WTA US Open: Krueger vs Anisimova Odds, Picks & Where to Watch
Amanda Anisimova will spend her 25th birthday exactly where she wants to be: under the New York spotlight, beginning another chase for the Grand Slam title that narrowly escaped her last season.
The 2025 US Open finalist faces fellow American Ashlyn Krueger in the first round on Monday, August 31, 2026. Krueger brings a powerful serve, a 28-win season, and enough athleticism to make this uncomfortable. Anisimova answers with a devastating backhand, superior return game, and three strong Cincinnati victories. The moneyline is almost unplayable. The sharper opportunities sit in the first-set, handicap and straight-sets markets.
Searching for more opening-round value? Explore our expert tennis betting guide before building your US Open card.
Krueger vs Anisimova Betting Odds
| Market | Reference Line | Place Bet! |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger ML | +450 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| Amanda Anisimova ML | -556 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| O/U | 21.5 Games | +130 | -160 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
Expert Picks: Ashlyn Krueger vs Amanda Anisimova
🥇 Best Bet: Anisimova -2.5 Games in the First Set
Krueger has lost the opening set in four of her past five matches, including 6-3 defeats to Lois Boisson, Katie Boulter and Naomi Osaka. Anisimova started Cincinnati with 6-2 and 6-1 first-set wins in two of her first three appearances. Her return pressure can create the two-break margin needed before Krueger settles into the occasion.
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Pick 2: Anisimova -5.5 Games
Anisimova owns the cleaner backhand, stronger return, and much better recent hard-court résumé. She beat Sonmez, Eala, and Noskova in Cincinnati before losing a final-set tiebreak to Jessica Pegula. Krueger has since gone 1-2, with both defeats coming in straight sets. A 6-3, 6-3 result covers this number exactly without requiring total scoreboard domination throughout.
Pick 3: Anisimova to Win 2-0
Krueger’s 28-17 season deserves respect, especially after her Wimbledon fourth-round run. Her preparation has become less convincing: an ankle retirement in Washington, a 6-3, 6-2 Cincinnati loss and a straight-set Philadelphia defeat. Anisimova is the steadier player today and should prevent Krueger’s serve from buying enough time to force a deciding set in New York.
Pick 4: Under 20.5 Total Games
Seven of Krueger’s past eight completed matches finished below 20.5 games, largely because her recent wins and losses have been decisive. Anisimova’s straight-set Cincinnati victories over Sonmez and Noskova produced only 17 games apiece. If the favorite controls return points as projected, scores such as 6-3, 6-3 or 6-3, 6-2 keep this Under comfortable throughout.
Krueger vs Anisimova Head-to-Head
Anisimova leads the rivalry 1-0.
| Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 San Jose | Outdoor hard | Amanda Anisimova | 6-2, 7-6(5) |
Krueger was only 18 when they first met, so that result should not be treated as a complete picture of her current level. The tactical pattern remains relevant: Anisimova dominated the opening set before Krueger’s serve helped her force a second-set tiebreak.
Player Comparison
| Category | Ashlyn Krueger | Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA ranking | No. 62 | No. 10 |
| Age | 22 | Turns 25 on matchday |
| Height | 6’1” | 5’11” |
| 2026 singles record | 28-17 | 20-11 |
| Career WTA singles titles | 1 | 4 |
| Best US Open result | Third Round | Final |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Why the First-Set Spread Leads the Card
Anisimova’s -630 moneyline asks bettors to risk $630 for only $100 in profit. That price offers little protection if she starts slowly or lets Krueger’s serve control stretch. The first-set handicap provides a more aggressive route without requiring Anisimova to dominate the entire match.
Krueger has recently needed time to establish her range. She dropped opening sets against Boisson, Boulter and Osaka by identical 6-3 scores, while Julia Grabher also took the opener from her in Philadelphia.
Anisimova can expose that pattern by returning from inside the baseline, attacking second serves and taking control before Krueger settles behind her forehand.
Key Betting Trends
- Anisimova leads the head-to-head 1-0.
- Their only previous meeting ended in straight sets.
- Anisimova won that match 6-2, 7-6(5) on an outdoor hard court.
- Krueger has lost the opening set in four of her past five matches.
- She is 1-2 across Cincinnati and Philadelphia.
- Both of Krueger’s recent defeats ended in straight sets.
- Seven of her past eight completed matches stayed below 20.5 games.
- Anisimova won three matches in Cincinnati.
- She defeated Linda Noskova 6-1, 6-4 during that run.
- Anisimova pushed Jessica Pegula to a final-set tiebreak in the quarterfinals.
- Krueger owns a 28-17 season record.
- Anisimova reached the 2025 Wimbledon and US Open finals.
- The match falls on Anisimova’s 25th birthday.
Where to Watch Krueger vs Anisimova in the US
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Court: Louis Armstrong Stadium
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
- US television: ESPN
- Streaming: Every court through the ESPN App with ESPN Unlimited
- Spanish coverage: ESPN Deportes
- Alternative stream: US Open RedZone through the ESPN App
Final Prediction
Krueger is too talented to dismiss as a routine +450 underdog. Her serve and forehand can create a competitive stretch, and she has already demonstrated that she can push Anisimova into a tiebreak. The current matchup still leans heavily toward the favorite. Anisimova enters with superior hard-court form, a stronger return and greater confidence in high-pressure Grand Slam settings. Krueger’s recent first-set struggles could leave her chasing the match before her serve settles. Expect Anisimova to break twice in the opener, withstand a short second-set push and begin her birthday celebration with a controlled victory.
- Prediction: Amanda Anisimova wins 6-3, 6-2
- Best Bet: Amanda Anisimova First Set -2.5 Games
- Spread Pick: Amanda Anisimova -5.5 Games
- Set Pick: Amanda Anisimova to Win 2-0
- Totals Pick: Under 20.5 Games
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