Lille’s European record stands at three losses in three matches. The listed BetMGM Sportsbook price is -114, implying a probability of about 53.3% before accounting for the sportsbook’s margin. Our estimate is a 54% home-win chance, 24% for a tie, and 22% for a Lille win. The home win is the clear tip.
Pick 2: Both Teams to Score — Yes at -217
Both teams have found the net four times in their first three Champions League games, but neither defense has provided much security. Bodø/Glimt have conceded an average of 3.00 goals per match in Europe, and Lille’s average is 3.33. The BTTS price at BetMGM Sportsbook is -217, a short price that reflects the likelihood of goals at both ends. We make this a 70% possibility, with Lille’s need for points adding to the chance of an attacking approach.
Pick 3: Over 3.5 Total Goals at +115
This is the higher-risk selection of the three, but the defensive records make it appealing at plus money. Bodø/Glimt and Lille have allowed a combined 19 goals across six Champions League matches, an average of 3.17 conceded per team per game. Both sides have attacking reasons to press: the hosts want to strengthen their position, and Lille need to turn their European campaign around. We estimate a 49% chance of at least four total goals. Take over 3.5 at +115.
Team Statistics
FK Bodø/Glimt: Home Momentum and a Chance to Climb
Bodø/Glimt sit 28th with three points after three league-phase matches, with one win and two losses. Their Champions League record is four goals scored and nine conceded. At home in the competition, they have one win from one match, with no tie or loss. Their last five across all competitions show three wins and two losses: a 3-2 home win over Viking, a 0-1 loss to Vålerenga, a 3-4 loss away to Napoli, a 2-0 win at Hamarkameratene, and a 1-0 win over Borussia Dortmund. That is a 60% win rate and 40% loss rate across the sample. Coach Kjetil Knutsen’s team has shown it can produce results at Aspmyra, though the European goals-against total remains a warning.
OSC Lille: European Pressure Despite a More Competitive Domestic Run
Lille are 35th in the league-phase table with zero points, having lost all three European matches. They have scored four goals and conceded 10, and their away Champions League record is one loss from one match. In the supplied last-five sample, Lille have one win, two ties, and two losses, equivalent to a 20% win rate and 40% loss rate. Their latest completed result was a 1-1 tie away to Monaco; their most recent listed match was against Lens on October 30. The European results—losses to Galatasaray and Arsenal, along with an opening loss—contrast with their steadier Ligue 1 form. Davide Ancelotti’s side needs points, but the European defensive record makes this a difficult road test.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Statistics, Momentum, and External Factors
Bodø/Glimt’s attacking output has been enough to stay competitive, but conceding nine goals in three Champions League games leaves little room for a quiet match. Their recent 3-2 win over Viking offers a confidence lift ahead of Lille’s visit. Lille have scored four times in Europe but have allowed 10, so their attack may still contribute even as the defense struggles. One confirmed absence is Ethan Mbappé, who is suspended. Lille’s need to collect their first points could encourage a more forward-minded game, while Bodø/Glimt’s home record makes the hosts the stronger side on the 1X2 market. For U.S. readers comparing soccer betting odds, note that the supplied prices are American odds; always check the current line and terms at the sportsbook before placing a wager.
Last Direct Match: FK Bodoe/Glimt vs OSC Lille
No information is available about a previous direct meeting between these clubs, so there is no head-to-head result to use as a form guide.
Performance Last 5 Matches
FK Bodø/Glimt: 3 wins, 0 ties, 2 losses. Latest result: 3-2 home win over Viking FK.
OSC Lille: 1 win, 2 ties, 2 losses. Latest completed result: 1-1 away tie with AS Monaco.
Performance
FK Bodoe/Glimt performance of the last 6 home matches
OSC Lille performance of the last 4 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three picks are built around Bodø/Glimt’s home advantage and the defensive trends on both sides. We favor the hosts to win at -114, expect both teams to score at -217, and see value in over 3.5 goals at +115. The home side is better positioned to claim the result, but its own goals-against average and Lille’s need to attack support a game with chances at both ends. These are estimates, not guarantees; compare prices at BetMGM Sportsbook and other U.S.-available sportsbooks, and wager responsibly.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
|
2
|
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
|
3
|
Liverpool FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
|
4
|
Real Madrid CF
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
5
|
Real Betis Sevilla
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
6
|
VfB Stuttgart
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
|
7
|
Arsenal FC
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
|
8
|
FC Barcelona
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
|
9
|
Como
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
10
|
Manchester City
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
|
11
|
FC Bruges
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
|
12
|
Sporting CP
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
13
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
14
|
FC Bayern München
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
15
|
AS Roma
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
|
16
|
Schachtar Donezk
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
17
|
Atlético Madrid
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
18
|
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
|
19
|
Villarreal CF
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
20
|
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
21
|
Inter Milan
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
22
|
SSC Napoli
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 |
|
23
|
LASK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
24
|
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
25
|
Sabah FK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 |
|
26
|
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 |
|
27
|
RC Lens
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 |
|
28
|
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 |
|
29
|
AEK Athen
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
30
|
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
31
|
Fenerbahçe
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 |
|
32
|
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 |
|
33
|
Viking FK
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 |
|
34
|
Futebol Clube do Porto
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
|
35
|
Lille OSC
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 |
|
36
|
Slovan Bratislava
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 |
- Next round
- Play-offs