Boston Bruins @ New York Rangers 01/26/2026

NHL Week 17 under the lights at the world’s most famous arena? Sign me up. The Boston Bruins roll into Madison Square Garden to meet the New York Rangers on Monday, January 26, 2026, at 7:00 p.m. ET. If you’ve been tracking trends, you know Boston’s been cashing tickets lately while New York’s trying to pull out of a skid at home. The Rangers’ injuries have reshaped the crease and blue line, which matters a ton when we talk risk management and where the value sits. With the moneyline priced tight, the market’s telling you this isn’t a runaway—this is about goaltending, transition detail, and how each team handles offensive-zone possessions in a playoff-type environment.

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Betting prediction for match Boston Bruins @ New York Rangers

This is one of those Original Six matchups where the storylines write themselves. Boston is trending well, 4-1 in their last five, and showing better puck support, while New York has struggled at MSG of late and is leaning on Jonathan Quick with Igor Shesterkin sidelined. Add in Adam Fox’s absence, and the Rangers’ ability to exit cleanly under pressure becomes a key variable. Boston’s five-man structure and middle-lane drive have been crisper; New York counters with Artemi Panarin’s playmaking and Mika Zibanejad’s one-timer threat—plus that Garden energy is a real thing. The totals board sits at 6.5 with the market shading the Under to -120, and stylistically, that tracks given Boston’s two-way discipline and the Rangers’ recent finishing dip.

Let’s run the numbers, and then we’ll stack the plays.

Our betting predictions: Boston Bruins @ New York Rangers

Main Tip: Totals – Under 6.5 Goals

1) Under 6.5 goals at -120 with bet365 (best price shown). Why I like it: With Boston tightening their neutral-zone gaps and the Rangers short a couple of high-impact creators, the tempo sets up for a tighter game script. Boston’s scoring profile sits around 3.35 per game while allowing about 3.12; New York’s averaging roughly 2.67 per game and allowing about 3.12. In this building, with Quick tasked to be steady and Boston comfortable playing to structure, the Under has a slight edge. My projection makes it 56% to cash. Tip: Under 6.5 at -120.

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Tip 2: Moneyline – Boston Bruins

2) Moneyline: Boston Bruins (best odds at BetMGM). Why I like it: Recent form favors the B’s, and Boston’s forecheck has been creating second-chance looks without trading chances the other way. With Joonas Korpisalo expected and the Bruins’ five-on-five shape trending up, they’re the more trustworthy side. My projection has Boston at 54%, so we’re getting a small but real edge. Tip: Bruins moneyline at best odds with BetMGM.

Tip 3: Sprinkle – Rangers -1.5

3) Sprinkle: Rangers -1.5 at +225 (BetMGM Sportsbook). Why I like it: If you’re building a portfolio for this game, a small sidecar on an alternate outcome can pay. The Garden pops when New York scores first, and if Panarin/Zibanejad get rolling and Quick flashes vintage form, the script flips fast. I price the -1.5 around +233 fair (30% to hit), so at +225 it’s close enough for a tiny sprinkle if you’re constructing exposure. Tip: Small stake on Rangers -1.5 at +225.

Team Statistics: Form Guide and Division Context

• New York Rangers (Metropolitan Division, Eastern Conference): New York is sitting in the lower half of the Metro picture and trying to claw back. The current snapshot shows a tough home slate—form at MSG has dipped—and over 52 games they’re averaging about 2.67 goals per game while allowing around 3.12. That goal profile—minus goal differential on a per-game basis—matches what your eyes see: they need a cleaner first pass and more sustained forecheck time to tilt the ice. Special teams have been streaky; the power play cooled when injuries hit, and the penalty kill has been serviceable but not dominant. Shot quality against has been the bigger issue the last couple of weeks, which throws extra responsibility on the crease. Faceoff performance has hovered around league norms; no consistent edge in the recent five-game sampling. In short, the Rangers are looking for a spark at home to reset their Metro trajectory.

• Boston Bruins (Atlantic Division, Eastern Conference): Boston sits in the upper half of the Atlantic race and continues to bank points with structure and goaltending detail. Through 52, the Bruins are at roughly 3.35 goals per game and about 3.12 against, a positive per-game goal differential that reflects their recent 4-1 stretch. Offensively, they’re mixing pace with patience—low-to-high puck movement, strong net-front presence—and defensively, they’ve kept their slot protection tighter in January. Power play threats remain even with injuries; the penalty kill has been trending up with aggressive clears and short-handed pressure. Save percentage has stabilized, and they’ve been better at controlling second chances around the blue paint. In the dot, Boston’s centers generally trend reliable; they’ve been good enough to secure situational draws in both ends when it matters.

Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Injury news shapes this one. For Boston, David Pastrnak and Pavel Zacha are expected out, per coach Marco Sturm; Casey Mittelstadt returns, and Riley Tufte draws in, with Joonas Korpisalo tracking to start. Korpisalo’s season save percentage has lagged, so Boston’s team defense must stay compact. For New York, coach Mike Sullivan is managing without Adam Fox (LTIR until at least Jan. 31) and Igor Shesterkin (IR), so Jonathan Quick is the guy in the crease. Quick’s overall numbers earlier were strong, though his recent run cooled; if he stabilizes, New York’s ceiling rises. Also notable: K’Andre Miller’s return helps the Rangers’ transition game and defensive reach. All told, Boston’s system discipline versus New York’s short-handed star power is the chess match.

Last direct match: New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins

The most recent meeting tilted heavily Boston’s way at TD Garden—an eight-goal margin that underscored how quickly the Bruins can run away when their forecheck and finish sync up.

Performance last 5 Matches

• Rangers: 1-4 stretch, trying to snap a slide.
• Bruins: 4-1, form trending positive.

TrustnBet Final Thoughts

Here’s how we land on our three plays. The Under 6.5 leads because the matchup dynamics point to controlled tempo: Boston’s structure travels, and New York’s finishing has been inconsistent without key pieces. My model leans under at 56%, which edges the current price.

For the moneyline, Boston is a modest but actionable edge. They’ve been the steadier group five-on-five with better recent form, and even if they’re missing top-end punch, their team defense and puck management can carry a road result.

Finally, for those who like a plus-money pop, a light sprinkle on Rangers -1.5 acknowledges the Garden’s volatility. If Quick turns back the clock and New York grabs the first marker, the path to a multi-goal win opens—still a lower-probability outcome, but one that justifies a small flier at that price.

So our card: Under 6.5, Bruins ML, and a small alternate look on Rangers -1.5. That balance lets you anchor with structure (Under), lean into the higher-probability side (Boston), and keep a little upside in your pocket with the puckline sprinkle. This is MSG on a Monday, it’ll be buzzing—expect a tight, structured game with the goalies setting the tone.

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