Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Predictions & Odds - Serie A Picks 03/22/2026

Our soccer prediction for the match Fiorentina vs Inter Milan delves into an exciting Serie A clash at the historic Artemio Franchi Stadium. Scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 15:45, this Matchday 30 encounter promises thrilling action. Fiorentina, currently battling in the lower half of the table in 16th position with 28 points, are striving to steer clear of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Inter Milan, soaring at the top of the Serie A standings, are determined to maintain their lead. Both teams have shown different forms, with Fiorentina having an average of 1.17 goals per game and Inter Milan a commanding 2.24 goals per game. Inter's away form is particularly formidable, with an average ball possession of 58%. This statistical edge might influence betting enthusiasts leaning towards an away win.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

1. Moneyline: Inter Milan to Win

Based on current form and league standings, Inter Milan's chances of winning stand at an estimated 63%, making them strong favorites. With Inter's impressive away record of 11 wins out of 14 matches, they hold a distinct advantage over Fiorentina. The odds for Inter Milan to win stand at -161. Given Inter's robust attack and Fiorentina's struggles in defense, betting on an Inter victory seems a wise choice.

2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes

The odds for both teams to find the back of the net are set at -125. Fiorentina, despite their league position, have shown capability in front of goal, especially at home. With an average of 1.17 goals per game, and Inter's tendency to concede, this market offers potential value. Both teams scoring seems likely as Fiorentina will be eager to exploit any defensive lapses from Inter.

3. Correct Score: 1-1 Tie

Predicting a 1-1 tie comes with odds of +700. Fiorentina's recent form suggests they are capable of holding their own against top-tier opponents, especially at home. While Inter Milan are favorites, Fiorentina's resilience and the home advantage could see them snatching a point in a tightly contested encounter.

Our tips

Double Chance

1X

Fiorentina have won or drawn 4 of their last 6 matches.

Inter Milan have drawn or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Inter Milan's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Inter Milan's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Fiorentina - Current Struggles at Home

Under the guidance of coach Paolo Vanoli, Fiorentina have experienced a challenging season, finding themselves in 16th place. With a home record of 3 wins, 5 ties, and 6 losses, the team has been inconsistent at the Artemio Franchi. Their recent form shows 3 wins, 1 tie, and 1 loss in their last five matches across all competitions. Fiorentina's struggle to convert home matches into wins has been a critical factor in their current league standing.

Inter Milan - Commanding League Leaders

Inter Milan, led by coach Cristian Chivu, stand proudly at the top of Serie A. Their away record is formidable, with 11 wins from 14 matches, contributing to their total of 68 points this season. Despite recent hiccups with 1 win, 2 ties, and 2 losses in their last five outings, their offensive prowess is evident with an average of 2.24 goals per game. Inter's defense, conceding an average of 0.79 goals per game, is one of the best in the league.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Inter Milan's key player, Lautaro Martinez, is expected to return soon from a calf strain, but his absence could impact their scoring efficiency. Inter's Francesco Pio Esposito and Marcus Thuram will need to step up in Martinez's likely absence. Fiorentina's Moise Kean, a significant offensive threat, has netted 8 goals this season, primarily at home, making him a player to watch. Tactical adjustments by both coaches, given their current squad situations and the upcoming international break, may play a crucial role in the outcome.

Last Direct Match: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

The last meeting between these two sides resulted in a commanding 3-0 home win for Inter Milan. This result is likely to be fresh in the minds of both teams as they prepare for this encounter.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Fiorentina have shown improvement with 3 wins, 1 tie, and 1 loss, while Inter Milan have had a mixed bag of results, with 1 win, 2 ties, and 2 losses. Both teams will be eager to improve their form in this matchup.

Performance

Fiorentina

Last games

Fiorentina performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

Inter Milan

Last games

Inter Milan performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

40%

TrustnBet Picks Summary

Our 3 tips for Fiorentina vs Inter Milan are based on a thorough analysis of form, statistics, and recent performances. Inter Milan's overall strength and away record make them the favorites for victory at -161. The attacking potential of both teams suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring, hence the recommendation for BTTS at -125. Finally, considering Fiorentina's home resilience, predicting a 1-1 tie at +700 offers a valuable betting opportunity. These tips reflect a balanced approach, considering both team dynamics and current form.