US Open: Sönmez vs Gauff Odds, Picks & How to Watch
New York is about to discover whether Coco Gauff’s Cincinnati surge has another chapter. The 2023 US Open champion begins her first-round campaign Tuesday against world No. 52 Zeynep Sönmez, carrying six consecutive victories and a freshly polished WTA 1000 trophy into Flushing Meadows.
Sönmez is no disposable opener. She has already beaten Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jasmine Paolini during a 28-win season. However, Gauff’s speed, return pressure and booming backhand represent a brutal combination for an underdog whose serve can become vulnerable under sustained pressure.
Ready for the season’s final major? Use our expert tennis betting guide to compare markets before building your US Open card.
Sönmez vs Gauff Betting Odds
| Market | Best Odds | Place Bet Now! |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sönmez ML | +1280 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| Coco Gauff ML | -2000 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| O/U | 19.5 Games | +185 | -233 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
Expert Picks: Zeynep Sönmez vs Coco Gauff
🥇 Best Bet: Coco Gauff -6.5 Games
Gauff arrives from Cincinnati with six consecutive wins, and only one dropped set. Her return pressure should expose Sönmez’s second serve, while the American’s speed turns neutral rallies into repeated defensive tests. Sönmez lost her latest match to Anisimova by seven games. Against an even stronger defender, covering a six-game cushion looks difficult on Tuesday.
Pick 2: Under 18.5 Total Games
Sönmez has been held to five games in consecutive losses to Anisimova and Sakkari. Gauff closed Cincinnati by allowing Pegula six games, Bejlek five, Kostyuk four and Bouzkova five. A 6-3, 6-2 type result stays below this alternate total, and Gauff’s recent finishing form makes a third set unlikely unless her serve suddenly unravels completely.
Planning to back the American favorite? Check the latest BetMGM Bonus Code before placing your US Open picks.
Pick 3: Coco Gauff to Win 2-0
Sönmez can compete when she establishes her forehand, but Gauff rarely gives opponents the same ball twice. The favorite can absorb pace, redirect down the line and attack short replies. Gauff won her final five Cincinnati matches in straight sets; Sönmez has taken only ten combined games across her last two defeats on hard courts.
Pick 4: Sönmez Under 6.5 Total Games
This market demands a clean Gauff performance, but the number matches the matchup. Sönmez scored five games against Anisimova and five against Sakkari, both established hard-court opponents. Gauff’s return game creates chances in nearly every rotation, and her speed makes clean winners scarce. Two routine sets should keep the underdog at six games or fewer.
The Market Is Pricing a Rout—Is It Right?
The moneyline offers little reason to back Gauff directly. A price around -2000 requires bettors to risk $2,000 for $100 in profit. The spread provides a cleaner route. Gauff covered a 6.5-game handicap in four of her final five Cincinnati matches:
- Beat Jessica Pegula 6-2, 6-4
- Beat Sara Bejlek 6-4, 6-1
- Beat Marta Kostyuk 6-2, 6-2
- Beat Marie Bouzkova 6-3, 6-2
- Beat Ann Li 6-1, 7-6(3)
The Li match was the only one that didn’t cover. Gauff nevertheless won it without dropping a set.
Sönmez vs Gauff Matchup Comparison
| Category | Zeynep Sönmez | Coco Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Ranking | No. 52 | No. 4 |
| Age | 24 | 22 |
| Height | 5’7” | 5’9” |
| 2026 Record | 28-19 | 40-13 |
| 2026 Titles | 0 | 1 |
| Career Singles Titles | 1 | 12 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 0 | 2 |
| Head-to-Head Wins | 0 | 0 |
Key Betting Trends
- Gauff owns a 40-13 singles record in 2026.
- She won six matches to capture the Cincinnati title.
- Gauff dropped only one set throughout Cincinnati.
- Her final five Cincinnati victories came in straight sets.
- Four of those five wins were decided by at least seven games.
- Sönmez is 28-19 this season.
- Sönmez has lost three of her previous five matches.
- She collected only five games against Anisimova and five against Sakkari.
- Gauff and Sönmez have never played professionally.
- Gauff won the 2023 US Open women’s singles title.
Where to Watch Sönmez vs Gauff in the US
- Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
- Location: Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York
- TV: ESPN and ESPN2 primetime coverage
- Streaming: ESPN App and ESPN Unlimited
- Spanish coverage: ESPN Deportes
Final Prediction: Will Gauff Cruise in New York?
Sönmez deserves more respect than the enormous moneyline gap suggests. She owns a winning-season record, has beaten accomplished opponents, and will enter without the burden of expectation.
The matchup remains punishing. Gauff can attack the underdog’s serve, defend the corners and force Sönmez to produce multiple high-quality shots during every important rally. The American may experience an early service wobble, but her return game provides enough margin to recover quickly. Expect Sönmez to compete through the opening exchanges before Gauff’s pressure turns close games into a one-sided scoreline.
- Prediction: Coco Gauff wins 6-2, 6-2
- Best Bet: Coco Gauff -6.5 Games
- Totals Play: Under 18.5 Games
- Set Pick: Coco Gauff to Win 2-0
- Player Total: Zeynep Sönmez Under 6.5 Games
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