New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs 10/21/2025

Two teams that can fill the net meet in primetime at Scotiabank Arena, and there’s plenty to chew on if you like to get an edge at the window. Toronto skates in at 3-3 with a lively attack that’s averaging about 3.7 goals per game and allowing roughly 3.3, while New Jersey’s off to a 4-1 start with close to 3.8 scored per night and an even 3.0 conceded. That blend screams pace, rush chances, and momentum swings. The Devils have been sharper early, especially on the road, where they’re scoring and conceding at nearly the same clip, but they’re riding steadier goaltending at the moment. Toronto’s home profile shows they generate around 3.8 per game in their own barn and allow roughly 2.8, which is classic Leafs: lots of skill, quick-strike offense, and enough chances to tilt the ice.

Special teams and faceoffs matter in a matchup like this; early-season tape has New Jersey’s power play executing clean entries and Toronto’s penalty kill still ironing out details. Add in the storyline of Devils coach Sheldon Keefe returning to Toronto, injuries testing the Leafs’ depth down the middle, and a probable Markstrom-versus-Woll look in the crease, and you’ve got a matchup that sets up for in-game swings and value—especially on totals and a modest road favorite angle if the goaltending edge shows up again.

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Our betting predictions for the match New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs

Our Main Tip: Game Total Over/Under – Over 6.5 Goals

First tip — Game Total Over/Under: Over 6.5 goals at -105 with FanDuel. These teams are tracking near four combined goals by the midway points, with both top-six groups driving pace and shot quality. Toronto’s home slate has leaned offense-first, and New Jersey’s road games have delivered plenty of odd-man looks. With injuries nudging Toronto’s forward rotation and a potential backup-versus-ace crease split, high-danger chances should pile up. I like the Over up to -105 at FanDuel if the market nudges.

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Tip 2: Moneyline – Devils ML

Second tip — Moneyline: Devils ML at competitive odds with bet365. New Jersey’s early form, steadier netminding, and cleaner special-teams execution are the separators for me. The Devils have been the more consistent group between the blue lines, and they’re finishing enough off the rush to cash as a short road favorite. If you see plus money swing either way pregame due to lineup news, consider live. I’d play New Jersey at bet365.

Tip 3: Spread (Puck Line) – Devils -1.5

Third tip — Spread (Puck Line): Devils -1.5 at +185 with bet365. If you’re looking to stretch the return, the puck line has merit given the Devils’ late-game composure and pull-away potential when they win the special-teams battle. Toronto can chase when they’re behind, which opens the door to an empty-netter. It’s a higher-variance angle, so consider a smaller stake.

Team news

Both benches have moving pieces. For New Jersey, illness and a few bumps are leading to game-time decisions up front, with Brian Halonen recalled as cover and depth lines potentially shuffling. In Toronto, the headline is John Tavares out week-to-week with a lower-body injury, which forces Craig Berube to redistribute key offensive-zone starts and faceoff duties.

On the back end, Jake McCabe’s return helps the Leafs’ exits and gap control. In net, Anthony Stolarz is sidelined, leaning Toronto toward Joseph Woll. For the Devils, Jacob Markstrom projects to anchor the crease while Jake Allen’s status trends day-to-day. Keep an eye on warmups; late confirmation on tandems could shift prices a tick.

Toronto Maple Leafs performance check

Coach: Craig Berube. Through six games, the Leafs are 3-3 with 7 points and sit in the Eastern Conference’s Atlantic Division cluster—right in that early-season middle tier. At home, they’ve been assertive: roughly 3.8 goals per game scored and about 2.8 allowed at Scotiabank Arena. They’re still smoothing out the penalty kill rotations and getting timing back in neutral-zone counters, but the talent is obvious. Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner have the puck on a string when they’re rolling, and William Nylander’s transport game remains a weapon in transition.

Faceoff work typically grades well for Toronto, but with Tavares out, the mix shifts; expect more draw responsibilities for Matthews and depth centers. The Leafs’ save trend has been a touch up-and-down with injuries, and that’s the swing variable against a Devils group that can punish second chances. If Toronto stays out of the box and wins the dot, they’ll tilt zone time and create layered offense off the cycle. If they chase, it leans toward trading chances—fun for neutrals, nerve-wracking for backers.

How is the current performance of the New Jersey Devils

Coach: Sheldon Keefe. The Devils have launched the season 4-1 for 8 points with that familiar blend of pace and precision. In the Eastern Conference’s Metropolitan Division, they’re tracking among the early risers. They’re averaging close to 3.8 goals per game while allowing around 3.0, and on the road it’s a true high-event profile: about 3.7 both for and against. The good news is between the pipes—Markstrom has settled the net and given them a composed, predictable last line.

Up front, Jesper Bratt remains a key driver and touch player on entries, and the power play’s puck movement is crisp enough to pull penalty kills out of shape. Illness running through the room and some depth injuries may force Keefe to juggle lines, but New Jersey’s identity—aggressive gaps, fast support, and interior passing—travels. If they control the neutral zone and avoid retaliation penalties, they can make this a Devils-style game.

Team Statistics

• – Toronto Maple Leafs overall scoring pace: about 3.7 per game; allowed about 3.3 per game. At home, they’re closer to 3.8 scored and 2.8 allowed. That’s a strong home split, even with a .500 record.
• – New Jersey Devils overall scoring pace: around 3.8 per game; allowed about 3.0 per game. On the road, it trends near 3.7 on both sides, reflecting their willingness to trade chances early.
• – Special teams snapshot: New Jersey’s power play looks cleaner right now, while Toronto’s penalty kill is stabilizing with personnel adjustments. The Leafs’ power play still has elite upside, especially with Matthews and Marner quarterbacking touches from the half-wall.
• – Faceoffs: Expect Toronto to still be competitive on the dot, but Tavares’ absence redistributes the load. New Jersey’s centers collectively trend steadily; situational wins (offensive-zone, late-period) will be critical.
• – Puck possession: The Devils’ exits and re-entries have been sharper; Toronto’s forecheck can disrupt, but it must come in connected waves.

Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

• – Goaltending: Markstrom’s current form gives New Jersey a steadiness edge, and if Woll starts for Toronto, the Leafs need cleaner slot protection. With Stolarz out, the depth is thinner for the Leafs.
• – Injuries/illness: Tavares’s sidelined changes Toronto’s matchups and second-unit power play looks. New Jersey’s bug in the room could impact energy and deployment; watch for game-time decisions.
• – Coaching wrinkle: Sheldon Keefe behind the Devils bench, returning to Toronto, adds spice. He knows many of Toronto’s tendencies, and Craig Berube knows how to counter with physicality and structure.
• – Momentum: Devils ride a strong five-game form line; Toronto has been streaky and comes off an overtime setback. New Jersey’s confidence in late-game states has been notable.

Last direct match: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils

Their most recent meeting went beyond regulation with Toronto claiming the extra point at home after a tightly played 60 minutes. The takeaway: both sides created rush looks late, and the goaltending duel kept the scoreboard from running away despite quality chances. Expect a similar script if the first period stays even in special teams.

Performance last 5 matches

• – Toronto Maple Leafs: 2 wins, 3 losses across the last five. When they’ve won, they’ve surged early and protected leads. When they’ve lost, penalties and neutral-zone turnovers have crept in.
• – New Jersey Devils: 4 wins, 1 loss across the last five. The spine of their game—speed through the middle, quick support, and calmer goaltending—has traveled well.

Last match results Toronto Maple Leafs and the New Jersey Devils

Toronto’s last outing was an overtime setback at home to Seattle—plenty of push, but a couple of late breakdowns proved costly. New Jersey handled Edmonton at home, leaning on special teams and quality finishing to skate away with the points. Different paths, but both teams showed who they are: Toronto can trade chances with anyone; New Jersey can close.

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TrustnBet Final Thoughts

We’re riding three angles: the Over 6.5 at -105 because both clubs are averaging north of three per game and the matchup screams pace; Devils moneyline thanks to steadier goaltending and cleaner special teams; and a sprinkle on Devils -1.5 at +185 for a plus-money ladder if they get the third-period separation. The numbers lean offense, the injuries lean New Jersey, and the situational spot—Keefe’s return to Toronto—adds just enough edge to back the road side while expecting fireworks.