Washington Commanders @ Green Bay Packers 09/11/2025
Thursday night under the lights at Lambeau Field? That’s a vibe, and it’s also where early-season storylines get real, fast. Green Bay enters Week 2 at 1-0 after a confident 27-13 win over Detroit, averaging 27.0 points per game while allowing 13.0. Washington’s riding the same 1-0 start, holding the Giants to just 6 points and putting up 21.0 on offense behind second-year QB Jayden Daniels, whose poise and mobility are quickly becoming talking points. His chemistry with Terry McLaurin gives the Commanders a legit vertical threat, but this Lambeau stage is a different animal.
For Green Bay, Jordan Love remains the storyline. His Week 1 showing gave flashes of a team that could contend, but we’ll learn more against Washington’s front, especially with rookie LB Abdul Carter flying around making plays. Defensively, the Packers will lean on Jaire Alexander to shadow McLaurin, hoping to force Daniels into uncomfortable looks.
From a betting angle, the market’s opened with Green Bay as a short home favorite on the spread and a moneyline price that signals confidence without a blowout tax. The total sits in that tricky middle zone — bettors are left weighing Green Bay’s offensive rhythm against Washington’s defensive discipline. Can Washington’s young QB stay composed, or will the Packers’ defense dictate the pace?
Want to stay ahead of the competition? Dive into our NFL betting odds & guide and discover everything you need to bet smarter this season.
Our betting predictions for the match Washington Commanders @ Green Bay Packers
Main Tip: Spread – Green Bay Packers -2.5
Our betting tip (Spread): Green Bay Packers -2.5 at -116 with Fanatics Sportsbook. The Packers looked buttoned up in Week 1, averaging 27.0 points while giving up just 13.0, and they’re typically comfortable at Lambeau under Matt LaFleur. Washington’s defense looked rugged at home, but a first road trip in prime time against a rhythm offense is a tougher ask. With a short number, we’re betting Green Bay’s offense sustains drives and finishes enough series to clear this margin. Pick: Packers -2.5 at -116.
Stay ahead of the game wherever you are—install the Fanatics Sportsbook app and enjoy quick access to the latest NFL odds, insights, and live betting.
Tip 2: Green Bay Packers moneyline
Our prediction (Moneyline): Packers moneyline best odds at (DraftKings Sportsbook). If you prefer to trim risk, the moneyline makes sense. Green Bay owns a 3-2 edge in the last five head-to-heads and handled business in Week 1 with a balanced script. Washington’s 21.0-point average so far is solid, but Lambeau typically punishes small offensive lapses, especially late. The Packers’ Week 1 defense allowing 13.0 bodes well for situational stops. Pick: Packers moneyline with favorable odds at DraftKings.
Tip 3: Game Totals – Over 47.5 Points
Our betting prediction (Total): Over 47.5 at -110 with DraftKings. While Washington’s defense opened strong, the pace and field-position game could shift on the road. Green Bay averaged 27.0, and if the Packers control tempo early, Washington will have to open things up. The Packers’ red-zone execution looked crisp, and Washington’s skill talent is capable of counterpunching. With a manageable number and two offenses that can create explosive moments, there’s enough runway for points. Pick: Over 47.5 at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Get the inside scoop on odds, promotions, and betting tools in our ultimate DraftKings Sportsbook review, designed to help you bet smarter this season.
Team news
Both teams come in 1-0 with clean momentum, but the context is different. Green Bay already banked a home win, and under head coach Matt LaFleur, there’s a defined identity—scripted starts, play-action efficiency, and a defense that rallies to the ball. Washington, under head coach Dan Quinn, introduced a rugged defensive tone in Week 1 and now gets a stage to prove it travels. Monitor the Thursday injury reports and inactives for any late-breaking roster swings, but from a macro view, this shapes up as stability (Packers) versus an ascending identity (Commanders) in a cold-weather cathedral where details matter.
Green Bay Packers performance check
Matt LaFleur’s group handled Week 1 with veteran poise, averaging 27.0 points and allowing just 13.0 against a Lions team that usually finds ways to stress defenses. The Packers’ home record is off to a perfect 1-0, and their last five across competitions show a steady 3-2 trend. On offense, the plan was balanced: manageable third downs, controlled tempo, and a commitment to keeping the quarterback clean. On defense, Green Bay swarmed, tackled soundly, and limited explosives—exactly what you want when protecting a lead. Special teams kept the floor solid, and the in-game management felt aligned with the moment.
Against Washington, the challenge elevates defensively: Quinn’s units are wired to create pressure and force tough throws outside the numbers. However, LaFleur’s group has typically responded with motion, formation variations, and quick-game rhythm to keep the chains moving. If Green Bay replicates that Week 1 balance and maintains that 13.0 points allowed baseline—even with some regression—they’ll be in a strong position late. In short: the Packers looked like a team that knows who they are and where their edges are, especially at Lambeau.
How is the current performance of the Washington Commanders
Dan Quinn’s debut tone was unmistakable: organized, physical, and quick to the ball. Washington averaged 21.0 points and allowed only 6.0 in a home win over the Giants—exactly the start you want when building an identity. The broader last-five slate is 1-4, so Week 1 felt like a reset. That’s the lens here: the Commanders carrying a fresh defensive standard into one of the NFL’s toughest road environments. The first road test looms large—not just for communication on defense but also for the offense’s poise when the crowd flips third downs into stress tests.
How Washington handles pass protection, early down efficiency, and red-zone decisions will define this game. The Commanders won the last head-to-head 23-21 at home, so they’ve got a recent mental note of how to close against Green Bay, but Lambeau is a different animal. If Washington can keep that 6.0 points allowed average in the neighborhood and avoid short fields, it will stay alive into the fourth. The question is whether the offense can punch back often enough to match the Packers’ consistency—especially if Green Bay gets early momentum.
Statistics
- Last direct match: Washington Commanders 23-21 Green Bay Packers (Washington at home).
- Head-to-Head, last five meetings (all competitions): Packers 3 wins, Commanders 2 wins.
- Performance last five (all competitions): Packers 3 wins, 2 losses; Commanders 1 win, 4 losses.
- Last match results: Packers 27-13 home win vs Detroit Lions; Commanders 21-6 home win vs New York Giants.
- Current averages: Packers 27.0 points scored, 13.0 allowed; Commanders 21.0 scored, 6.0 allowed.
- Home/Away notes: Packers 1-0 at home; Commanders heading into their first road game of the season.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re leaning into Green Bay’s stability, Lambeau advantage, and a coaching staff that knows how to protect leads at home. Our three-angle approach lines up this way: First, Packers -2.5 because the number is short and Green Bay’s Week 1 baseline (27.0 scored, 13.0 allowed) supports a field-goal margin. Second, the Packers’ moneyline for the lower-variance path on the team we trust more in high-leverage moments. Third, over 47.5 because the Commanders will likely have to step on the gas if the Packers’ offense finds rhythm—and that game script can push this total across the number. If Washington’s defense travels at an elite level, it could be tight, but Green Bay’s balance and venue edge give the Packers the nod across our card.
| Curious for more Betting Predictions? | |
|---|---|
| 🏟️ Expert betting predictions all Sports | 🚀 Parlay bet picks |
| 🏈 NFL expert picks | 🏀 NBA expert picks |
| 🏒 NHL picks | ⚽ Soccer expert picks |
| 🏁 Nascar predictions | 🎾 Tennis expert predictions |
| 🥊 UFC predictions |
