Wimbledon: Safiullin vs Djokovic Odds, Picks & Where to Watch Live
Roman Safiullin’s remarkable Wimbledon comeback continues on Sunday, July 05, 2026, after fighting through qualifying and surviving multiple five-set battles to reach the Round of 16. The Russian has shown tremendous resilience following a lengthy injury layoff, but his reward is the toughest challenge in men’s tennis—24-time Grand Slam champion Novak Djokovic. While Safiullin arrives full of confidence after upsetting Joao Fonseca, Djokovic has quietly improved with each round and owns a perfect record against the Russian. The contrast between Safiullin’s grueling workload and Djokovic’s efficient progress could prove decisive as they battle for a place in the quarterfinals.
Safiullin vs Djokovic Betting Odds
| Market | Odds | Bet Now! |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic ML | -600 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
| Roman Safiullin ML | +400 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
| O/U | 34.5 Games | -125 | -110 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
Expert Picks: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic
🥇 Best Bet: Roman Safiullin +6.5 Games
Djokovic deserves to be favored, but Safiullin has shown incredible fight throughout the tournament. The Russian has already defeated Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca while proving he can stay competitive against elite opponents. Even if Djokovic advances in four sets, Safiullin has enough serving power to keep the margin inside the handicap.
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Pick 2: Over 34.5 Total Games
Unlike Djokovic’s previous opponents, Safiullin arrives with confidence after six matches at Wimbledon, including qualifying. His aggressive baseline game should allow him to remain competitive for long stretches, making four tight sets or multiple tie-breaks a realistic outcome that favors the Over.
Pick 3: Novak Djokovic to Win 3-1
Djokovic has steadily raised his level throughout the tournament, but Safiullin has been one of the surprise performers of the fortnight. The Russian has held serve well and should have enough firepower to claim a set before Djokovic’s experience and superior return game gradually take control.
Pick 4: First Set Over 9.5 Games
Safiullin has started matches confidently throughout Wimbledon, while Djokovic often spends the opening games studying his opponent before increasing the intensity. With both players serving well, an opening set that reaches 6-4 or 7-5 offers appealing betting value.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Category | Roman Safiullin | Novak Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Ranking | 132 | 8 |
| Head-to-Head | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 Record | 30-10 | 12-4 |
| Grass Record (2026) | 9-3 | 3-0 |
Key Betting Trends
- Djokovic leads the head-to-head 3-0.
- Safiullin reached the Round of 16 after winning three qualifying matches and three main-draw matches.
- The Russian has spent nearly 18 hours on court, compared to under eight hours for Djokovic.
- Safiullin upset Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca during his Wimbledon run.
- Djokovic remains unbeaten at Wimbledon this year with victories over Wu Yibing, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Arthur Rinderknech.
- Safiullin has won 30 matches during the 2026 season and arrives full of confidence despite his low ranking.
📺 Where to Watch (US)
- 🇺🇸 ESPN & ESPN2
- 💻 ESPN App (ESPN Unlimited)
- 📺 Hulu + Live TV, Sling TV, YouTube TV, and Fubo
Final Prediction
Safiullin has produced one of the best comeback stories of this Wimbledon, but the physical toll of six demanding matches is difficult to ignore. Djokovic has conserved energy, owns a dominant head-to-head record, and remains one of the sport’s greatest problem-solvers in best-of-five tennis.
Expect Safiullin to make the Serbian work harder than the odds suggest, but Djokovic’s return game and championship experience should eventually separate the two.
- Prediction: Novak Djokovic wins 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2
- Best Bet: Roman Safiullin +7.5 Games
- Value Play: Novak Djokovic to Win 3-1
- Longshot Play: Roman Safiullin to Win a Set
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