Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers 11/11/2025
This Eastern Conference tilt at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Tuesday, 11/11/2025, hits that perfect blend of intrigue and volatility bettors love. Philadelphia has banked a stronger start at 6-4, with Tyrese Maxey playing like a bona fide star while Philly’s shooting from deep has been scorching. Boston, at 5-6, is trying to stabilize on the road, leaning into Jaylen Brown’s scoring punch while Jayson Tatum remains out. The recent form data points in different directions: the Sixers’ last-five sample suggests pace and perimeter efficiency fueling high-scoring outcomes, while Boston’s path to success has been tied to rebounding surges and stout late-game defense.
Layer in a short-handed Sixers frontcourt and a Tatum-less Celtics offense, and this matchup resets the market edge to shot quality, transition control, and who gets threes to fall. We’ll get into the moneyline, spread, and total—plus how recent averages, injury context, and head-to-head texture should influence your betting card—right now.
It’s Game Time, And The Best Offers Are Waiting!
| Trustnbet list of Best Sportsbook Bonus & Promo Codes | |
|---|---|
| BetMGM Bonus Code | bet365 Bonus Code |
| Fanatics Bonus Code | Underdog Promo Code |
| Caesars Bonus Code | Draftkings Sign Up Bonus |
| Fanduel Deposit Bonus | List of Best Sportsbook Bonus Promos |
Our betting predictions for the match Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers
Expert Tip 1: Totals – Over 220.0 Points
Our primary pick: we lean on the Totals pick: Over 220.0 points at -120 with Caesars. With Philadelphia’s three-point clip humming and Boston’s recent games swinging more open when their rebounding pops, this sets up as a contest where shot volume and perimeter variance drive scoring. The Sixers’ last-five trends lean to a higher-scoring environment, and head-to-head has regularly pushed past the posted total in recent meetings. Betting tip: Play the Over up to a mid-220s number; I’d still have modest confidence up to around 229.5.
Ready to play like royalty? Explore our Caesars Sportsbook review and discover why players across the U.S. trust the King of Sportsbooks.
Tip 2: Moneyline – Philadelphia 76ers to Win
Moneyline: Philadelphia to win at best odds with BetMGM. Even with the injury list, the Sixers’ home form, perimeter efficiency, and Maxey’s usage-driven creation give them a slight edge at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Boston is competitive, and Brown’s form is real, but Philly’s spacing and shot profile at home make the difference in a close one. Betting tip: Lean Sixers on the moneyline.
Tip 3: Spread pick: Philadelphia to Cover -2.5
Our final tip leans on the spread pick: Philadelphia -2.5 at -110 with BetMGM Sportsbook. If the line posts near a bucket either way, I rate the Sixers to cover short spreads thanks to their three-point edge and late-game shot creation. If the market swings to Boston and you catch the Celtics at +3.5 or better, that becomes a viable counter. Probability estimate: 53% cover for Philadelphia at -2.5 or better. Betting tip: Take Philly against a small spread; buy to -2.5 or better.
Team Statistics
- Eastern Conference snapshot:
- Philadelphia 76ers: 6-4 overall, 3-2 at home. Season scoring profile from the standings data shows 122.4 points scored per game and 118.5 points allowed per game.
- Boston Celtics: 5-6 overall, 3-3 on the road. Season scoring profile shows 112.8 points per game and 110.4 points allowed per game.
- Last-five form (all competitions):
- Philadelphia: 2-3, with last-five averages around 128.6 points scored and 121.0 allowed. ATS win rate 80% in that stretch; total Over rate 100%.
- Boston: 2-3, with last-five averages around 114.2 points scored and 107.2 allowed. ATS win rate 40%; total Over rate 40%.
- Shooting and style indicators:
- 76ers: 46.9% from the field, and 41.9% from three—among the league’s best from deep right now. Pace is modest, but efficiency from behind the arc carries them.
- Celtics: 44.6% FG and 33.1% from three. Limited fastbreak output and points in the paint so far this season, which amplifies their dependence on half-court execution and rebounding.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Injury context:
- 76ers: Joel Embiid (knee), Paul George (finger), KJ Martin (foot), and Jared McCain (knee) are listed out; Caleb Martin (hip) and Andre Drummond (toe) are questionable. That’s a lot of size and star power on the shelf, making Maxey’s shot creation and perimeter support central to everything.
- Celtics: Jayson Tatum (Achilles) is out, a massive absence for Boston’s late-game shot diet and offensive gravity.
- Star form:
- Tyrese Maxey (76ers): Current season around 33.2 points per game, 8.3 assists, 5.0 rebounds. In November, he’s maintained roughly 30.8 points per game with strong splits from the field and deep, showing an elite pull-up rhythm.
- Jaylen Brown (Celtics): Around 28.1 points per game on 53.5% shooting, with 4.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists. He’s been Boston’s primary engine, attacking mismatches and shouldering more on-ball creation in Tatum’s absence.
- External factors and matchup dynamics:
- Three-point math favors the 76ers; they’re hitting at a top-tier rate and can leverage drive-and-kick to stretch Boston’s help.
- Boston’s path lies in winning the glass and forcing half-court possessions. When they spike in rebounding margin, the wins come.
- From a betting angle, recent head-to-heads have tended to clear totals, and Philly’s last-five Over rate underscores how shotmaking and pace within their sets can balloon totals even without breakneck tempo.
Last direct match: Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
The most recent meeting at Wells Fargo Center tilted Boston’s way by a single point, a one-possession nail-biter that showcased how thin the margins are between these rivals. Boston found timely stops and just enough shot creation late. The takeaway for bettors: these teams often play into clutch-time variance, where perimeter touch and turnover avoidance trump everything else.
Performance last 5 matches
- Philadelphia 76ers: 2 wins, 3 losses across all competitions. Offensively buoyant, with last-five averages well into the one-twenties, but giving up plenty as well.
- Boston Celtics: 2 wins, 3 losses across all competitions. Defense and rebounding have been the swing skills; when they control the glass, they stabilize their offense and close better.
Last match results: Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics
- 76ers: Fell at home to Detroit in a tight game decided by a few plays late.
- Celtics: Earned a road win at Orlando, closing strong behind shotmaking and improved rebounding presence.
Philadelphia 76ers: Short-handed but spacing the floor and letting Maxey cook
Philadelphia enters 6-4 in the East, 3-2 at home, and thriving from beyond the arc. Their season averages reflect a top-shelf offensive baseline at 122.4 points per game, while they’re allowing 118.5—plenty of possessions and buckets on both sides. The shooting is the headline: 46.9% from the field paired with an elite 41.9% from three. Maxey’s blend of pace control and pull-up accuracy, plus secondary spacing from role players, has helped cover for the losses in star power.
The defensive profile is bend-but-don’t-break; they’ve surrendered scoring runs but compensate by bombing threes and winning the efficiency battle. At the line, Philadelphia has been steady enough to convert late-game opportunities. Rebounding isn’t a dominant strength without Embiid, so boxing out and gang rebounding will be pivotal. Against Boston, expect the Sixers to test the Celtics’ closeouts and try to tilt the math with volume threes. If Caleb Martin is available, his two-way versatility would add a helpful wing body to diversify matchups.
Boston Celtics: Grinding on the road and relying on defense and the glass
Boston sits at 5-6 in the East and 3-3 away from home. Their scoring profile is more modest at 112.8 points per game, with 110.4 allowed—closer to control-ball than track meet when they’re at their best. Shooting has lagged to start: 44.6% from the field and 33.1% from three, which puts more pressure on Brown’s shot creation and the team’s offensive rebounding to generate second chances. The Celtics’ best wins lately correlate with rebounding swings; when they finish possessions defensively and keep opponents to one shot, the offense settles and efficient looks follow.
Without Tatum, late-clock shot-making has to come from Brown, Jrue Holiday’s craft, and Derrick White’s secondary creation. Boston’s free-throw profile has room to climb; if they get downhill and earn trips, they can keep pace even if threes don’t fall early. Expect the Celtics to press advantages on the glass, switch selectively on Maxey, and try to force the ball out of Philly’s prime creators’ hands.
Every season tells a story — follow the NBA Futures betting odds and find out which teams are ready to rise to the top when it matters most.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
With Philadelphia’s elite three-point efficiency and Boston’s tendency to push tempo through quick outlets after strong rebounding nights, the Over is our favorite look. The last five trend data for the Sixers is squarely in the high-scoring camp, and recent head-to-head has leaned the same way.
Here’s how we got there: Philly’s three-point math and home edge meet Boston’s rebounding-driven formula. In a close contest, perimeter shotmaking is the tiebreaker. That leans Philly on the moneyline and a narrow cover. Meanwhile, the flow setup—plus recent trends—pushes this toward a total that can climb above the mid-220s. Betting responsibly, our card prioritizes the Over, with Sixers moneyline and a small-number spread position as complementary plays.
