Manchester United vs AS Roma 11/03/2026 Soccer Prediction
Our soccer betting prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma focuses on a matchup with contrasting recent form and a potentially lively scoreline. The UEFA Champions League league-phase game is set for Tuesday, November 3, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. ET at Old Trafford. After three matches, United sit 20th with three points, while Roma are 15th with four. United’s home record in the competition is one win from one game; Roma have earned a tie in their only away outing.
The supplied recent-form figures point in different directions: Manchester United are winless in their last five across all competitions, with two ties and three losses, while Roma have three wins, one tie, and one loss. United’s latest result was a 3-0 home loss to Bournemouth; Roma most recently beat Cagliari 4-2. Those results make the 1X2 market less straightforward than the home crowd might suggest, but United’s home advantage and the listed odds still give the home-win pick a case. The goal markets also merit attention: Roma have scored eight and conceded five in their first three league-phase games, while United have scored five and conceded six. That is an average of 2.67 goals scored per game for Roma and 1.67 for United in this competition. Specific shots-on-target and possession figures weren’t provided, so we won’t invent them.
Our 3 betting predictions for Manchester United vs AS Roma
1. Manchester United to win (+137)
United’s recent results are a concern, but the home side has won its only Champions League game at Old Trafford so far, and the market offers a plus-money price. Roma have not yet won away in this league phase, taking a tie from their sole road match. That small sample is not conclusive, but it supports a home-side lean. Our pick is Manchester United to win at BetMGM Sportsbook for +137.
2. Both teams to score — Yes (-200)
This is the shortest-priced of our three recommendations, but the teams’ league-phase scoring records support it: Roma have found the net eight times in three games, and United have scored five. The recent results also suggest both defenses can be tested, with United coming off a 3-0 loss and Roma a 4-2 win. The price is steep, so weigh the risk against the likely return. Pick: Yes at FanDuel Sportsbook, -200.
3. Over 3.5 total goals (+130)
Over 3.5 requires at least four goals, so this is the higher-risk selection of the three. Still, Roma’s matches have featured a strong scoring rate: the club has averaged 2.67 goals scored per league-phase game, and its latest match finished 4-2. United’s five goals in three European games add another reason to consider an open contest. Our lean is Over 3.5 goals at the listed +130 price.
Team Statistics
Manchester United: Home advantage, but uneven form
Manchester United enter Matchday 4 in 20th place with three points from three games: one win and two losses, with no ties. The team has scored five goals and conceded six, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 allowed per game. Its league-phase home record is one win, no ties, and no losses. Across the last five matches in all competitions, United have no wins, two ties, and three losses—a 0% win rate and 60% loss rate. The latest outing was a 3-0 home loss to AFC Bournemouth. Michael Carrick’s team will need to turn home support into a more composed performance, particularly after a difficult run of results.
AS Roma: Better recent results and a positive goal balance
Roma are 15th in the league-phase standings with four points from three matches: one win, one tie, and one loss. They have scored eight goals and conceded five, averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 allowed per game. Roma’s only away league-phase match ended in a tie, so their road record is one tie and no wins or losses. In their last five matches across all competitions, Gian Piero Gasperini’s side has three wins, one tie, and one loss: a 60% win rate and 20% loss rate. Roma’s most recent result was a 4-2 home win over Cagliari.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Momentum and External Factors
The available information points to a form contrast rather than a confirmed personnel advantage: United arrive after a 3-0 loss, while Roma come off a 4-2 win and have the stronger five-game record. Roma also have the better league-phase goal difference, at +3 compared with United’s -1. Old Trafford gives United a familiar home setting, and they have already won there in this competition. However, Roma’s eight goals through three games suggest their attack can pose a threat. No verified player-level statistics or confirmed availability details were supplied for this preview, so check official team news before placing a wager. Odds can change, and the listed prices may not be available at kickoff.
Last direct match: Manchester United vs AS Roma
The supplied head-to-head note lists the most recent meeting as a 3-2 home win for AS Roma. That result offers some context, but it should not outweigh current form, venue, and the teams’ present league-phase records.
Performance in the Last 5 Matches
- Manchester United: 0 wins, 2 ties, 3 losses.
- AS Roma: 3 wins, 1 tie, 1 loss.
Performance
Manchester United performance of the last 5 home matches
AS Roma performance of the last 5 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three picks are Manchester United to win at +137, both teams to score at -200, and Over 3.5 goals at +130. The home-win selection leans on United’s Old Trafford record and Roma’s lack of an away win in the league phase, while the scoring picks reflect both clubs’ goal output and their recent results. The over is the most aggressive play because it needs four goals. These are opinions, not guarantees: compare soccer betting odds across legal sportsbooks, consider the price and risk, and wager responsibly.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
|
2
|
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
|
3
|
Liverpool FC
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
|
4
|
Real Madrid CF
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
5
|
Real Betis Sevilla
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
6
|
VfB Stuttgart
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
|
7
|
Arsenal FC
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
|
8
|
FC Barcelona
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
|
9
|
Como
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
10
|
Manchester City
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
|
11
|
FC Bruges
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
|
12
|
Sporting CP
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
13
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
14
|
FC Bayern München
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
|
15
|
AS Roma
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
|
16
|
Schachtar Donezk
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
17
|
Atlético Madrid
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
|
18
|
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
|
19
|
Villarreal CF
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
20
|
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
21
|
Inter Milan
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
|
22
|
SSC Napoli
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 |
|
23
|
LASK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
24
|
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
25
|
Sabah FK
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 |
|
26
|
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 |
|
27
|
RC Lens
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 |
|
28
|
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 |
|
29
|
AEK Athen
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
30
|
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 |
|
31
|
Fenerbahçe
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 |
|
32
|
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 |
|
33
|
Viking FK
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 |
|
34
|
Futebol Clube do Porto
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
|
35
|
Lille OSC
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 |
|
36
|
Slovan Bratislava
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 |
- Next round
- Play-offs