Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys 11/01/2026
Dallas hosts Arizona at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, November 1, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET. The Cowboys come in at 3-4 after a convincing 38-21 road win over Philadelphia, while the Cardinals are 2-5 and coming off a 30-16 home loss to Denver. The matchup offers a clear contrast: Dallas has the stronger recent result and home-field advantage, while Arizona’s recent games have tended to feature plenty of scoring—and its road performances have been more competitive than its home form.
Our betting lean is Dallas to win and cover the 6.5-point spread, with the total projected to go over 53.5. Those picks reflect the Cowboys’ offensive momentum, but Arizona’s defensive weaknesses and red-zone trouble make the spread less of a lock than the moneyline. No NFL wager is guaranteed, so keep the risk in perspective.
Check what the spread asks of both teams. Compare NFL betting odds before we break down the paths to a cover.
Our 3 betting predictions for Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Main Pick: Total – Over 53.5 Points — -105
The over is the most appealing angle at the listed price. Dallas put up 38 points in Philadelphia and has scored 34 or more in two of its last five games. Arizona’s recent games have also produced elevated totals: the Cardinals scored 21 against Detroit and 24 against the Giants, while giving up 45 and 36, respectively. Their last three games have averaged 48 points in total, even with last week’s 46-point game pulling the average down.
The Cowboys’ offense has reason to stay aggressive, and Arizona’s defense has allowed 208 points through seven games—an average of 29.7 per game. The over needs 54 points to cash, so the Cardinals will need to contribute rather than leave the scoring entirely to Dallas. Betting tip: Over 53.5 points at -105.
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Pick 2: Dallas Cowboys moneyline — -286
Dallas has a 3-4 record, compared with Arizona’s 2-5, and the Cowboys are coming off a statement road win over the Eagles. Arizona’s most recent result was a 16-30 loss at home against Denver. Dallas has scored 189 points this season, or 27.0 per game; Arizona has scored 142, or 20.3 per game. That scoring gap, combined with home-field advantage, makes the Cowboys the stronger straight-up selection.
At -286, though, the price is steep. A -286 line implies roughly a 74% break-even probability before sportsbook margin. Our estimate is a 72% chance Dallas wins, which makes the moneyline a reasonable choice for a parlay leg or a conservative lean—but not an especially generous standalone price. Betting tip: Dallas Cowboys to win at -286.
Pick 3: Spread – Dallas Cowboys -6.5 — -109
Dallas’ last performance is the best evidence for backing the spread: a 17-point win over Philadelphia, with the Cowboys scoring 38 and keeping the Eagles at 21. Arizona, by comparison, has lost four of its last five and struggled to turn opportunities into touchdowns against Denver. The Cowboys have the better recent offensive rhythm and should be able to make Arizona chase the game.
There is some risk here. Arizona has won two road games, and Dallas’ 1-2 home record shows that AT&T Stadium has not automatically translated into wins this season. Still, Dallas has the more convincing current form and the stronger scoring profile. Betting tip: Dallas Cowboys -6.5 at -109.
Team statistics: Dallas looks to build on its Week 7 surge
Dallas enters Week 8 with a 3-4 record and a .429 win percentage. The Cowboys are 1-2 at home and 2-2 on the road. They have scored 189 points and allowed 180 through seven games, an average of 27.0 points scored and 25.7 allowed per game.
The recent five-game sequence is mixed at 2-3, but the latest result was a strong one: a 38-21 win over the Eagles in Philadelphia. According to the supplied Week 7 recap, quarterback Dak Prescott threw for 212 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Running back Javonte Williams ran for 155 yards and a touchdown, giving Dallas a powerful ground-game contribution to go with its passing attack. Those individual game totals are not season averages; they illustrate the kind of balance Dallas displayed in its latest outing.
The Cowboys have scored 27.0 points per game for the season. The supplied matchup information also lists Dallas at 259.3 passing yards per game, while its run defense has allowed 145.7 rushing yards per game. That weakness is a concern against any opponent capable of sustaining drives, even if Arizona’s recent offensive line and red-zone issues may limit its ability to exploit it.
Team statistics: Arizona needs cleaner execution on the road
Arizona is 2-5, with a .286 win percentage. The Cardinals are 1-2 at home and 2-2 away. Through seven games, they have scored 142 points and allowed 208—averages of 20.3 scored and 29.7 allowed per game.
Arizona has won once in its last five games. The Cardinals’ latest outing ended in a 16-30 home loss to Denver, following an 18-16 road win over the Rams. In the Denver game, Jacoby Brissett completed 27 of 48 passes for 272 yards and a touchdown, while Trey McBride recorded 10 catches for 111 yards and a score. Arizona gained 353 total yards, including 94 rushing yards on 24 attempts—an average of 3.9 yards per carry. Those figures are for the last game, not season averages.
The main concern is turning offensive possessions into touchdowns. Arizona converted only one of five red-zone trips against Denver, and the supplied report notes just one touchdown across 10 red-zone chances over its last two games. The Cardinals will need to improve that efficiency if they are to keep pace with a Dallas offense that just scored 38.
Key player statistics, momentum and external factors
Dallas head coach Brian Schottenheimer will want to build on the Cowboys’ balanced Week 7 attack: Prescott threw three touchdowns, and Williams delivered a 155-yard rushing performance. For Arizona, Brissett’s 272 passing yards and McBride’s 111 receiving yards were productive, but the Cardinals managed just one touchdown on five red-zone trips against Denver. The supplied injury notes identify significant uncertainty on Arizona’s offensive line and in its backfield, including several players listed as injured or questionable; availability should be checked closer to kickoff. Dallas’ defense has also had run-stopping problems, a matchup Arizona could target if it can establish the ground game. AT&T Stadium is indoors, so weather should not be a factor. The teams are both coming off Sunday games, with standard rest.
Last direct match: Cowboys won 34-13
The most recent meeting finished 34-13 for Dallas, an away win for the Cowboys. Across the last five meetings provided, Arizona holds the edge with four wins to Dallas’ one. That longer-run history is a reminder that the recent head-to-head result does not guarantee the same outcome this time.
Performance last 5 matches
Dallas is 2-3 across its last five, most recently beating Philadelphia 38-21. Arizona is 1-4, most recently losing 30-16 to Denver. The Cowboys have the better recent record and the more encouraging latest performance.
TrustnBet tips summed up
Our three picks are Over 53.5 points at -105, Dallas moneyline at -286, and Dallas -6.5 at -109. Dallas gets the edge because of its stronger scoring average, home advantage and Week 7 win over Philadelphia. The over is supported by the Cowboys’ recent scoring and Arizona’s points allowed per game, while the spread depends on Dallas sustaining that offensive form. Arizona’s road record and Dallas’ run-defense issues are reasons to be cautious, especially with the 6.5-point margin.
