UFC Betting Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo Odds, Picks & Live Streaming

May 30, 2026, in Macau, brings a bantamweight crossroads fight with real stakes attached. Former flyweight king Deiveson Figueiredo is trying to prove there’s still gas left in the tank at 135 pounds, while Song Yadong looks to remind the division he belongs among the elite contenders. Both men are coming off losses to top-tier competition at UFC 324, but the paths to defeat looked very different. Song pushed Sean O’Malley in spots. Figueiredo got overwhelmed by Umar Nurmagomedov. That contrast matters heading into five rounds.

Stay ahead of the sportsbooks with expert fight betting picks covering UFC, boxing, props, and value bets.

Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo Odds Outlook

FighterOddsBet Now!
Song Yadong-600Place Bet @ bet365
Deiveson Figueiredo+450Place Bet @ bet365
O/U | 4.5 Rounds-110 | -120Place Bet @ bet365
UFC Fighters in action

UFC Expert Picks: Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo

🥇 Best Bet: Song Yadong Moneyline (-600)

The price is steep, but the stylistic matchup strongly favors Song. At 28 years old, he’s quicker, more explosive, and throws at a much higher pace (4.42 sig strikes landed per minute vs. 2.63 for Figueiredo). Song also showed improved wrestling against Sean O’Malley, landing three takedowns, which adds another layer to his game.

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Pick 2: Song Yadong by KO/TKO

This feels like the clearest path to victory. Song’s speed and calf kicks should be a major problem against Figueiredo’s heavy lead leg and pressure-heavy style. The Brazilian likes to absorb shots to counter in the pocket, but at 38 years old, durability and reaction time become bigger concerns over five rounds.

Pick 3: Under 4.5 Rounds (-120)

Five rounds favor Song’s pace and volume, but there’s a strong argument that this one doesn’t hit the judges. Song carries real stopping power with seven UFC knockdowns and five KO wins, while Figueiredo has historically been dangerous in firefights. Once Song starts battering the lead leg, the finishing window opens.

Pick 4: Song Yadong -3.5 Significant Strike Handicap

The numbers support Song winning exchanges consistently. Figueiredo was outstruck 103-28 by Umar Nurmagomedov in his last outing and has been outworked in three of his last four fights. Song throws more volume, manages distance better, and should dictate range with kicks and fast boxing combinations.

UFC Action

Tale of the Tape

CategorySong YadongDeiveson Figueiredo
Record22-9-125-6-1
Age2838
Height5’8″5’5″
Reach67″68″
Sig Strikes Landed/Min4.422.63
Striking Accuracy49.9%58.0%
Takedown Avg0.781.61
Submission Avg0.141.22

📺 Where to Watch & Livestream (US)

  • 🇺🇸 Paramount+ (Prelims & Main Card)
  • 📱 UFC Fight Pass (International options)
  • Main Card: 12:00 AM ET
  • Prelims: 9:00 PM ET
Dolidze vs Hernandez UFC Fight

Final Prediction

This feels like the moment where age, mileage, and division size finally catch up to Deiveson Figueiredo. He’s still dangerous. Still powerful. Still capable of hurting anyone who gets reckless. But Song Yadong is younger, faster, throws more volume, and has quietly become a much more layered fighter. If Song works behind kicks, forces exchanges at range, and avoids getting baited into wild pocket brawls, the openings should come.

Expect Figueiredo to have moments early — especially if he lands clean counters — but over five rounds, Song’s pace and speed feel like too much.

  • Prediction: Song Yadong via TKO (Round 3 or 4)
  • Best Bet: Song Yadong by KO/TKO
  • Value Play: Under 4.5 Rounds
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About the author

I’m Baba Faiza, an experienced betting pro and sports analyst at TrustnBet.com, with over 10 years under my belt in predicting outcomes for Soccer, NBA, NFL, and NHL games. My strong background in Mathematics allows me to effectively apply analytical models and sports algorithms to decipher game patterns and make accurate forecasts. With data-driven insights and a deep understanding of team dynamics and betting markets, I’ve established myself as a trusted name in the industry. Whether uncovering trends or identifying valuable betting opportunities, I ensure bettors are equipped to make informed and strategic decisions.