Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks 01/25/2026
Two NFC West rivals, one ticket to the Super Bowl. The Rams head up to the Pacific Northwest to face the top-seeded Seahawks at Lumen Field on Sunday, January 25, 2026, at 6:30 PM. From a betting lens, we’ve got layers: Seattle just smashed San Francisco 41-6 in the Divisional Round and has stacked five straight wins, while the Rams have lived on the edge with a pair of tight postseason escapes, including a 20-17 overtime road win in Chicago.
The line opened with Seattle around a 3.5-point favorite and a total near 45.5, which feels about right given the clash in styles: the Rams’ tempo and explosive passing versus Seattle’s defense finding a nasty groove under Mike Macdonald. The last time these two met here? A 38-37 overtime thriller. Expect plenty of in-game swings, real situational coaching chess, and the Lumen Field noise shaping snap counts and protection plans. Let’s talk angles, probabilities, and the smartest way to line up your action.
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Our betting predictions: Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Main Pick: Total – Over 45.5
1) Total: Over 45.5 (projected) at -120 with Fanatics — 54% probability. Why we like it: The last meeting finished 38-37 in OT, and while that’s a high bar, the matchup profiles remain speed-on-speed: multiple chunk-play receivers, pass-catching backs, and two play-callers comfortable pushing the pace when needed. Seattle has been efficient at home, and the Rams’ road offense tends to settle in as games progress. Even if things start tight, the second half sets up for an uptick in explosives and red-zone trips. With both teams leaning into their best weapons, the Over is our top angle.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – Seattle Seahawks
2) Moneyline: Seattle Seahawks at best odds with BetMGM — 57% win probability. Why we like it: This is about environment + form. Seattle’s 5-0 run and the Lumen Field edge matter in a one-score game expectation. Mike Macdonald’s defense has grown more assignment-sound by the week, and Seattle has consistently seized early momentum at home, which alters play-calling for opponents. The Rams can absolutely answer (see: OT win at Chicago), but in a coin-flip late, Seattle’s noise and situational defense tilt the needle.
Tip 3: Spread – Rams +3.5
3) Spread: Rams +3.5 at -125 with BetMGM — 55% cover probability. Why we like it: Threading the needle is viable here: Seattle to win, L.A. to keep it within a field goal. McVay’s in-game adjustments and two-minute execution give the Rams backdoor potential, and this rivalry tends to find late-game drama. With both teams comfortable playing from behind, +3.5 gives you coverage against a one- or three-point margin either way.
Team Statistics: Seattle’s form surges at home under Mike Macdonald
Seattle has rolled through the last month-plus with a 5-0 record, highlighted by that 41-6 thumping of the 49ers. Over those five, the Seahawks average 27.4 points scored and just 14.4 allowed—strong, sustainable indicators when games tighten in January. They were 8-1 at home in the regular season and now carry the NFC’s top seed into a true noise cauldron. The defense forced takeaways against San Francisco and showed closing speed at the second level, with impact on early downs that set up favorable rush situations. Special teams added a spark recently with a house-call return, which changes field position math and win probability in a hurry.
Context matters: This is the NFC West. Seattle took care of its division path, then claimed the NFC’s No. 1 seed by stacking late-season wins. Offensively, they’re not asking the quarterback to do everything; the balance allows them to hunt explosives without forcing throws. On defense, they’ve flashed situational excellence—red zone discipline and third-down disguises—exactly what you need in a championship spot. In terms of recent percentages: 100% wins in the last five, 0% losses, and trending up on both sides of the ball.
Team Statistics: Rams carry road resilience and explosive averages
The Rams come in 3-2 over their last five, with a pulse-quickening profile: 30.4 points per game on offense and 26.6 allowed. They have the kind of aggressive passing rhythm that travels, and Sean McVay’s sequencing still creates conflict for linebackers and safeties. Recent form says they can win shootouts or grind out drives late; just ask the Bears after that overtime road result. On the road this season, the Rams were around a break-even profile, and they’ve clearly embraced the underdog posture in January.
On player averages, the regular-season production points to where the ball goes. Matthew Stafford’s totals translate to roughly 270–280 passing yards per game with around 2.5–2.7 passing touchdowns per game. Puka Nacua settled into a true WR1 pace at roughly 7–8 catches and around 100 receiving yards per game. Davante Adams’ line averaged in the mid-40s in yards per game with close to one touchdown every game and a half. Kyren Williams’ season pace put him in the 70–75 rushing yards per game range with steady goal-line involvement. The point: the Rams can hit you through the air at a high average clip, then salt away with Kyren if they’re ahead. Their late-game scripts often tilt aggressively—great for totals, and it keeps them alive even when trailing in a hostile building.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Health watch: For Seattle, Zach Charbonnet (knee), Charles Cross (foot), and Coby Bryant (knee) exited recently, and Riq Woolen’s status is one to track. For the Rams, Kevin Dotson is out, Jordan Whittington is out, and Matthew Stafford’s finger scare returned clean X-rays.
- Momentum: Sam Darnold ran an efficient ball last week (north of 75% completions, no turnovers), and Kenneth Walker III powered the ground game with multiple trips to the paint. The Rams rallied late in both postseason games—heart rate high, execution high.
- Environment: Lumen Field’s noise is a real factor—cadence, communication, and protection can wobble. The forecast suggests cool conditions and minimal wind, ideal for clean passing. Edge to the home side in energy and operation; edge to the Rams in quick-tempo answers if they fall behind.
Last direct match
The last meeting in Seattle ended 38-37 in overtime, a wild swing game where both offenses moved the ball, and late-game decisions defined the outcome.
Performance last 5 Matches
- Seattle Seahawks: 5 wins, 0 losses, including a 41-6 home win over San Francisco.
- Los Angeles Rams: 3 wins, 2 losses, capped by a 20-17 overtime road win in Chicago.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
Three actionable takeaways guide our card. First, we like the Over 45.5 because of the Rams’ pace and explosive averages paired with a Seattle offense that’s been remarkably efficient—our edge sits around 54%, with a fair number. Second, the Seahawks’ moneyline gets the nod thanks to home-field advantages under Mike Macdonald, the recent five-game defensive average of 14.4 allowed, and the proven ability to close halves—our projection lands around 58–60%. Third, Seattle -3.5 is a reasonable alternative to reduce juice if you don’t want the moneyline tax; we project 54–55% to cover and would play it to about -115.
Why these three? The matchup leans to points because the Rams’ offense reliably finds explosives, and Seattle’s current balance means they don’t need hero ball to keep pace. The moneyline play respects Seattle’s environment and current form. The spread play leverages that same home edge at a manageable number. Stack them intelligently: prioritize Over 45.5, pair with Seahawks moneyline, and consider -3.5 if you prefer the spread. Keep an eye on late-week injury clarity—especially along both offensive lines—but the core angles remain steady. This is a heavyweight NFC West rubber match in the loudest stadium in football, and our numbers back Seattle in a high-scoring finish.
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