Creighton Bluejays @ UConn Huskies NCAAB 02/18/2026
Tip-off vibes and betting angles, here we go. Creighton heads to UConn on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026, at 7:00 PM, and this one has that high-stakes Big East feel, especially for bettors watching momentum swing. UConn is sitting in first with a sparkling 14-1 mark and a home resume that’s been spotless. Creighton’s had a choppier ride at 7-8, but they’ve shown flashes and still have the kind of perimeter-and-paint mix that can make one night feel totally different from the previous week.
These teams split their last four head-to-heads, but UConn just handled business in the most recent meeting on the road by a big margin. The board is going to shape around UConn’s size and discipline against Creighton’s spacing and shotmaking—plus the guard play on both sides after UConn’s recent injury chatter. If you’re weighing moneyline, spread, and totals, there’s a clear case for the home side, a number worth backing against the line if it’s reasonable, and a tempo/efficiency read that nudges the total a certain way.
👉 Lines are live for today’s matchups. Review NCAA Basketball betting odds before placing your picks.
Betting prediction for match Creighton Bluejays @ UConn Huskies
UConn feels like the rightful favorite based on form, defense, and the way Dan Hurley’s group has tightened screws late in games. On a season-average basis, the Huskies are putting up about 79.5 per game and allowing just 67.6, a sturdy two-way profile that has defined their rise. Creighton sits around 75.9 per game and allows roughly 77.3, and while the Bluejays can get hot from deep, their recent skid and turnover trouble have limited their ceiling against elite defenses.
The market should price UConn as a strong home side, and I project the Huskies to win more often than not—call it about a three-in-four scenario—while the number likely lands in that two-possession range. For totals, the blended profile suggests a mid-140s expectation if UConn’s defense controls the rhythm.
Our betting predictions: Creighton Bluejays @ UConn Huskies
Best Pick: Moneyline – UConn to win
1) Moneyline: UConn to win. Projection: 74% win probability, which translates to attractive odds at BetMGM. This is a form-and-defense play. UConn’s average margin profile (+11.9 per game) lines up with how they’ve handled similar opponents, and their late-game execution should travel even if the offense starts slow. Creighton’s volatility gives them upset equity, but over four quarters, UConn’s interior defense and rebounding advantage tip this heavily toward the home side.
Pick 2: Spread – UConn -7.5
2) Spread: UConn -7.5 at 138 with DraftKings (buy to -7 if you can). Projection: 58% cover probability. Creighton’s spacing can keep them in it for stretches, but UConn’s ability to generate second-chance looks and score through contact tends to wear down teams that don’t consistently win the turnover battle. If the number climbs north of two full possessions, be mindful; in the current zone around -7.5, this remains a lean toward UConn.
Thinking about joining DraftKings? Claim DraftKings sign up bonus and boost your first wagers instantly.
Pick 3: Total – Under 147.5
3) Total: Under 147.5 at -120 with DraftKings. Projection: 55% probability. UConn’s defense (allowing around 67.6 per game) has been the separation piece, and Creighton’s recent offensive dips—especially when pressured into mistakes—suggest this doesn’t vault into the 150s unless the pace unexpectedly surges. The last meeting’s defensive stamp also supports a total that drifts under a high-140s bar.
Team Statistics: UConn’s two-way edge looks sustainable
- Form and record: UConn comes in at 14-1 overall and in first place, fresh off a tight four-point home win over Georgetown that reinforced their late-game poise. Over the last five, they’ve gone 4-1, staying composed even when shot quality fluctuates. The underlying efficiency is the story: approximately 79.5 points per game on offense and just 67.6 allowed per game. That’s the kind of gap that usually predicts comfortable outcomes at home, and it reflects a group that doesn’t give away possessions, rebounds its misses, and sits in a stance for 40 minutes.
- Context and standing: The Huskies’ differential of roughly +12 per night tells you how they win: physical defense, paint touches, and a glass advantage. They’ve also shown the maturity to grind through slower possessions, which can press an opponent into tough late-clock looks. In conference hierarchy, they’ve earned first place on merit, balance, depth, and a system that travels.
Team Statistics: Creighton’s ceiling is real, but the floor has shown up too often
- Form and record: Creighton is 7-8 overall and currently ninth in the table snapshot. The Bluejays are 1-4 across their last five, including an 11-point home setback to Villanova. On the season, they’re averaging about 75.9 per game while allowing around 77.3. That negative point differential mirrors the recent slide; when the threes aren’t falling, or the handle is loose against length, they can go cold in a hurry.
- What travels, what doesn’t: The shooting gravity is there, and when the Jays get rhythm, they can string together 9-0 runs out of nowhere. But the problem spot has been ball security and shot quality against size. That’s where UConn tends to turn games—on the margins with extra possessions and forced tough twos.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- UConn injuries: Head coach Dan Hurley noted senior guard Hassan Diarra (knee) is a game-time decision and likely limited, while Solo Ball is managing a wrist issue. Freshman Braylon Mullins recently returned after a concussion absence. UConn has navigated these tweaks thanks to depth and defensive structure.
- Creighton notes: Coach Greg McDermott recently shuffled the lineup, giving Nik Graves and Blake Harper their first starts since early December after a tough night at Marquette. The goal: rekindle tempo and perimeter balance.
- Matchup keys: UConn’s physicality on the glass and paint creation typically creates a possession edge. Creighton needs clean catch-and-shoot looks, fewer live-ball turnovers, and a disciplined closeout game to keep UConn’s shooters honest.
Last direct match: UConn Huskies vs Creighton Bluejays
The Huskies won the most recent meeting on the road by 27, dictating the pace and owning the interior. This rematch flips to UConn’s home floor, where its defense has been especially stingy.
Performance last 5 Matches
- UConn Huskies: 4 wins, 1 loss — latest result a home win by four over Georgetown.
- Creighton Bluejays: 1 win, 4 losses — latest result an 11-point home setback to Villanova.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re siding with the better defense, the deeper rotation, and the steadier coach-led execution in the clutch. UConn on the moneyline is our strongest angle, projecting around a 74% win chance. Against the spread, UConn -7.5 gets the nod as long as the number stays under two full possessions plus a hook; our model shows a modest edge tied to rebounding and turnover pressure. For the total, the Under 147.5 recommendation stems from UConn’s consistent defensive floor and Creighton’s tendency to bog down when forced off first actions. Put it together, and the profile says home dominance in a game that leans more methodical than a track meet. If Creighton solves the turnover riddle early, they can hang around; if not, UConn’s structure should carry the ticket.
| Curious for more Betting Predictions? | |
|---|---|
| 🏟️ Expert betting predictions all Sports | 🚀 Parlay bet picks |
| 🏈 NFL expert picks | 🏀 NBA expert picks |
| 🏒 NHL picks | ⚽ Soccer expert picks |
| 🏁 Nascar predictions | 🎾 Tennis expert predictions |
| 🥊 UFC predictions |
