Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys 11/03/2025

Monday night in Arlington with the lights on and the roof closed? That’s a vibe every football fan recognizes. We’ve got Arizona at Dallas in Week 9, kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium. From a betting perspective, this one carries a lot of intrigue because the Cowboys’ profile at home looks very different than what they’ve shown on the road, and the Cardinals keep competing through injuries while living on the edge most weeks.

Dallas is 2-0 at home, and across the season, they’re averaging about 30.8 points per game while allowing around 31.3. Those figures are noisy thanks to some wild swings, but the trend is clear: the Cowboys can score, and they’re allowing their share, too. Arizona’s picture is tighter: roughly 21.9 points scored and 22.0 allowed per game, with a slightly stingier road defense than many expected and a road offense that has leaned on spurts of tempo and Kyler Murray’s improvisation—when he’s available.

Injuries are a major headline this week. The Cowboys’ secondary and offensive line are banged up, while the Cardinals’ backfield has been hit hard, and Kyler Murray’s status has been cloudy at times. That shapes totals, and it also influences how confident you feel laying points. Historical matchup trends tilt toward Arizona in recent years—five straight wins in the head-to-head—but Dallas’ home form under the primetime lights isn’t a small factor. Pair all that with the market numbers, and we’ve got a tight handicap worth unpacking.

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Our betting predictions for the match Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys

Main Tip: Spread – Dallas Cowboys -2.0

Spread: Dallas Cowboys -2.0 at FanDuel Sportsbook (-125). If you’re looking for the best that threads the needle between value and matchup, laying the short number with Dallas at home is the most logical play. The Cowboys’ offense at AT&T has been noticeably more efficient, and while their defense can give up chunk plays, the Cardinals’ injury situation on offense limits sustained consistency. With Dallas averaging well north of 30 per game overall and a punchier home rhythm, a field goal gap is a reasonable expectation. Tip: Cowboys -2.0 (-125).

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Tip 2: Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys ML

Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys ML at BetMGM Sportsbook. Arizona has owned this series lately, but the current situation favors Dallas. Home field, a better scoring baseline, and more ways to generate explosive plays tilt the straight-up outcome toward the Cowboys. The Cardinals’ road offense has averaged around the low 20s, and their margin for error narrows without a fully healthy skill group. If you want to cut out spread variance in a potentially swingy fourth quarter, the Dallas moneyline is a steady anchor. Tip: Dallas ML at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Tip 3: Total: Under 54.5 Points

Total: Under 54.5 points at best odds at BetMGM (-125). There’s a case for points—Dallas can light it up—but the number sits high relative to Arizona’s typical game flow and the injuries on both sides. The Cardinals’ road outings have skewed toward tighter totals, and if Dallas leans on a ball-control script to protect a patchwork line, the pace may be more measured than the number implies. Add the possibility of red-zone stalls with reshuffled personnel, and the Under gets the nod. Tip: Under 54.5 (-125).

Team news

• Dallas Cowboys:
  • – S Malik Hooker (toe) moved to IR, with safety depth addressed by adding Alijah Clark to the active roster.
  • – CB Trevon Diggs (concussion protocol) and S Donovan Wilson (elbow/shoulder) logged DNPs recently.
  • – LT Tyler Guyton (glute) is limited; C Cooper Beebe (ankle/foot) is on IR; OG Tyler Booker (ankle) has a high-ankle sprain, and the team has weighed an IR move.
  • – The offensive line shuffling is the top watch item heading into Monday night, especially against pressure looks.
• Arizona Cardinals:
  • QB Kyler Murray (foot) status has been uncertain at times; his mobility level bears monitoring.
  • RB James Conner (foot) to IR; the room has been thinned further, creating week-to-week adjustments in the ground game.
  • DL Darius Robinson ruled out; OL Evan Brown doubtful.
  • Questionables include CB Will Johnson, CB Denzel Burke (knee), and WR Greg Dortch (collarbone). Availability here impacts perimeter matchups and return game juice.

Dallas Cowboys performance check

Under Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas’ offense has flashed high-end firepower at home. On the season, they’re averaging about 30.8 points per game and allowing roughly 31.3. At AT&T Stadium, their scoring jumps—home output has been north of 40 per game in a small sample—while the defense has still given up points in bursts. The Cowboys are coming off a 24-44 away loss in Denver, a reminder that their road variance is real. At home, though, the rhythm, spacing, and Dak Prescott’s command typically level up.

Protection is the swing factor. With injuries at tackle and on the interior, quick-game concepts, play-action with moving pockets, and a dose of balance should keep the offense on schedule. The Cowboys’ pass catchers can stress man coverage, and if Dallas wins on early downs, the playbook opens. Defensively, Dallas has the athletes to close windows, but tackling consistency and penalty discipline matter; the previous meeting in this series featured too many flags. If they play cleaner situational football at home, it elevates both the moneyline and spread outlooks.

How is the current performance of the Arizona Cardinals

Jonathan Gannon’s squad fights, even with the injuries stacking up. The Cardinals sit in fourth in the NFC West and have lost five straight, but the margins haven’t all been large. They’re scoring about 21.9 per game and allowing roughly 22.0, a profile that suggests coin-flip stretches when they protect the ball. On the road, their offense trends around the low 20s, and their defense has held opponents near that neighborhood, creating totals that often sit under mid-50s.

Arizona’s last outing was a 23-27 home loss to the Packers—a game where opportunities were there late. The wideout group, including standout rookie Marvin Harrison Jr., is still finding a weekly rhythm amid QB and OL health questions. The backfield churn is meaningful: without James Conner and with injuries affecting the rotation, the run game may shift toward perimeter action, QB movement, and schemed touches. Defensively, the Cardinals need to generate negative plays early to put Dallas behind the sticks; otherwise, the Cowboys’ home tempo can tilt time of possession and scoring rate.

Team Statistics

• – Dallas season averages: about 30.8 points scored per game and 31.3 allowed. At home, the offense spikes, and while the defense has allowed its share, Dallas’ scoring ceiling indoors is an edge.
• – Arizona season averages: roughly 21.9 points scored and 22.0 allowed per game. On the road, both sides of the ball have hovered near the low 20s.
• – Situationally, Dallas’ 2-0 home record matters for spread and moneyline analysis. Arizona’s 1-2 road mark pairs with a defense that tends to keep them within striking distance, but the offensive injuries cap their explosion rate.
• – Discipline can tilt outcomes: the recent history in this matchup included double-digit penalties for Dallas in a single game. Cleaner execution is central to the Under angle and to Dallas laying a short number.

Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

• – Dak Prescott is coming off what insiders called his sharpest outing of the season not long ago, with precision underneath and red-zone poise. If the pass pro holds up enough, Dallas can string together efficient drives and protect a lead.
• – Kyler Murray’s mobility is the X-factor. If he’s close to full go, scramble-to-throw and designed movement can stress Dallas’ second level; if limited, Arizona’s offense leans on timing and quick hitters.
• – RB situation for Arizona is thin. A pieced-together backfield usually means more empty looks, jet motion, and screens—good for staying on schedule, but harder to produce explosive runs on demand.
• – Cowboys secondary health: monitoring Diggs/Wilson matters for explosive prevention. Even if depth is tested, Dallas’ pass rush can hide some back-end dings if they win first down.
• – Environment: fast track at AT&T, prime-time routine, and no travel stress for Dallas. Arizona handles a normal road-week flow, but a late kickoff in a loud dome can alter communication—especially for a reshuffled offensive line.

Last direct match: Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

The last time these teams met, Arizona won 28-16 at home. That game saw Dallas commit too many penalties and allow the Cardinals’ offense to extend drives. It’s also part of a broader trend: Arizona has won five straight in the head-to-head. Even so, personnel and location are different factors here—Dallas returns to its own building, where its offense has played with more pace and punch.

Performance last 5 matches

• – Dallas Cowboys: 2 wins, 2 losses over their last five outings—uneven, but with a sharper edge at home.
• – Arizona Cardinals: 0 wins, 5 losses across their last five competitive stretches, but closing has been an issue.

Last match results Dallas Cowboys and the Arizona Cardinals

• – Dallas: 24-44 road loss at Denver. The Broncos turned key takeaways into points, and Dallas couldn’t claw back late.
• – Arizona: 23-27 home loss against Green Bay. The Cardinals had chances in the fourth quarter but left plays on the field.

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TrustnBet Final Thoughts

Dallas brings the higher home ceiling and a favorable game script if they stay ahead of the chains. Arizona’s injuries and road profile point to a more modest scoring outlook, even with Kyler’s magic in spots. That’s why we’re prioritizing Cowboys -2.0 at FanDuel Sportsbook (-125) as our first look, backing the Dallas moneyline as the straight-up anchor, and playing Under 54.5 (-125) given the likely tempo and red-zone volatility with reshuffled parts.