Las Vegas Raiders @ Philadelphia Eagles 12/14/2025
Week 15 rolls into Philly with the Raiders visiting Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, December 14, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET. From a betting lens, this one is a classic “numbers vs. narrative” spot: the Eagles have been uneven lately, but they’re still heavy favorites at home; the Raiders have struggled throughout the season, yet big underdogs have quietly cashed in these late-season windows when teams lean on defense and field position. Philadelphia, coached by Nick Sirianni, owns a strong home profile and remains in the NFC East chase. The Raiders, meanwhile, head east from the AFC West with little margin, but in this league, motivation, travel, and trenches can swing tickets.
The moneyline is juiced toward Philly (BetMGM Sportsbook), and the market’s hung an 11.5-point spread with a modest total around 39. If you’re thinking value, the conversation starts with whether Vegas can hang inside two scores and whether the tempo/efficiency combo points to a lower-scoring grind. Let’s break it down like we’re chatting on the sideline before kickoff.
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Our betting predictions: Las Vegas Raiders @ Philadelphia Eagles
Main Tip: Spread – Raiders +11.5
1) Spread: Raiders +11.5 at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Why: Cross-country road spots can be tricky, but double-digit spreads require real margin. On season-long averages, the Eagles score 22.2 points per game while allowing 20.8; the Raiders average 15.1 points scored and 25.5 allowed. That composite projects to a mid-to-high 30s combined score—tight for a blowout script. Philly still profiles as the better side, but Las Vegas can shorten the game with longer possessions and conservative decision-making. – Confidence/Probability: 54% to cover (+11.5), a slight edge. Fair odds about -120 at FanDuel are a reasonable value.
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Tip 2: Game Total – Under 39.0
Our second betting prediction is on the Total – Under 39.0 at -125 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Why: Using the averages, Philly’s 22.2 ppg and Vegas’ 15.1 ppg combine to 37.3. The Eagles’ defense at home tends to make visiting offenses earn every yard, and the Raiders’ offense has been conservative on the road. Weather and late-season cold in Philly often nudge totals down, and both teams have shown stretches of sluggish drives and red-zone stalls. Confidence/Probability: 56% to 58% for Under 39. Fair odds around -125 at FanDuel are a playable number.
Tip 3: Moneyline – Eagles to Win
Finally, we back the Moneyline: Eagles to win at best odds with bet365. Why: Straight-up, Philly is the rightful favorite at home. Their win probability is roughly 85% to 88% (market-implied sits around 87.7%). If you’re laying this number, it’s best used in a parlay or as a bankroll anchor—but the value is better on the spread or total. Confidence/Probability: 86% win chance. The market price is steeper than our fair line, so reduced value, but the pick to win remains Eagles.
Team Statistics: Current Form and Division Context
Philadelphia Eagles (Home, NFC East)
- Record: 8-5 overall. That’s a 61.5% win rate and 38.5% losses.
- Home/Away splits: 4-2 at home (66.7% wins), 4-3 away (57.1%).
- Scoring: Averaging 22.2 points per game (289 points over 13 games = 22.23 rounded) and allowing 20.8 (271/13 = 20.85).
- Home scoring/defense: 23.8 points scored per home game (143/6) and 20.0 allowed (120/6).
- Away scoring/defense: 20.9 scored per road game (146/7) and 21.6 allowed (151/7).
- Form: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last five across all competitions; most recent result listed as a close road loss.
- Division note: The NFC East is always a slugfest—with division winners plus three wild cards making the NFC postseason, Philly’s still in a strong position if they take care of home games down the stretch under Nick Sirianni.
- Style notes: The averages point to a balanced team that can control time of possession, leverage a physical offensive line, and lean on a defense that keeps scores manageable.
Las Vegas Raiders (Away, AFC West)
- Record: 2-11 overall. That’s 15.4% wins and 84.6% losses.
- Home/Away splits: 1-6 at home (14.3% wins), 1-5 away (16.7%).
- Scoring: Averaging 15.1 points per game (196/13) and allowing 25.5 (332/13).
- Home scoring/defense: 17.9 points scored per home game (125/7) and 23.7 allowed (166/7).
- Away scoring/defense: 11.8 scored per road game (71/6) and 27.7 allowed (166/6).
- Form: 0 wins and 5 losses in the last five across all competitions; most recent result a one-score home loss.
- Division note: In the AFC West gauntlet, the Raiders need incremental wins to build toward a future wild-card push. With the AFC handing out four division crowns and three wild cards, this is a “play the long game” franchise moment.
- Style notes: The road offense has been limited; the path to covering is to slow the game, protect the ball, and flip the field with special teams and third-down defense.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Coaching edge at home: Nick Sirianni typically scripts efficient early drives, a plus for Philadelphia’s first-half control.
- Trench talk: If Philly’s offensive line is near full strength, that’s a major leverage point—especially on early downs to stay ahead of the sticks.
- Travel/tempo: Cross-country travel for Las Vegas, plus a 1:00 PM ET kick, can suppress early rhythm.
- December football: Cold conditions and wind at Lincoln Financial Field often steer games toward run frequency and clock bleed, supporting an Under look.
- Quarterback lens: Philly’s offense has a higher week-to-week ceiling; Las Vegas can cover if it keeps the chains moving and avoids short fields that hand the Eagles quick points.
Last direct match
The most recent meeting went to the Raiders at home, 33–22. Different building, different season—but it’s a reminder that matchup variance exists.
Performance last 5 Matches
- Eagles: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Raiders: 0 wins, 5 losses
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re reading this one like a tough, physical December game that favors the home side straight-up but gives the road dog room to sneak inside the number. The Eagles’ per-game averages suggest a winning formula at home without a guaranteed blowout margin. That points us first to the Raiders +11.5, where we see a modest edge versus fair value. Second, the Under 39.0 fits the combined scoring profile (projected around the high 30s) and the late-season conditions we often see in Philly. Third, the Eagles on the moneyline is a solid parlay piece if you need a leg, but on its own, it’s rich; we still list it because they’re the likely winner (about 86% by our numbers).
Bottom line: We’re projecting a controlled pace and a methodical home performance under Nick Sirianni—enough to bank the win, but not necessarily enough fireworks to clear a high total or run away from a double-digit spread. Our card: Raiders +11.5, Under 39.0, Eagles to win.
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