NFL Conference Championship Odds & Picks
Two tickets to the Super Bowl are on the line, and the margins get razor thin in the Conference Championships. We’ve got a classic altitude test in Denver as New England heads to Mile High, plus a heavyweight NFC showdown in Seattle where the 12s crank the decibels. Expect coaching adjustments to matter, special teams to swing field position, and every red-zone snap to feel like fourth-and-season. Below you’ll find quick-hit previews with key form notes and our best bet per game—rotating between moneyline, spread, and totals—plus fair win probability estimates and odds to keep it crystal clear. Lines can move as injury reports settle and weather firms up, so shop around and lock value when you see it. Let’s dive into both matchups and make sense of where the edges sit for the final hurdle before the big one.
| Game | Prediction | Date | Bet NOW |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos | Patriots ML (-250) | 01/25/2026 |  |
| Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks | Rams +3 (-125) | 01/25/2026 |  |
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New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
New England’s overall form trend is positive, with stronger road results late; Denver’s win-loss profile improves at home, where altitude and defense usually travel. Expect a possession game and field-position chess. Estimated win probabilities: Patriots 69% (-250), Broncos 31% (+210).
Betting tip (Moneyline): Patriots ML -250 at BetMGM Sportsbook. With New England’s road composure and Denver’s inconsistent scoring, backing the favorite to grind out a late cover-free win is the cleanest angle.
Statistics Broncos
Statistics Patriots
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle’s home split at Lumen Field is typically better than their road mark, while the Rams have traveled well with a balanced attack. This rivalry often comes down to one score and a late stop. Estimated win probabilities: Seahawks 58% (-149), Rams 42% (+130).
Betting tip (Spread): Rams +3 (-125). In a projected field-goal game, the points with L.A. offer value against a Seahawks team that leans on home advantage but plays tight outcomes.
Statistics Rams
Statistics Seahawks
