NFL Week 14 – Preview & Predictions

December 4, 2025, 10:58 AM - Martin S.

The playoff push is here. Injury reports tighten markets, travel wear shows up, and home/away win-loss splits really start to matter. We’ll lean into matchups, situational form, and the numbers behind the numbers—then make one clear betting pick per game with U.S. odds and an implied probability. Shop lines, respect variance, and keep an eye on inactives 90 minutes before kickoff.

Predictions & Odds NFL Week 14

Game	Prediction	Date
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions	Lions ML -161 (62%)	12/04/2025
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons	Under 45.0 (-125, 56%)	12/07/2025
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens	Steelers +6.5 (-110, 52%)	12/07/2025
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns	Browns ML -125 (56%)	12/07/2025
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars	Under 48.0 (-110, 52%)	12/07/2025
Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings	Commanders +2.0 (-125, 56%)	12/07/2025
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets	Dolphins ML -125 (56%)	12/07/2025
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Under 43.0 (-110, 52%)	12/07/2025
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills	Bengals +6.0 (-110, 52%)	12/07/2025
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders	Broncos ML -185 (65%)	12/07/2025
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers	Under 45.5 (-110, 52%)	12/07/2025
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals	Rams -7.5 (-115, 54%)	12/07/2025
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs	Chiefs ML -182 (65%)	12/07/2025
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers	Under 41.0 (-125, 56%)	12/08/2025

Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions

Detroit’s home win-loss profile has been strong, while Dallas’ road resume is respectable but tested. Win-loss trends and third-down splits hint at a tight one with Ford Field advantage looming.

Pick: Lions moneyline -161 (implied 62%). Rationale: Detroit’s home situational edge and red-zone rate tilt this toward the hosts.

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Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons

Seattle’s road win-loss has been streaky; Atlanta’s home record has hung around .500. Both offenses can stall in the low red zone, and recent totals trends lean conservative.

Pick: Under 45.0 (-125), implied 56%. Rationale: Pace, run-heaviness, and field-goal drives keep this under the key mid-40s total.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore’s home win-loss shows consistency; Pittsburgh’s away mark is scrappy with close-game variance. These divisional clashes skew tight with defense and field position.

Pick: Steelers +6.5 (-110), implied 52%. Rationale: Historic one-score vibes in this rivalry make the points valuable.

Find more single game tips on our NFL predictions page.

Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns

Cleveland’s home win-loss has traveled on defense; Tennessee’s away ledger depends on run efficiency. In a lower-total script, the edges favor the steadier host.

Pick: Browns moneyline -125 (implied 56%). Rationale: Home pass rush and field position grind out a result.

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville’s home record has been volatile; Indy’s road win-loss has improved with cleaner turnover margins. Expect measured drives and a modest pace.

Pick: Under 48.0 (-110), implied 52%. Rationale: Balanced offenses, fewer explosives, and red-zone stalls keep it below the number.

Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota’s home win-loss is solid; Washington’s away mark is competitive when protection holds. This profiles as a one-score game.

Pick: Commanders +2.0 (-125), implied 56%. Rationale: Hook-free number still useful in a coin-flip script; take the points.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Miami’s away win-loss plays when the ground game travels; the Jets’ home slate leans defense-first. Explosive plays may be limited, but Miami’s balance matters late.

Pick: Dolphins moneyline -125 (implied 56%). Rationale: Slight edge in QB play and third-down sequencing.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa’s home record has been reliable; New Orleans’ road win-loss shows fight but inconsistency. Both defenses can force FGs.

Pick: Under 43.0 (-110), implied 52%. Rationale: Division familiarity plus red-zone resistance caps the scoring.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills

Buffalo’s home win-loss is strong; Cincinnati’s away mark hangs on pass protection and explosives. This feels tight enough for the underdog number.

Pick: Bengals +6.0 (-110), implied 52%. Rationale: Burrow keeps it inside a TD in a back-and-forth script.

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders

Denver’s road win-loss has stabilized; the Raiders’ home mark has leaned defense with limited explosives. Market respects the visitor for a reason.

Pick: Broncos moneyline -185 (implied 65%). Rationale: Better late-game execution and run defense.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Green Bay’s home win-loss has been dependable; Chicago’s away form improves when the run game clicks. Expect measured tempo and situational punting.

Pick: Under 45.5 (-110), implied 52%. Rationale: Cold-weather profile with sustained drives, fewer downfield hits.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

The Rams’ road win-loss leans on protection and timing; Arizona’s home record improves with fast starts. If L.A. controls script, margin can widen.

Pick: Rams -7.5 (-115), implied 54%. Rationale: Matchup advantages outside and in pass pro support a multi-score window.

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs

Arrowhead matters: Kansas City’s home win-loss is elite; Houston’s away wins hinge on explosives. Chiefs’ situational mastery tilts this.

Pick: Chiefs moneyline -182 (implied 65%). Rationale: Home-field, coaching edges, and late-down efficiency.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers

Philly travels well; the Chargers’ home win-loss swings with protection and late-game variance. Expect methodical drives and clock bleed.

Pick: Under 41.0 (-125), implied 56%. Rationale: Both sides lean on sustained possessions; explosive rate projects modest.

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Martin S.

About the author

My name is Martin and I am a seasoned sports betting journalist and analyst with over 15 years of experience in the industry. Specializing in soccer, NBA basketball, and tennis, I combine deep sports knowledge with sharp betting insights to help bettors make informed decisions. My expertise spans everything from match previews and odds analysis to betting strategies, market trends, bookmaker reviews and more. Whether I’m breaking down key matchups or spotting value in the odds, my passion for sports and betting shines through in my work.