AS Roma vs Lecce Predictions & Odds - Serie A Picks 03/22/2026

As AS Roma prepares to host Lecce at the iconic Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, March 22, 2026, fans and bettors alike are gearing up for an exciting Serie A clash. This Matchday 30 encounter brings together two teams with very different aspirations this season. Roma is eyeing a European qualification spot, sitting in 6th place with 51 points, while Lecce continues their battle against relegation, currently placed 17th with 27 points.

Roma's home form has been impressive, securing 9 wins from 14 matches at the Olimpico, scoring an average of 1.57 goals per game and conceding just 0.64 goals on home soil. On the other hand, Lecce struggles away, having only managed 3 wins in 14 away games, with an average of 0.71 goals scored per match. The Giallorossi's recent form, however, has been less than stellar, having not won in their last five outings, while Lecce has shown some resilience by picking up 7 points from the same number of matches.

Our 3 betting predictions for AS Roma vs Lecce

1. Moneyline - AS Roma to Win

Despite their recent struggles, Roma remains a formidable force at home. With a strong historical record against Lecce, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter, Roma is expected to capitalize on their home advantage. The odds of -204 reflect their favoritism, making a bet on a home win a sound choice.

2. Both Teams to Score - NO

Given Roma's solid defensive record at home and Lecce's challenges in finding the net on their travels, betting on both teams not to score seems prudent. With Roma conceding only 0.64 goals per game at home, the odds of -161 for this outcome offer good value.

3. Correct Score - 1:0 to AS Roma

Considering both teams' scoring patterns and Roma's recent defensive struggles, a 1-0 win for the home side seems plausible. The odds of +475 for this exact scoreline present a tempting opportunity for those looking for higher returns.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Lecce's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

AS Roma have drawn or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

Lecce have won or drawn 1 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Lecce's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

AS Roma's Form and Standings

Under the guidance of Gian Piero Gasperini, Roma sits comfortably in 6th place with 51 points. They've managed 16 wins, 3 ties, and suffered 10 losses this season. Despite a stellar home record, recent performances indicate a dip, with no wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Roma's defense has been solid at home, conceding only 0.64 goals per game, but overall inconsistencies have been their Achilles' heel.

Lecce's Form and Standings

Lecce, under Eusebio Di Francesco, is entrenched in a relegation battle, currently in 17th place with 27 points. With 7 wins, 6 ties, and 16 losses, Lecce's away form has been concerning. They’ve struggled offensively, averaging just 0.71 goals per game on the road, while their defensive frailties have led to an average of 1.53 goals conceded away from home.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

AS Roma's Donyell Malen has been a key figure in their attack, leading the scoring charts with 7 goals in league play. His ability to find the net will be crucial, especially with injuries plaguing other squad members. Lecce’s Krstović, with 12 goals across all competitions, remains their main attacking threat. However, Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities could be their downfall, especially against a Roma side eager to bounce back from recent setbacks.

Last Direct Match

The last meeting between these teams ended in a 2-0 victory for AS Roma, further solidifying their dominance in this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

AS Roma has struggled recently with 0 wins, 2 ties, and 3 losses, while Lecce has fared slightly better with 2 wins and 3 losses.

Performance

AS Roma

Last games

AS Roma performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Lecce

Last games

Lecce performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Picks Summary

Our three betting tips for this AS Roma vs Lecce clash suggest backing a home win at -204, betting against both teams scoring at -161, and considering a correct score of 1-0 at +475. These picks are based on Roma's historical home advantage, Lecce's struggles on the road, and the current form and statistics of both teams.