New York Rangers @ Colorado Avalanche 11/20/2025
Puck drop in Denver on Thursday night, and we’ve got a juicy one for bettors and hockey diehards alike: the New York Rangers heading into altitude to take on the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena. It’s Matchday 7 in the NHL slate for these two, and this matchup lines up as a classic strength-on-strength: Colorado’s top-end firepower and home-ice swagger versus a Rangers group that’s traveled extremely well. The standings context matters: the Avs are sitting at the top of the Central; the Rangers are fighting to climb in the Metropolitan. That tells you a lot about urgency, but the numbers give you the angle. At five-on-five, Colorado is humming, averaging roughly 4.1 goals per game while allowing about 2.6. That’s a healthy per-game goal differential north of a goal and a half. New York counters with about 2.7 per game while keeping it tidy defensively at approximately 2.6 allowed, and their road form (8-2) has been a major asset.
Home/away splits add another layer. Colorado’s home scoring rate sits around 4.4 per game at Ball Arena, while they give up about 2.8 there, and they’ve been on a heater overall of late. The Rangers have one of the league’s best road defensive rates, allowing around 2.0 per game away from home while posting about 3.6 themselves when traveling—so they’re not shy about taking their chances. Special teams could swing this either way; Colorado’s recent power play has cooled to a low single-digit conversion clip over a 10-game sample, but the Avs still tilt the ice at five-on-five and create layers of offense off the rush and the cycle. Goaltending and the faceoff battle at the dot will be pivotal—possession is currency in this building. With the moneyline heavily shaded toward Colorado and a total number sitting at a bettor-friendly mark, this one sets up to be a fun, fast, and potentially high-scoring spot with actionable angles.
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Our betting predictions for the match New York Rangers @ Colorado Avalanche
Main Tip: Game Totals — Over 6.0 Goals
Game Totals — Over 6.0 goals Our prediction: With Colorado averaging a touch over 4 per game and the Rangers showing they can travel and finish—close to 3.6 on the road—this total is live. Colorado’s pace at altitude creates longer shifts and tired legs late, producing breakdowns and rebound looks. Even with New York’s solid away defensive rate, the Avs’ layers in the offensive zone tend to push games north. Take Over 6.0 at odds -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook.
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Tip 2: Moneyline — Who wins the game?
Our second betting tip: At home, with the altitude bump and their top-of-Central form, Colorado deserves favorite status. The Avs’ per-game differential and their ability to roll pressure in waves in the third period make them tough to close out in this building. The Rangers’ road chops are legit, but Colorado’s complete game—transition speed, blue line activation, and crease play—gives them the edge. Colorado Avalanche moneyline at best odds (bet365).
Tip 3: Puck Line (Spread) – Colorado -1.5
Our final betting prediction: If you like Colorado on the moneyline, the puck line offers plus-money leverage in a matchup where their late-game push can create separation. The Avs’ home scoring rate is near 4.4 per, and their knack for empty-net insurance plays well here, even against a sturdy Rangers group. If Colorado gets a lead, their forecheck and neutral-zone layers can smother the clock. Colorado -1.5 at +120 with bet365.
Team news
Colorado Avalanche: No significant injuries listed at the time of writing, which is a huge plus for a group that thrives when its top six and top pair are intact. The recent chatter has centered on special teams rhythm, particularly the man-advantage, but at even strength, this team is as dangerous as any.
New York Rangers: Matt Rempe (upper body) remains out. Vincent Trocheck (upper body) was placed on long-term injured reserve. Filip Chytil has indicated no lingering concussion issues as he works toward a return, and both Chris Kreider and Chytil were seen taking full reps in a recent skate—big for lineup balance and net-front presence. Depth and health could swing New York’s matchup flexibility down the middle.
Colorado Avalanche performance check
Head coach Jared Bednar has Colorado playing fast, layered hockey. The numbers back it up: roughly 4.1 goals per game overall, allowing about 2.6. At Ball Arena, the Avs are even stingier to play against because of altitude-driven fatigue late in games and their shift-over-shift pressure. At home, they’re around 4.4 goals per and about 2.8 against, with clean exits feeding dangerous entries. While the power play’s been in a slump lately, the five-on-five creation is steady—blue line activation from the back end unlocks the bumper and seam game. In the last five, Colorado is perfect, and they’re coming off a confident, multi-goal win at home, which speaks to their current rhythm. At the dot, they’ve been solid enough to start with the puck and dictate early in shifts. In goal, structure in front—boxing out, backchecking support—has protected the slot, keeping their goals-against per game comfortably in that mid-two range.
How is the current performance of the New York Rangers
Head coach Peter Laviolette’s Rangers have traveled with purpose: an 8-2 run away from home tells you they’re comfortable in hostile rinks. New York’s scoring profile sits around 2.7 per game overall; away from home, that bumps up to about 3.6—a meaningful jump—and they’ve defended extremely well on the road at roughly 2.0 against. That combination gives them a puncher’s chance in Denver. With potential returns and reps for key forwards like Kreider and Chytil, the Rangers can diversify beyond Artemi Panarin and Adam Fox driving the attack. The challenge in this matchup is handling Colorado’s forecheck layers and keeping the weak side sealed; the Avs love the late man and the slot touch pass. If the Rangers manage the puck through the neutral zone and win enough at the dot to avoid chasing, they can keep this within one into the third—and they’ve shown they can pounce on mistakes late.
Team Statistics
- Colorado Avalanche (Central):
- Overall scoring rate: ~4.11 goals per game; goals against: ~2.56 per game
- Home scoring rate: ~4.38 per game; home goals against: ~2.75 per game
- Per-game goal differential overall: ~+1.56
- Current points: 29; overall wins/losses: 12/6; home wins/losses: 6/2
- New York Rangers (Metropolitan):
- Overall scoring rate: ~2.67 goals per game; goals against: ~2.56 per game
- Away scoring rate: ~3.60 per game; away goals against: ~2.00 per game
- Per-game goal differential overall: ~+0.11
- Current points: 20; overall wins/losses: 9/9; away wins/losses: 8/2
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Momentum: Colorado has won five straight and looked sharp in their last outing, controlling the pace and closing with authority. The Rangers have gone 3-2 in their last five, maintaining that strong road identity.
- Star impact: Without leaning on raw totals, both sides’ elite talent has been driving play—Colorado’s top line speed with a mobile back end versus New York’s elite playmaking from Panarin and Fox.
- Special teams shading: Colorado’s recent power play has cooled to a low single-digit conversion percentage over a 10-game window; New York’s disciplined road game can exploit that if they stay out of the box and pressure clears.
- External factors: Altitude at Ball Arena matters—especially in the second half of back-to-backs or longer shifts. New York isn’t in a back-to-back here, but the Avs’ pace forces heavy legs late. Travel is manageable, but managing bench length and line matching will be critical for Laviolette.
Last direct match Colorado Avalanche vs New York Rangers
Colorado edged New York by one at Madison Square Garden in their most recent meeting, snapping a long Rangers point streak in the process. Over the last five head-to-head games across all competitions, the Rangers hold a slight 3–2 edge, but the Avs’ recent form and the shift to Ball Arena change the setting in Colorado’s favor.
Performance last 5 matches
- Colorado Avalanche: 5 wins, 0 losses — hard to get hotter. They’ve tightened defensively, gotten layers to the front of the net, and found late separation.
- New York Rangers: 3 wins, 2 losses — still a strong run buoyed by quality road performances and timely scoring.
Last match results Colorado Avalanche and the New York Rangers
- Colorado Avalanche: Comfortable home win over the Islanders, controlling the middle of the ice and closing strong in the third.
- New York Rangers: Narrow road loss in Vegas, a tight game that swung on a handful of high-danger looks and special teams moments.
If you’re hunting for value on the ice, checking the updated NHL betting odds is a smart way to see how oddsmakers and early bettors are sizing up each matchup.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
The tape and the numbers point in the same direction. Colorado’s per-game scoring edge, home-ice pace at altitude, and recent five-game heater all tilt the moneyline toward the Avs. The total is live for an Over 6.0 at -115 thanks to Colorado’s home scoring rate and New York’s elevated road offense—two teams that generate off the rush and find seams late. If you’re comfortable with variance, the puck line is your plus-money swing: Colorado -1.5 at +120 leverages the Avs’ late push and empty-net potential. In order of preference, we like Over 6.0 first, Colorado moneyline second, and Colorado -1.5 third. Manage your exposure, and enjoy a high-tempo, playoff-caliber feel in mid-November at Ball Arena.
