Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 09/28/2025
Raymond James Stadium takes center stage on Sunday, 09/28/2025 at 1:00 PM ET, as the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers put their 3-0 records on the line in what feels like an early NFC tone-setter.
The Eagles arrive with momentum after a dramatic 33-26 comeback win over the Rams, erasing a 19-point deficit behind A.J. Brown’s 109-yard, one-touchdown performance and a game-flipping 61-yard blocked field goal return from Jordan Davis. Philadelphia’s formula has leaned on timely plays and late-game execution, reflected in their 23.7 points per game on offense and 21.0 allowed on defense. Still, questions linger in the trenches, with right tackle Lane Johnson managing a neck stinger and a defensive edge group thinned by injuries.
Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has built its unbeaten start on balance, averaging 23.0 points per game while holding opponents to 17.3. That steadiness carried them through Week 3’s 29-27 escape over the Jets, sealed by a walk-off field goal, but the win came at a cost. Mike Evans exited with a hamstring issue, Chris Godwin and left tackle Tristan Wirfs remain sidelined, and the defense must absorb the season-ending loss of Calijah Kancey up front. Whether the Buccaneers can protect their quarterback behind a shorthanded line and generate enough firepower to match Philadelphia’s pace could decide this Week 4 showdown.
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Our betting predictions for the match Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
First Tip: Spread – Philadelphia -2.5
First tip — Spread: Our betting prediction is Philadelphia -2.5 at -115 with FanDuel. The Eagles’ average scoring margin sits around +2.7 per game, and their ability to string together efficient drives late has shown up in back-to-back nail-biters. Tampa’s defense has been sturdy (17.3 allowed per game), but Philadelphia’s balance and situational play-calling under Nick Sirianni travel well. With a field-goal window, Philly’s edge in QB mobility, designed runs, and RPO looks can be the separator. Tip: Eagles -2.5 at -115 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – Philadelphia Win Outright
Second tip — Moneyline: Our betting tip. The market has Philadelphia at the best odds to win outright. Respect the Bucs—4 wins in the last 5 head-to-head meetings and a strong home vibe—but the Eagles’ roster depth and red-zone creativity have been reliable, especially when games tighten late. If you prefer reduced variance and don’t want to sweat the cover, the safer angle is Philadelphia on the moneyline at best odds with bet365. Tip: Eagles ML.
Tip 3: Game Totals – Over 45.5 Points
Third tip — Totals: Our prediction. Over/Under 45.5 (odds around -110 at bet365). The recent form hints at points: Tampa’s last game hit 56 total, Philly’s reached 59, and their last direct meeting landed at 49. The combined offensive average sits near 46.7, while both teams have shown they can manufacture explosive plays and convert short fields. If Tampa pushes tempo at home and the Eagles’ scripted openings click, this edges into the high-40s. Tip: Over 45.5 (about -110).
Team news
Both teams enter riding 3-0 momentum. Tampa Bay has been sharp situationally at home (1-0 at Raymond James), and the offense has hit a steady 23.0 points per game while the defense is keeping opponents in check with 17.3 allowed. Philadelphia is 1-0 on the road and averaging 23.7 per game—nothing gaudy, but efficient enough, especially in second halves. Each staff has leaned into identity: Todd Bowles’ Bucs emphasize structure and defense-first discipline; Nick Sirianni’s Eagles bring layered run-pass options, motion, and a diversified target tree.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers performance check
Todd Bowles’ group looks composed and opportunistic. The Bucs’ last five across all competitions read 4 wins and 1 loss, with the most recent outing a 29-27 home win over the Jets. That two-point squeaker underscored a few things: the offense can close when it needs to, and the defense, while stingy on the season, will trade a couple of larger plays if it helps keep everything in front. Tampa’s 23.0 points per game on offense pair nicely with just 17.3 allowed, producing an average margin of +5.7. At home, they’ve already logged a win and looked comfortable in their situational defense—third-down discipline and red-zone structure have been early calling cards.
In the trenches, Bowles’ defense continues to force QBs to be patient. That typically shrinks explosive passing windows and invites offenses to string together long drives—easier said than done. When Tampa steals a possession with a timely takeaway or a fourth-down stop, the offense has been good enough to capitalize. Against the Eagles, maintaining balance on early downs and protecting the football are the big keys. If Tampa’s offensive line keeps the pocket clean and the ground game stays on schedule, the Bucs have the blueprint to make this a four-quarter thriller.
How is the current performance of the Philadelphia Eagles
Nick Sirianni’s Eagles are likewise 4 wins and 1 loss over their last five, and they just posted a 33-26 home win over the Rams. On the road, Philly’s 1-0 start has featured that familiar formula: a steady rushing framework, timely intermediate throws, and a defense that tightens late. The Eagles’ offense sits at 23.7 points per game through three, and they’ve allowed 21.0—closer games than the record might suggest, which makes the finishing ability of their stars all the more important.
Philly’s staff leans into formational variety and matchup hunting. You’ll see motion to identify coverages, RPOs to manipulate second-level defenders, and purposeful shots when the down-and-distance tilts in their favor. Defensively, their front aims to disrupt timing and force opponents into predictable passing downs. If the secondary limits the explosive gains and creates third-and-longs, the pass rush can take over. The Eagles’ edge here: versatility. They can win a slower, field-position-conscious game or crank the pace and trade scores if Tampa’s offense heats up.
Statistics
- – Last direct matchup: Tampa Bay handled business at home, 33-16. The Bucs’ structure gave the Eagles problems, and Tampa finished drives. That result landed just under 50 points, a relevant marker for total angles around the mid-40s.
- – Head-to-head (last five): Tampa Bay 4 wins, Philadelphia 1 win. That trend favors the Bucs, especially at Raymond James, where they’ve historically leaned into crowd energy and defensive intensity.
- – Performance last five (all competitions): Buccaneers 4 wins, 1 loss; Eagles 4 wins, 1 loss.
- – Last results: Bucs edged the Jets 29-27; Eagles outpaced the Rams 33-26.
- – Early-season averages: Tampa Bay at 23.0 scored and 17.3 allowed; Philadelphia at 23.7 scored and 21.0 allowed. That’s a combined scoring average near 46.7, with an average margin of +5.7 for Tampa and +2.7 for Philadelphia.
- – Home/Away form: Bucs are 1-0 at home; Eagles are 1-0 away. Small sample, but both clubs have proven comfortable in these environments.
From a divisional perspective, remember we assess them within their divisions: Tampa Bay is jockeying in the NFC South race, while Philadelphia is in the thick of the NFC East chase. No one’s clinching anything in Week 4, but tie-breakers and conference strength matter, and this one absolutely plays into seeding paths come January when those seven postseason slots in each conference get sorted—division champs plus three wild cards.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
This matchup checks every box: two 3-0 teams, a recent history that leans Tampa, and two coaching staffs that know how to scheme their way out of trouble. But when we line up the betting angles, the narrow spread and Philly’s road demeanor tilt us green. Our three plays: 1) Spread: Eagles -2.5—the small number aligns with their late-game execution and flexible offense. 2) Moneyline: Eagles—if you want to reduce variance, this is the steadier pick over the spread. 3) Totals: Over 45.5—recent results and combined offensive averages suggest we can clear the mid-40s if both teams find rhythm early. Bottom line: the Eagles’ balance, coaching flexibility, and situational excellence nudge them ahead, even against a resilient Bucs team in a tough building.
