New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys 09/14/2025
Here we go: a classic NFC East tilt in Week 2 — Giants at Cowboys, Sunday at 1:00 ET under the big board at AT&T Stadium. Both teams come in trying to shake off Week 1 losses, and for bettors, that early sample gives us some quick reads. Dallas fell on the road to Philadelphia 24-20, averaging 20.0 points while giving up 24.0. New York opened with a rough one — a 21-6 loss to Washington — and has now gone three straight games without a touchdown, an alarming trend for Brian Daboll’s offense.
For the Giants, Daniel Jones struggled behind a shaky offensive line, rarely finding rhythm, while the defense had stretches of solid play but failed to generate game-changing turnovers. Dallas, meanwhile, got a huge performance from CeeDee Lamb (110 yards receiving) but was undone by costly mistakes — a red-zone fumble, drive-killing penalties, and critical late drops that stalled momentum. Defensively, the Cowboys were physical but surrendered a few backbreaking explosive plays at key moments.
Historically, this series has leaned heavily toward Dallas — the Cowboys have won the last five matchups, including a 27-20 home win the last time these teams met in Texas. With both teams 0-1 in the division behind early winners Philadelphia and Washington, urgency is high, setting up a likely punch-counterpunch script that could tighten late and keep both spread and totals bettors locked in. NFC East rivalry energy — Dallas has the edge in weapons, but the Giants are desperate to finally break their touchdown drought in a hostile road environment.
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Our betting predictions for the match New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Tip 1: Moneyline – Dallas Cowboys
Our betting tip (Moneyline): The safer side remains Dallas on the moneyline at competitive odds with bet365. The Cowboys averaged 20.0 in their opener and played within a single score on the road, while the Giants’ offense sputtered at 6.0. At home, with that pass rush and a proven ability to control this rivalry, Dallas is positioned to close. If you’re risk-averse and want the win without sweating the margin, the moneyline is the pragmatic play.
Tip 2: Spread – New York at +3.5 Points
Our betting prediction (Spread): I like New York at +3.5, priced at -105 with Caesars Sportsbook. Even with Dallas owning the recent head-to-head, the Giants can keep this within a field goal if they clean up protection and lean into a steadier ground game. New York’s defense held Washington to 21.0 points per game in Week 1, and that travel-tested spot gives them some resilience. The hook is key in NFC East games; I’ll take the cushion with a team that typically rallies late.
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Tip 3: Game Totals – Lean Under 43.5 Points
Our prediction (Game Totals): Lean Under 43.5 points (around -110 at Caesars). Both teams combined to average 26.0 points per game in Week 1, and much of that early-season profile points to a physical divisional game. Dallas’ defense should limit explosive plays, and the Giants’ best path is ball control to keep the Cowboys’ pass rush honest. Unless both quarterbacks hit multiple splash plays, the Under has a real shot.
First tip: Cowboys moneyline
Second tip: Giants +3.5 (Spread)
Third tip: Under 43.5 (Totals)
Team news
Both teams hit Week 2 with urgency. For Dallas under head coach Brian Schottenheimer, it’s about finishing drives at home and tightening up in the red zone after averaging 20.0 points on the road last week. For the Giants under head coach Brian Daboll, it’s about stabilizing the offense after a 6.0-point showing and finding a better rhythm on early downs. With no short week or cross-country travel, the setup is straightforward: execute, minimize giveaways, and win the trench battle.
Dallas Cowboys performance check
Dallas came out of Week 1 with a 0-1 record, but in context, the 20.0 points per game on the road against a familiar rival isn’t alarming. The defense allowed 24.0 per game in that opener—an area they’ll expect to tighten at home. Under Brian Schottenheimer, the Cowboys’ offense tends to settle faster in Arlington. The pass game should be more efficient with cleaner pockets, and the run game can be used to set up play-action rather than playing from behind. Special teams at AT&T Stadium typically tilt positive for Dallas, helping field position.
From a betting lens, the Cowboys’ recent skid (1 win and 4 losses across their last five in all competitions) creates a bit of market hesitation, but the matchup history against New York has consistently favored them. Coming off a 20-24 road loss, Dallas can right-size its defensive fronts and leverage that pass rush to force long-yardage downs for New York. If the Cowboys stay ahead of the sticks offensively, they can throttle up their tempo in the second half and press the advantage.
How is the current performance of New York Giants
The Giants opened their season with a road loss, averaging 6.0 points while allowing 21.0. It’s not the offensive debut Brian Daboll wanted, but one game is one game. The more encouraging piece for New York is its recent five-game form (3 wins and 2 losses across all competitions), which suggests they can adapt and grind. The immediate task in Dallas is protection—keeping the quarterback clean and establishing a baseline run rate to soften the Cowboys’ edge rush.
New York’s defense allowed 21.0 per game in Week 1—solid enough to keep a contest within a single score if the offense sustains drives. Daboll’s teams can script strong opening series; if they sharpen third-down execution and unlock some yards after catch, they can nudge that 6.0 points per game up meaningfully. The Giants’ away profile (0-1 so far) isn’t telling in a one-game sample, but it underscores the need to avoid early penalties and stalled drives. With a +3.5 cushion, the Giants don’t need to dominate; they just need to keep the fourth quarter inside one possession.
Statistics
– Last direct match Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants: 27:20 home win for the Cowboys. Dallas has taken the last five head-to-head meetings in all competitions, a trend that weighs into the moneyline pricing this week.
- Performance last 5 matches (all competitions): Dallas Cowboys 1 win, 4 losses; New York Giants 3 wins, 2 losses. Dallas’ larger sample leans negative, but the matchup-specific trend remains pro-Cowboys.
- Last match results:
- Dallas Cowboys: 20:24 away loss vs. Philadelphia Eagles (averaged 20.0 points scored, 24.0 allowed in Week 1)
- New York Giants: 6:21 away loss vs. Washington Commanders (averaged 6.0 points scored, 21.0 allowed in Week 1)
- Division context (NFC East only): Early doors, Philadelphia and Washington opened with wins, while Dallas and New York are chasing at 0-1. With 17 regular-season games, there’s time—but divisional matchups are amplified because of tiebreakers.
- Home/Away profile:
- Dallas at home: 0-0 so far; expect a more stable offensive rhythm indoors.
- Giants on the road: 0-1 so far, averaging 6.0 points in that lone road outing.
- Style tendencies from Week 1:
- Dallas showed a balanced scoring pace (20.0 ppg) but needs to finish in the red zone.
- New York’s defense kept the lid on to 21.0 allowed, but the offense must improve first-down efficiency and explosive plays.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re threading the needle here. The moneyline nod goes to the Cowboys, where the history, venue, and slightly better Week 1 offensive output support a “just win” ticket. The spread, however, sets up nicely for New York at +3.5: with the hook in pocket and a defense that allowed 21.0 in the opener, the Giants have a credible path to keep this tight. As for the total, the Under 43.5 aligns with both teams’ Week 1 averages (combined 26.0 points per game), the divisional familiarity, and a likely field-position battle. In short: Dallas to win, Giants to cover the number, and a modest scoreboard.
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