New York City FC vs Toronto FC Predictions & Odds - Major League Soccer Picks

Get ready for an exciting showdown as New York City FC (NYCFC) host Toronto FC in an MLS regular-season match on July 31, 2026. With both teams eager to secure much-needed points, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter for soccer enthusiasts and bettors alike. NYCFC, currently ranked 11th in the Eastern Conference, will look to leverage their home advantage against Toronto FC, who sit at the bottom of the standings in 26th place. NYCFC's recent form has been encouraging, with 1.7 goals per game and a possession rate of 61%, making them a formidable opponent at Yankee Stadium. Meanwhile, Toronto FC will aim to improve on their 1.6 goals per game average as they struggle with a 2.1 goals against per game defensive record. This match could offer valuable soccer betting opportunities, especially for those eyeing the home win.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for New York City FC vs Toronto FC

1. Home Win for New York City FC

Our soccer predictions favor a home win for New York City FC. With a solid home record of 4 wins, 2 ties, and 3 losses, NYCFC is undefeated in their last 10 home matches. Toronto FC, on the other hand, is battling a five-game winless streak and has lost their last five encounters against NYCFC. With odds at -154 from BetMGM Sportsbook, this bet offers solid value.

2. Both Teams to Score

Despite Toronto FC's struggles, they have managed an average of 1.6 goals per game, suggesting they can find the net. Given NYCFC's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per game, a "Both Teams to Score" bet is appealing. At odds of -133 offered by FanDuel Sportsbook, this market holds potential for returns.

3. Under 2.5 Goals

Considering NYCFC's home trend of low-scoring matches and Toronto's difficulty in breaking through defenses, betting on under 2.5 goals at odds of +108 could be a prudent choice. NYCFC's last eight home games have all ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, a trend likely to continue.

Further Predictions

Team Statistics

New York City FC: Solid Home Performers

Under the guidance of Coach Pascal Jansen, NYCFC has shown resilience, particularly at home. With a record of 7 wins, 4 ties, and 6 losses, they have accumulated 25 points. Their recent 3-1 home victory against Chicago Fire highlights their attacking prowess. Despite notable injuries, NYCFC has managed to maintain an average possession of 61%, translating into a commendable home performance.

Toronto FC: Struggling to Find Form

Toronto FC, coached by Robin Fraser, faces an uphill battle as they sit at the bottom of the MLS standings with 16 points. Their record of 3 wins, 7 ties, and 7 losses reflects a challenging season. With an away record of 1 win, 2 ties, and 5 losses, Toronto's defense has let them down, conceding 2.1 goals per game. Their recent 1-2 loss against D.C. United further underscores their defensive frailties.

Latest Odds Boosts

Pete Alonso & Matt Olson Each Hit HR on 7/28 +1650

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Phillies, Braves, Nationals & Padres All Win on 7/28 +800

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

New York City FC's Nicolas Fernandez has emerged as a key player, netting 11 goals this season. Despite injuries to vital players like Maxi Moralez and Alonso Martínez, NYCFC's attacking depth remains impressive. On the flip side, Toronto FC's Daniel Salloi leads their scoring with 4 goals but struggles with limited support. Both teams are coping with injury challenges, potentially impacting squad depth. NYCFC's home support and recent positive form provide them a psychological edge over a struggling Toronto side.

Last Direct Match: New York City FC vs Toronto FC

The last encounter between these teams ended in a 3-1 victory for New York City FC, demonstrating their dominance over Toronto FC.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

New York City FC

Last games

New York City FC performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

80%

Toronto FC

Last games

Toronto FC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

60%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer betting predictions for New York City FC vs Toronto FC highlight a home win for NYCFC at -154, both teams finding the net at -133, and a low-scoring affair with under 2.5 goals at +108. NYCFC's robust home form, combined with Toronto's defensive vulnerabilities, supports our predictions. Despite injury challenges, NYCFC's attacking depth and strategic advantage at home position them as favorites in this tie.