UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott Odds, Picks & How to Watch
Mike Malott gets the Canadian crowd. Joaquin Buckley gets an underdog price—and a chance to turn a dangerous matchup into a physical fight. The welterweights headline UFC Fight Night at Rogers Place in Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026.
Malott’s submission threat makes Buckley’s entries critical. Charging forward without protecting his hips could hand the favorite exactly the fight he wants. But if Buckley keeps the exchanges standing and forces Malott backward, his power and pressure become difficult to manage. At the supplied +105, Buckley is the narrow betting selection.
Browse our MMA odds and upcoming fight predictions to compare available moneyline and prop markets.
Buckley vs Malott Odds Outlook
| Fight Lines | Reference Odds | Place Bet Now! |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Buckley ML | +105 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| Mike Malott ML | -125 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
| O/U | 3.5 Rounds | -130 | +100 | Place Bet @ BetMGM |
Expert UFC Picks: Buckley vs Malott
1. Method of Victory: Buckley by KO/TKO
Pick: Buckley by KO/TKO at +250 or better. Buckley’s clearest finishing route comes from making Malott retreat toward the fence, then attacking with combinations rather than isolated power shots. Body work could help slow the Canadian’s exits and level changes. Buckley by KO/TKO is the method selection, but requires +250 or better and keeps the stake below the moneyline wager.
Check the current BetMGM Bonus Code before placing your first wager.
2. Distance Pick: Fight Does Not Go the Distance
Pick: No—at -150 or better. Both fighters have credible finishing routes: Buckley through damaging exchanges, Malott through takedowns and submission transitions. Five scheduled rounds give those threats more time to develop. The distance angle also covers a Malott finish if Buckley loses. Take -150 or better; without a verified market price, this remains a conditional selection.
3. Best Bet: Joaquin Buckley Moneyline
Pick: Buckley to win at +105. Buckley’s pressure can force Malott into defensive exchanges before the Canadian establishes his preferred grappling positions. The American also owns a three-inch reach advantage despite being shorter. His recent wrestling defeats remain a concern, but this price offers a reasonable underdog angle if he controls the entries and keeps returning to his feet.
Buckley vs Malott Tale of the Tape
| Category | Joaquin Buckley | Mike Malott |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | American | Canadian |
| Professional Record | 21–8–0 | 14–2–1 |
| Age | 32 | 34 |
| Height | 5-foot-10 | 6-foot-1 |
| Reach | 76 inches | 73 inches |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Division | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Significant strikes landed/minute | 3.62 | 4.02 |
| Significant striking accuracy | 39.95% | 52.15% |
| Takedowns/15 minutes | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Takedown accuracy | 45.24% | 50.00% |
| Submission attempts/15 minutes | 0.08 | 0.65 |
Buckley vs Malott Stats & Betting Facts
- Buckley holds a three-inch reach advantage.
- Malott is three inches taller.
- The supplied striking-volume figures favor Malott.
- Malott also has the higher listed submission-attempt rate.
- Their listed takedown averages are relatively close.
- Buckley’s recent defeats came against accomplished wrestlers.
- Malott enters with four consecutive victories.
- The five-round format expands both fighters’ finishing opportunities.
How to Watch Buckley vs Malott in the U.S.
| Detail | Event Information |
|---|---|
| Event | UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2026 |
| Venue | Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada |
| U.S. streaming | Paramount+ |
Final Prediction: Buckley by TKO, Round 3
Malott has a legitimate opportunity to punish Buckley’s defensive wrestling, which keeps confidence moderate. However, Buckley’s pressure and power provide an attractive route at the supplied underdog price. The selection depends on him making disciplined entries and preventing Malott from turning individual takedowns into extended control.
Expect a dangerous opening phase before Buckley’s body work and combinations begin to narrow Malott’s escape routes. The prediction is a third-round stoppage, with the moneyline preferred because it also covers Buckley winning a decision.
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