Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings 11/09/2025
Here we go: Week 10, U.S. Bank Stadium, and two franchises with real January ambitions collide in a game the betting market won’t stop talking about. Baltimore (3-5) rolls in off a commanding 28-6 road win, Minnesota (4-4) just edged the Lions 27-24 in Detroit, and both sides have quarterbacks who can change the narrative in a snap. From a numbers angle, the splits are telling. The Vikings are averaging 22.8 points per game while allowing 23.3, and they’ve been a touch better at home, scoring about 25.3 and allowing 20.0 per game in Minneapolis. The Ravens have been more volatile: 25.3 points per game scored against 27.0 allowed, but their road offense has traveled—roughly 29.3 per game in away tilts, while conceding about 28.0. That creates a razor-thin margin, where situational football and late-game execution could be the separator.
Now layer in personnel: reports point to Lamar Jackson’s return to the starting lineup, which re-centers Baltimore’s offensive identity. Minnesota is tracking positively at quarterback as well, with J.J. McCarthy logging a full practice and in line to start per midweek notes, while Kevin O’Connell’s group continues to manage injuries across the offensive line. AFC North versus NFC North, two elite head coaches in John Harbaugh and O’Connell, and a fast track indoors—this is a handicapping puzzle with angles on the moneyline, spread, and total for every bettor’s card.
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Our betting predictions for the match Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings
Tip 1: Spread – Minnesota Vikings +3.5
Our primary betting tip (Spread): Minnesota Vikings +3.5 at -105 at DraftKings. I like the cushion with a home team that’s been sturdier in their building than the 1-2 record suggests, averaging about 25 points scored and 20 allowed at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota has the coaching chops to scheme answers even if the offensive line isn’t at full strength, and its defense has shown late-down grit. This number covers a tight one-score script and protects against a late field goal swing.
Curious if DraftKings really lives up to the hype? Dive into our detailed Sportsbook review and see what the buzz is all about!
Tip 2: Moneyline – Who will win the match?
Our second prediction (Moneyline – Who will win the match): Baltimore Ravens at best odds (bet365 Sportsbook). Lamar’s return stabilizes Baltimore’s offense and raises the floor in high-leverage moments. Harbaugh’s groups generally travel well, and the Ravens’ road scoring clip—roughly 29 points per game—translates indoors. If you don’t want to mess with the hook on the spread, the moneyline is the cleaner play.
Tip 3: Game Totals – Under 47.5
Our final betting prediction (Game Totals Over/Under 47.5 Points): Under 47.5 at -115 with bet365. The dome begs you to play the Over, but both staff rooms know how to squeeze possessions. Minnesota’s home defense has trimmed opponents to around 20 a game, while Baltimore’s defense—despite injuries—can still heat up in the red area. Add in a methodical approach from both coaches early, and the Under has value so long as we avoid the explosive special teams play or a defensive score.
Team news
- Baltimore: Expect Lamar Jackson back, which changes how Baltimore layers QB run actions, quick game, and deep crossers. The Ravens’ secondary has been banged up, and they’re still managing multiple IR stints. That’s the chess match: can they hold up on the back end against Minnesota’s timing concepts while generating heat up front without over-committing?
- Minnesota: J.J. McCarthy logged a full practice this week and is trending toward the start. Minnesota listed several pieces on the injury report, including C.J. Ham (hand), Jeff Okudah (concussion), and Josh Oliver (foot). Some offensive line starters have been sidelined in recent weeks, which puts protection and run fits under the microscope against Baltimore’s pressure packages.
Minnesota Vikings performance check
Kevin O’Connell’s bunch sits 4-4, and there’s plenty to like about how they’ve competed, especially in late-game situations. At home, the Vikings are averaging about 25.3 points while allowing just 20.0, a meaningful improvement over their overall splits. Their last outing—a 27-24 road win in Detroit—showed resilience, situational poise, and a willingness to take the easy yards. Over the last five, Minnesota is 2-3, but the losses were largely one-score games that swung on a handful of plays. Within the NFC North, they’re in the thick of the race behind the Lions, and this is the kind of interconference game that can sharpen their playoff profile. With McCarthy trending up, the goal is a clean operation: keep the ball out quickly, lean into motion and bunch looks to help the protection, and trust Brian Flores’ defense to disrupt Baltimore’s rhythm.
How is the current performance of the Baltimore Ravens
John Harbaugh’s Ravens are 3-5, but the arrow pointed up last week with that 28-6 road cruising speed in Miami. The averages tell an interesting story: 25.3 points scored per game but 27.0 allowed. On the road, they’ve scored a robust 29.3 per game while allowing 28.0—big-play variance that cuts both ways. The return of Lamar Jackson re-centers the offense around option looks, play-action crossers, and second-reaction throws. Baltimore’s run game usually travels, and on turf indoors, their speed at receiver and tight end becomes a problem. Defensively, the secondary’s injury load is real, so the pass rush has to win early downs and force predictable passing. The Ravens are chasing in the AFC North, and this is the exact type of road test that swings a season trajectory.
Team Statistics
- – Minnesota Vikings (season): 22.8 points per game scored, 23.3 allowed; home splits around 25.3 scored and 20.0 allowed. Record: 4-4 overall, 1-2 at home. Last five: 2-3.
- – Baltimore Ravens (season): 25.3 points per game scored, 27.0 allowed; road splits around 29.3 scored and 28.0 allowed. Record: 3-5 overall, 1-2 on the road. Last five: 2-3.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- – Quarterbacks: Reports throughout the week indicate Lamar Jackson is set to return, boosting Baltimore’s late-down efficiency and red-zone creativity. Minnesota’s J.J. McCarthy logged a full Wednesday practice and is expected to go, which steadies O’Connell’s passing script with defined reads and play-action throws.
- – Injuries: Baltimore’s secondary depth is thin, and they’re still juggling IR designations. Minnesota’s offensive line has dealt with multiple absences; that’s the swing factor in passing-down consistency.
- – Momentum: Baltimore’s 28-6 road win signals a defense finding answers and an offense that can close. Minnesota’s 27-24 in Detroit reinforces their late-game mettle.
- – Environment: Indoors at U.S. Bank Stadium favors speed and precision passing; noise helps Minnesota on defense with communication and timing disruptions for Baltimore’s cadence.
Last direct match: Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens
Their last meeting was a thriller: Baltimore edged it 34-31 in overtime. That game was defined by late swings, explosive plays, and quarterbacks answering the bell in clutch sequences. Expect both staffs to mine that tape for situational tells—especially how Baltimore managed tempo and how Minnesota attacked intermediate zones.
Performance last 5 matches
- – Minnesota Vikings: 2 wins, 3 losses. A team that has hovered around one-score scripts and shown the ability to close on the road.
- – Baltimore Ravens: 2 wins, 3 losses. Volatility on defense, but a ceiling that spikes when the offense dictates pace.
Last match results Minnesota Vikings and the Baltimore Ravens
- – Vikings: 27-24 road win at the Detroit Lions. O’Connell’s offense stacked sustainable drives and closed with poise.
- – Ravens: 28-6 road win at the Miami Dolphins. A statement of complementary football with four-quarter control.
Looking for a little help with your game-day bets? Check out the latest NFL betting picks and see which teams the experts are backing!
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We see three actionable angles for bettors. First, we’ll take Minnesota +3.5 at -105 to capture both a tight home cover and protection against a late Baltimore field goal. Second, with Lamar’s return and the Ravens’ track record of traveling offense, we’ll play the Ravens moneyline as the straight-up result. Third, we lean Under 47.5 at -115 in a game where both coaches can compress possessions and lean on situational defense. That trio aligns with the matchup data, injury dynamics, and each team’s scoring profile—leaving room for a close Ravens win while the game stays under the key total.
