San Jose Sharks @ New York Rangers 10/23/2025
If you’re looking for a Thursday night spot to circle on the NHL board, Sharks at Rangers is exactly the kind of “check the numbers, trust the edges” matchup that delivers. New York has started the season with a slow home rhythm, but their overall profile still reads the way you want it to when you’re handicapping: they’re allowing under two goals per game, their top playmakers are driving possession, and Igor Shesterkin is stopping pucks at an elite clip.
The Rangers’ offense is still searching for its top gear at an even two per game, but when your goalie is rocking a save rate north of .950 and your blueline is limiting quality looks, you typically cash more often than not. Their home power play has been at 0% so far—small sample, but notable—and the penalty kill has looked structurally sound despite a few momentum-swinging lapses. San Jose arrives with one of the league’s more generous defenses to this point, allowing close to five per game while scoring a touch under three on average.
The Sharks have shown a recent uptick in shot generation, averaging north of 30 attempts per game across their last two, and Macklin Celebrini’s early returns suggest the talent is very real. Still, the goaltending split matters: the Rangers’ netminder is in form, while the Sharks’ tandem is trying to find footing. Market-wise, New York is priced as a heavy home favorite on the moneyline, with a puck line that invites action if you believe the Rangers finally find some home-ice swagger.
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Our betting predictions for the match San Jose Sharks @ New York Rangers
Main Tip: Spread – New York Rangers -1.5
Our first betting prediction (Spread): New York Rangers -1.5 at -120 with BetMGM. The Rangers’ goals-against average is tracking under two per game, and that defensive soundness pairs nicely with a Sharks group that’s giving up well above league average. If New York’s home power play wakes up even a little, the puck line has room to cash. The goaltending gap is significant here; if Shesterkin keeps the pedal down, the Rangers can win with a margin.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – New York Rangers to Win
Our second prediction (Moneyline): New York Rangers to win at best odds (DraftKings Sportsbook). This is the safer angle and still playable in parlays or as a straight if you’re comfortable laying the price. New York’s recent home record masks the underlying control metrics and a sterling save percentage in goal. San Jose’s improved chance creation is real, but with their rate of goals allowed per game, the Rangers’ floor is higher, and their ceiling remains intact at home.
Tip 3: Totals – Over 6.0 Goals
Our final betting tip (Totals): Over 6.0 goals at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook. San Jose’s defensive trends have been volatile, and their pace has ticked up as they’ve pushed to generate more offense. That creates variance—exactly what you want for an Over. New York should manufacture enough chances off the rush and the cycle to contribute, while San Jose’s young skill can pop for a couple. If the Rangers’ special teams spark at home, the Over has strong legs.
Team news
- New York Rangers: No major injuries listed, though Vincent Trocheck is out with an upper-body issue and will miss another one. Carson Soucy has just returned after a short absence, providing some depth and stability on the back end. Coach: not listed on the official sheet.
- San Jose Sharks: No major injuries on the primary report, but the blue line is nicked up around the edges. Shakir Mukhamadullin is out (upper body), Timothy Liljegren and John Klingberg are day-to-day, Adam Gaudette is day-to-day (illness), and Logan Couture remains sidelined with a significant groin issue. Coach: not listed on the official sheet.
New York Rangers performance check
The Blueshirts sit in the Metropolitan Division and are working through a home funk, but the backbone is legit. They’ve banked seven points so far and are averaging right at two goals per game while allowing under two per night. That’s the kind of split that usually stabilizes records once shooting luck evens out. Artemi Panarin continues to be the straw that stirs the drink, pacing the group in points. Adam Fox is producing from the back end with reliable two-way minutes. The home power play has yet to hit, effectively sitting at 0% to this point in the Garden, but the puck movement is there; it’s more about finishing in the interior.
On the kill, New York has been organized, closing seams and trusting Shesterkin to track through traffic. Speaking of the crease, Shesterkin’s save percentage is sparkling—north of .950 in this start—and that, combined with the Rangers’ structure, is why their expected results profile better than the record indicates. At the dot, New York has been capable enough to keep puck possession stable; they’re not ceding excessive clean wins, and that helps their breakout efficiency. The immediate goal: translate strong goaltending and defensive suppression into more sustained zone time and a few greasy goals in front.
How is the current performance of the San Jose Sharks
Pacific Division club, new energy, and a rookie centerpiece who looks the part—San Jose’s story is equal parts promise and growing pains. The Sharks are sitting at two points and remain winless, with an offense averaging just under three per game and a defense allowing almost five. That’s a tough math problem to solve without marked improvement on the back end. Still, there are signs: Celebrini is driving touches, and Dmitry Orlov has piled up helpers early, suggesting the transition game is clicking in spurts. The Sharks have bumped their shot generation to north of 30 per game over their last two, a real step up from the first handful of outings.
Where it’s come undone is in net and on defensive details—missed box-outs, netfront traffic that’s unaddressed, and too many second looks conceded. In the crease, Alex Nedeljkovic has a sub-.900 save percentage, while Yaroslav Askarov’s early sample is even lower, and that’s where the gap with New York becomes most pronounced. Special teams have flashed, but consistency hasn’t stuck; on the road, that can spiral quickly if the kill is overtaxed. The Sharks’ mission tonight: keep the game five-on-five, stay disciplined, and lean into their speed.
Team Statistics
- – Rangers scoring/defense: Around 2.0 for and under 2.0 against per game. That pairing underscores how stout their structure has been, even as finishing hasn’t fully clicked.
- – Sharks scoring/defense: Roughly 2.7 for and 4.8 against per game. That gap shows why they’ve been chasing games and pressing late.
- – Goaltending: New York features an elite save percentage in the mid-.950s from Shesterkin to date; San Jose’s tandem is well below league average.
- – Special teams: Rangers’ home power play has been at 0% so far, but the kill has looked organized. San Jose’s units have been inconsistent, with the penalty kill stretched during long defensive-zone shifts.
- – Faceoffs: New York is steady enough to avoid extended chase shifts; San Jose needs more clean wins in their own end to help the breakout.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- – Artemi Panarin is pacing the Rangers’ attack, stacking points while tilting the ice at even strength. Adam Fox is joining the rush selectively and producing at a rate you expect from a top-pair cornerstone.
- – Igor Shesterkin has been outstanding, posting a save rate of around .957. That kind of form can erase mistakes and swing both the moneyline and the puck line toward New York.
- – Macklin Celebrini’s early production is real. He’s averaging a point per game pace in a small sample and generating looks from the interior, not just the perimeter—huge for sustainability.
- – The Sharks have amped their shot volume per game the past two outings, signaling a push in pace and intent. That can feed the Over if the back end can’t lock it down.
- – Emotional factor matters: San Jose’s frustration after a tight loss at the Islanders can either lead to a disciplined response or spill into penalties. With the Rangers’ need to reset their home record, expect New York to come out with a purpose.
Last direct match: New York Rangers vs San Jose Sharks
Recent history leans heavily toward the Blueshirts. New York has gone on a long unbeaten run in this head-to-head, including a lopsided road result in the most recent meeting. At Madison Square Garden, the Rangers have consistently controlled the matchup in all three zones, leveraging speed through the neutral ice and clean exits to tilt time on attack.
Performance last 5 matches
- – New York Rangers: One win, four losses. The story is tight margins and a few missed opportunities on home ice. The underlying defensive numbers suggest the dam holds; they just need a bit more finish.
- – San Jose Sharks: Five losses. Better shot creation of late, but too many high-danger chances against have created uphill climbs.
Last match results: New York Rangers and the San Jose Sharks
- – Rangers: Fell at home to Minnesota by a multi-goal margin. Despite that, the first-period push from the Wild was the outlier; New York settled in but couldn’t solve the goaltending enough to flip it.
- – Sharks: Dropped a one-goal game on the road to the Islanders. San Jose actually out-chanced the Isles at even strength, an encouraging sign for their process.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re reading this spot as a “get-right at the Garden” opportunity for New York. The moneyline is expensive, but justified; the puck line brings real appeal because of the defensive split and goaltending edge. Meanwhile, San Jose’s uptick in pace and chance creation nudges the total toward the Over, especially if the Rangers finally break through on the home power play. Our three tips: Rangers -1.5 at -120 for plus-return potential, Rangers moneyline for safety or parlay legs, and Over 6.0 at -110 given the Sharks’ defensive trend and the Rangers’ likely push to the interior. Manage your stake sizes accordingly and enjoy what should be an up-tempo night on Broadway.
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