Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers 11/10/2025
Monday night at Lambeau Field. Week 10. Prime time. You can feel it already. The Eagles (NFC East) roll into Green Bay (NFC North) with momentum and a top-tier scoring profile, while the Packers have been steady at home and stingier than most folks realize on that frozen tundra. Philadelphia is averaging about 26.0 points per game and allowing 23.1, balanced enough to win tight, late-game possessions. Green Bay’s profile is slightly different: about 25.8 points per game on offense, with a defense shaving that down to just 20.8 allowed.
That home/away split matters here: at Lambeau this season, the Packers are scoring roughly 23.5 per game and giving up just 16.3, a strong trend that shows up in the moneyline and spread markets. The last head-to-head? Philly handled business 22-10, but this one flips the venue and the situational edges. Throw in the fact that the Packers are 3-1 at home and the Eagles are 3-1 on the road, and we’ve got a legit chess match with playoff-level execution needed on both sides. Expect a field-position grind early and a fourth-quarter that tilts on mistakes and short fields.
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Our betting predictions for the match Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers
Main Tip: Spread – Green Bay Packers -1.5
Our primary prediction — Spread: Packers -1.5 at -125 with Fanatics Sportsbook. Green Bay’s defense has traveled well, but it’s been best at home, where it has allowed just about 16.3 points per game. Pair that with Lambeau’s late-season feel and a methodical offense that can find balance in scripted series, and you get a good runway for the Packers to win by a field goal. The Eagles have punched in quality wins, but their road defense (about 24.5 allowed) is slightly more generous. Our lean is the home side to clear this short number. Pick: Packers -1.5 at -125.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – Green Bay Packers to Win
Our second betting prediction — Moneyline: Packers to win at best odds with DraftKings. This is less about raw firepower and more about environment plus execution. The Packers’ offense averages roughly 23.5 at home, and their defense has cut opponents down to below three scores at Lambeau. Philadelphia stacks points overall, but the home/away splits say Green Bay can slow the tempo, use the run to control down-and-distance, and win the situational downs. With the number sitting favorably at DraftKings, we’ll back the home team on the moneyline. Pick: Packers ML.
Tip 3: Game Total – Under 45.5 Points
Our final betting tip — Total: Under 45.5 at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook. You don’t need blizzard conditions for Lambeau to trend lower-scoring in November. The Packers’ defense at home (about 16.3 allowed) and Philly’s ability to manage possessions point toward a disciplined pace rather than a track meet. Both teams can run when needed, which typically shortens games. Add in two coaching staffs comfortable playing the field-position game, and the Under becomes attractive. Pick: Under 45.5 at -110.
Team news
Both teams enter with high expectations and experienced play-callers. Matt LaFleur continues to emphasize balance and structure for Green Bay, especially in early downs to set up manageable third-and-mediums. On the other side, Nick Sirianni’s group is built to win in the trenches, with a quarterback-driven run/pass blend that can stress linebackers and safeties.
No massive travel burden here, but the environment shifts in Green Bay’s favor—natural grass, cold air, and a crowd that ramps up on third down. Expect both staff to lean on scripted efficiency early.
Green Bay Packers performance check
- – Coach: Matt LaFleur – Recent form: Green Bay has won three of its last five, with a frustrating 13-16 home loss to Carolina last time out. That result underscores a reality: when the offense stalls early, the Packers can get stuck in the mud. The counterpoint? Lambeau defense. At home, Green Bay is allowing just about 16.3 points per game, a number good enough to win most Sundays if the offense patches together four or five scoring drives.
- – Home/away profile: 3-1 at Lambeau, with roughly 23.5 scored per home game. That’s not explosive, but it’s steady—and paired with a defense keeping opponents under three touchdowns, it’s the right cocktail for a one-score win.
- – What to watch: Expect LaFleur to peel back into a balanced script—early runs, quick-game throws, and then selective shots. If Green Bay wins on first down, the chain math favors them. Defensively, the Packers will try to squeeze the middle of the field and rally to the perimeter, forcing the Eagles into longer drives and third-and-long situations.
How is the current performance of the Philadelphia Eagles
- – Coach: Nick Sirianni – Recent form: The Eagles have won three of their last five, coming off an emphatic 38-20 home win over the Giants. Philadelphia’s offense averages about 26.0 points per game, and it travels respectably at 24.0 on the road. The slight soft spot is the road defense (about 24.5 allowed), which can be leveraged by a composed, balanced opponent.
- – Away profile: 3-1 away from Philly. They typically start hot, stringing together early scoring chances, then playing complementary ball. The key here: staying on schedule against a Green Bay front that’s been disruptive at home.
- – What to watch: Expect heavy usage of RPO looks and QB movement to stress Green Bay’s second level. If the Eagles generate explosives off play-action, they can flip this script and force the Packers out of their comfort zone.
Team Statistics
- – Green Bay Packers – Points per game: 25.8 – Points allowed per game: 20.8 – At Lambeau: 23.5 scored, 16.3 allowed
- – Philadelphia Eagles – Points per game: 26.0 – Points allowed per game: 23.1 – On the road: 24.0 scored, 24.5 allowed
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- – Quarterback lens: Green Bay needs efficient, turnover-averse quarterbacking—hit the layups, take the shots when the leverage is right, and avoid the one throw that swings field position. Philadelphia’s QB play is most dangerous when the run threat holds linebackers and opens slants, digs, and seams behind it.
- – Trench warfare: In November at Lambeau, pad level and double-teams decide outcomes as much as skill and talent. Philly’s offensive line can reset a pocket; Green Bay’s front has been stingy at home, especially in the red zone.
- – External factors: Cold weather, natural grass, and crowd noise—all subtle advantages for the Packers in a one-score template. This isn’t about snowstorms; it’s about footing and tempo. Fewer possessions generally support the Under.
- – Momentum: Philly is coming off a big offensive outing, while Green Bay’s last game was a close home loss. Expect the Packers to emphasize mistake-free football early to stabilize confidence.
Last direct match: Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles
The most recent meeting went Philadelphia’s way, 22-10. That game tilted on Philly’s defense, limiting explosives and winning turnover opportunities, which shortened the field and turned the clock in their favor. The venue flips now, and Green Bay’s home metrics suggest a tighter, more controlled contest. If the Packers avoid giving up short fields, this should play closer to a one-score finish—and that favors the modest spread.
Performance over the last 5 matches
- – Green Bay Packers: Three wins in their last five, building a home identity around defense and game management.
- – Philadelphia Eagles: Three wins in their last five, with a higher aggregate scoring profile and the ability to put up points in bunches when they control the line of scrimmage.
Last match results Green Bay Packers and the Philadelphia Eagles
- – Packers: 13-16 home loss to the Carolina Panthers. A defensive grind, but missed chances on offense kept the game within reach without closing it out.
- – Eagles: 38-20 home win over the New York Giants. Strong offensive rhythm, finishing drives, and leveraging early momentum.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re siding with the home environment and the sharper defensive split at Lambeau. Our three plays align with that read: Packers -1.5 at -125 because Green Bay’s home defense should keep this within their script; Packers moneyline at -135 for a straight-up edge rooted in field position and execution; and Under 45.5 at -110 given both teams’ willingness to run and lean into controlled, physical football. The market is tight for a reason, but the home metrics push this toward Green Bay and a lower-scoring result.
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