Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics 10/30/2026
Chicago heads to TD Garden on Friday, October 30, for a rematch with Boston after the Celtics rolled to a 134-99 win in their last meeting. The teams arrive in very different form: Boston is 3-1, has won four of its last five, and is unbeaten at home, while the Bulls are 1-4 over their last five and coming off a 133-127 loss to New York. Chicago did score 127 in that game, so its offense showed some life, but the matchup and recent results still point toward the Celtics. Our betting outlook favors Boston on the moneyline and laying the points, with the total leaning under 233.5.
Check the price before picking a side. Compare NBA betting odds as we break down the matchups behind our picks.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics
Spread Pick: Celtics -10.5 (-125)
Boston has already shown how this matchup can tilt when its offense finds a rhythm: the Celtics put up 134 points in the previous meeting and won by 35. The home team is 3-0 at TD Garden this season, while Chicago has allowed 518 points through its first four games, or 129.5 per game. The Bulls can score a lot, as their 127-point outing against the Knicks shows, but they need a much better defensive performance to keep this close. Taking Boston to win by at least 11 points is the preferred spread play. -125.
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Moneyline: Celtics to Win (-500)
Boston is the clear favorite, and its current form supports the price. The Celtics are 3-1 overall, have won four of their last five, and are perfect at home. Chicago is 1-4 over the same recent stretch and was outscored 134-99 by Boston just a few days ago. A Celtics moneyline bet is the straightforward pick for anyone prioritizing the likely winner over a bigger payout. Our estimate gives Boston a 79% chance to win, with Chicago at 21%; the listed odds are -500 for Boston and +506 for the Bulls.
Total: Under 233.5 Points (-104)
The previous matchup landed at 233 total points, just below this line, and Boston’s strong defense at home offers a case for another game that stays under 233.5. Chicago has averaged 110.6 points through its five most recent games, while Boston’s last four results average 119.8 points scored per game. Those figures suggest a competitive total range, but the Bulls’ inconsistent results and Boston’s ability to control the matchup create some underappreciation. The pick is under 233.5 points at -104.
Team Statistics and Current Form
Boston Celtics: Strong Start, Especially at Home
Boston enters with a 3-1 record and a .750 win percentage. The home split is a major plus: the Celtics are 3-0 at TD Garden, and they have scored 366 points across those three home games, an average of 122.0 per game. Across all four games, Boston has scored 479 points, or 119.8 per game, while allowing 111.8 per game. That gives the Celtics a positive scoring margin of eight points per contest.
Their latest result was a 125-124 overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets. It followed the 134-99 win over Chicago, plus a 107-103 victory against the New York Knicks. Boston’s only loss came on the road against Detroit, 121-113. Taken together, the recent results show a team that has generally been productive offensively and has found ways to close tight games. The most recent overtime finish also serves as a reminder that Boston’s schedule and energy level are worth monitoring, even with home court on its side.
Chicago Bulls: Offensive Bursts, Defensive Concerns
The Bulls are listed at 1-3 with a .250 win percentage. The supplied overall record reflects four games, while the broader recent-results list includes five: Chicago’s record across those five is 1-4. The team has scored 443 points through four games, averaging 110.8, and has allowed 518, or 129.5 per game. That 75-point negative scoring difference across four games highlights the defensive challenge facing the Bulls in this matchup.
Chicago’s most recent game was a 133-127 home loss to the Knicks. Before that, the Bulls fell 134-99 to Boston and 124-120 to Washington, with a 132-125 win over Milwaukee providing the bright spot. They also lost 135-92 to Toronto. The Bulls have demonstrated the ability to reach the 120-point mark, but their results suggest they have struggled to pair that offense with consistent stops. At Boston, they’ll need both scoring efficiency and better transition defense to keep the margin manageable.
Key Player Momentum and External Factors
Chicago’s recent report identifies center Nic Claxton as out with a hamstring issue, while Patrick Williams is day-to-day with a groin concern and Tobe Awaka is listed with an ankle issue. Claxton’s absence could leave the Bulls short on frontcourt depth and rim protection. Boston’s listed availability includes Devin Carter out with mononucleosis; monitoring the final status of key players is still sensible before placing a wager. The supplied matchup notes also point to Chicago’s uneven three-point shooting as a potential limitation, though its 127-point showing against New York offers evidence the offense can respond. Boston has the home-court advantage and the confidence of a recent blowout win in this matchup.
Last Direct Match: Boston Celtics vs. Chicago Bulls
Boston won the most recent meeting 134-99 at home. The 35-point margin gives the Celtics a clear recent matchup edge, though Chicago will have the opportunity to make adjustments in the rematch.
Performance in the Last Five Matches
- Boston Celtics: 4 wins and 1 loss; most recently beat the Brooklyn Nets 125-124 in overtime.
- Chicago Bulls: 1 win and 4 losses; most recently lost to the New York Knicks 133-127.
- Recent head-to-head: Boston has won four of the last five meetings; Chicago has won one.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
Boston checks more boxes: a strong recent record, an unbeaten home mark, and a convincing win over Chicago in the previous meeting. The Celtics moneyline is the clearest winner pick, while Celtics -10.5 is the more aggressive angle, backed by the matchup’s recent 35-point margin and Chicago’s defensive numbers. The under 233.5 is a narrower lean—the previous game finished just below the line, but both teams have shown they can score. Our preferred approach is Boston to win, with the spread as the stronger value play and the under as a lower-confidence total pick.
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