NCAA Basketball: LSU @ Gonzaga 11/13/2026
Gonzaga welcomes undefeated LSU to Spokane on Saturday, Nov. 14, for an early-season nonconference test with a lot more intrigue than either team’s record alone suggests. The Bulldogs are 2-0, including a 78-72 win over Purdue and a 109-68 rout of New Mexico State. LSU is 3-0, with all three victories coming by at least 40 points—but against lower-level opposition, so this is a significant step up in competition for the Tigers. Gonzaga has the familiar home-court edge, while LSU faces a long trip from Baton Rouge and its first road game of the season. The supplied moneyline recommendation favors Gonzaga at -256, with LSU at +170.
Before backing your college hoops pick, compare NCAAB odds across spreads, moneylines, and totals for this matchup.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for LSU Tigers @ Gonzaga Bulldogs
1. Moneyline: Gonzaga to win — 66% win probability, -256
Gonzaga is the stronger side on the information available, and its opening win over Purdue gives the Bulldogs a more convincing early résumé than LSU’s blowout wins over New Orleans, Texas Southern and Louisiana Tech. Gonzaga has also scored efficiently in its first two games, averaging 93.5 points, and gets a meaningful venue advantage in Spokane. LSU’s three-game run is impressive, but the quality of opposition makes it tough to project that dominance carrying over unchanged against a ranked opponent. The risk is the price: -256 requires a substantial investment for a win, and LSU’s depth and scoring balance give the Tigers a path to make this competitive. Still, Gonzaga is the more dependable side. Betting tip: Gonzaga moneyline at -256; estimated win probability 66%.
2. Spread: LSU to cover a projected +6.5
There +6.5 is a projected line for this pick. LSU has been scoring in bunches, and the Tigers have shown they can generate offense from several players rather than relying on one scorer. Gonzaga should be favored, but a margin near a touchdown asks the Bulldogs to turn their home advantage into a comfortable win against an opponent that is 3-0 and has been sharp in its first three outings.
There are fair cautions: LSU has yet to face a team of this caliber, and its first road trip brings a new test of composure. But if the Tigers keep the game organized and avoid the foul trouble that affected Donovan Dent and Mo Dioubate against Louisiana Tech, they have a reasonable chance to stay within range. Betting tip: LSU +6.5.
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3. Total: Over a projected 157.5 points
There over 157.5 is the pick. Both teams have shown offensive upside: Gonzaga is averaging 93.5 points through two games, while LSU has averaged 94.0 across its first three. Those averages come from a very small sample, and LSU’s opponents were not comparable to Gonzaga, but the matchup still has scoring potential. Gonzaga’s recent 109-point performance and LSU’s efficient 90-point outing both point toward teams capable of pushing the pace and converting chances. The over depends on LSU contributing enough against a better defense and on the game staying competitive for four full periods. If Gonzaga controls the contest and LSU’s offense stalls, the pace and scoring could fall short. Betting tip: Over 157.5.
Gonzaga Bulldogs Current Form and Team Statistics
Gonzaga enters at 2-0, with two wins that offer different kinds of encouragement. The Bulldogs opened by beating Purdue 78-72 at a neutral site, then returned to Spokane and overwhelmed New Mexico State 109-68. That is an average of 93.5 points scored and 70.0 allowed per game across the two results. The early sample is short, but the Purdue game stands out as a quality result and suggests Gonzaga can compete when the opponent is a serious challenge.
The win over New Mexico State featured a major scoring night from Isiah Harwell and Davis Fogle, who each finished with 22 points. Fogle also scored 22 against Purdue, while Xaivian Lee added 18 in that opener. The team has shown several scoring options rather than leaning on a single player. One potential concern is rebounding: Gonzaga was outrebounded 16-10 in the first half against New Mexico State, and the supplied season note lists the Bulldogs at 32.0 rebounds per game. That number may become more relevant against a bigger, more physical opponent.
- Record: 2-0
- Last result: Win, 109-68 vs. New Mexico State
- Points per game: 93.5 scored, 70.0 allowed
- Notable result: 78-72 win over Purdue
Gonzaga’s record and ranking put the Bulldogs in a strong position, but this game is a better measuring stick than a pair of opening results can provide. The Spokane setting should help, though the game is at Spokane Arena rather than the Bulldogs’ on-campus venue.
LSU Tigers Current Form and Team Statistics
LSU is 3-0 and has won each game by at least 40 points: 100-57 against New Orleans, 92-51 against Texas Southern, and 90-50 against Louisiana Tech. The Tigers have averaged 94.0 points scored and 52.7 allowed per game in that three-game stretch. Those are eye-catching numbers, but the opponents were not on Gonzaga’s level, so the margins should be treated as evidence of a strong start, not a guarantee that LSU will dominate another quality team.
Against Louisiana Tech, LSU shot 56.4% from the field and recorded 21 assists, a sign of good ball movement and shot-making. Michael Ruzic led the team with 18 points, while Abdi Bashir Jr. added 16 and Mo Dioubate scored 15. Donovan Dent finished with 12 points, five assists, five steals, and two blocks. LSU also forced turnovers and turned them into 38 points, but the Tigers gave the ball away 14 times themselves. That turnover count, along with Dent and Dioubate fouling out, gives the staff clear areas to clean up against a more dangerous opponent.
- Record: 3-0
- Last result: Win, 90-50 vs. Louisiana Tech
- Points per game: 94.0 scored, 52.7 allowed
- Recent scoring range: 90 to 100 points per game
LSU’s results show a team with scoring depth and the ability to pressure opponents, but Saturday asks a different question: can those strengths travel against a ranked team? This is the Tigers’ first road game of the season, and the long trip to Spokane adds a small adjustment to an already tougher matchup.
Key Player Statistics, Momentum and External Factors
Gonzaga’s Davis Fogle has been a major scoring presence, posting 22 points against both Purdue and New Mexico State. Braden Huff is back from a knee injury, though his opener was described as rusty, and Fogle briefly went to the locker room after an awkward landing before returning to finish against New Mexico State. LSU’s Donovan Dent brings playmaking and defensive disruption, while Ruzic and Bashir Jr. showed scoring punch off the bench in the latest win. Dent and Dioubate fouled out against Louisiana Tech, making foul management worth watching. Gonzaga’s Izan Almansa and the final status of players noted in the pregame reports merit a last-minute check. LSU has roughly five days of rest; Gonzaga has about seven. The game is listed for Spokane Arena, and LSU must make a long trip across two time zones.
Performance in the Last Five Matches
The last five summary lists Gonzaga at 4-1 and LSU at 3-2. Those records include earlier results beyond the current season, while the most recent game for each team was a win: Gonzaga beat New Mexico State 109-68, and LSU beat Louisiana Tech 90-50. The current-season records, 2-0 for Gonzaga and 3-0 for LSU, are the more relevant snapshot for this early-season matchup.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
Gonzaga is the clearest moneyline choice, with the Purdue win and home setting giving the Bulldogs a stronger case than LSU’s dominant but softer schedule. Our estimate is a 66% Gonzaga win probability, though -256 is a steep price. LSU +6.5 is the more attractive projected spread angle if that number appears, because the Tigers have enough scoring depth to make the game competitive. The over 157.5 is a reasonable projected total lean given both teams’ early scoring rates, but it depends on LSU carrying its offense into tougher territory. Check the final spread, total and player availability before betting; the spread and total figures here are projections, not confirmed lines.
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