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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid betting predictions

Liverpool FC vs Atlético Madrid UCL 09/17/2025

As the Champions League kicks off once again, Liverpool FC is set to face Atlético Madrid at the iconic Anfield on September 17, 2025. Both teams are entering the group stage with high aspirations following contrasting fortunes in their recent matches. Liverpool, under the tutelage of their astute coach Arne Slot, comes into this match on the back of a confidence-boosting 1:0 away victory against Burnley. Meanwhile, Atlético, with their tactician Diego Simeone at the helm, recently secured a solid 2:0 home win over Villarreal.

Both teams have demonstrated significant prowess in recent performances. Liverpool, in particular, has shown remarkable form with an impressive run of four wins out of their last five matches across all competitions. Atlético, while less consistent, still managed to remain unbeaten in four of their last five outings. It’s that unpredictability that makes this clash all the more exciting.

In a head-to-head comparison, the teams have been evenly matched, each claiming three victories in their last five meetings. Liverpool has exhibited a dominant attacking style, often averaging a high number of shots on goal, while Atlético leans on its defensive solidity. Ball possession statistics further illustrate the strategic differences between the two teams, with Liverpool boasting a higher average possession, indicative of their aggressive play.

With both teams hungering for an early statement win, and the betting odds reflecting a close contest, it’s clear we’re in for an exhilarating showdown at Anfield.

Curious who’s favored this week? Check out the updated soccer betting odds and make your picks!

Our Betting Predictions for the Match Liverpool FC vs Atlético Madrid

In alignment with the thrilling setup this Champions League opener presents, here are our top betting insights:

Main Tip: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Goals scored

Our primary betting tip: Both squads have showcased their scoring abilities in recent fixtures, and with Atlético’s Simeone-driven defense, known for conceding minimal goals, plus Liverpool’s aggressive attacking stint, this match promises goals on both sides. Caesars Sportsbook provides odds of -143 for both teams to score, a plausible scenario as each team seeks to establish its narrative from the outset.

Get the full breakdown of what Caesars has to offer by reading our in-depth Caesars sportsbook review.

Tip 2: Spread – Liverpool FC +1

Our second prediction: Backing Liverpool on the +1 spread at odds of -250 with BetMGM Sportsbook looks like the safest play. Even if the match ends in a draw, this wager still pays out, while a win at Anfield would only reinforce it. Given Liverpool’s strong home record under Arne Slot and their attacking edge, this spread provides bettors with solid value and a margin of safety.

Tip 3: Correct Score 1-1 Tie

Our prediction: Despite Liverpool’s edge, the inherent resilience of Atlético under Simeone might just split the goals and chances evenly. We’re tipping a strategic 1:1 tie, which comes with enticing odds of +725 with BetMGM Sportsbook. This reflects the potent attacking quality and equally robust defensive strategies both teams bring to the field.

Team News

Both teams come into this match well-prepared yet conscious of the stakes involved in this early-season test. Liverpool and Atlético are juggling injuries and tactical adjustments, but both camps are expected to field their strongest elevens for an explosive encounter at Anfield.

Liverpool FC Performance Check

Under new management by Arne Slot, Liverpool has carved out a compelling narrative of resurgence, highlighted by their disciplined performance in recent fixtures. In their last five matches, Liverpool has averaged around four shots on goal per game with an average possession rate surpassing 50%. This reflects a well-oiled machine, confidently executing a pioneering and dynamic playing style that has disrupted opponents. Their last Champions League outing ended in heartache, losing on penalties against Paris Saint-Germain. However, the team has bounced back admirably, with their Premier League detour against Burnley further cementing their robust competitive form.

How is the Current Performance of Atlético Madrid?

Diego Simeone continues to instill a sense of defensive resolve and tactical acumen in his Atlético side. Recent form shows resilience with two wins and two ties out of five matches, indicative of a team that fiercely contests every ball. On average, Atlético manages a respectable tally of three shots on goal per game and maintains a balanced share of possession, often adaptively depending on the opposition. Their previous match proved a triumph against Villarreal, alongside an unfortunate exit in their last Champions League duel against Real Madrid. Atlético’s strategic brilliance is anticipated to challenge Liverpool comprehensively at Anfield.

Statistics

Last Direct Match:
Liverpool 2:0 Atlético Madrid

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

  • Wins: Liverpool FC – 2, Atlético Madrid – 3
  • Last 5 Meetings: 2 Liverpool wins, 3 Atlético wins

Performance Last 5 Matches

  • Liverpool FC: 4 wins, 0 ties, 1 loss
  • Atlético Madrid: 2 wins, 2 ties, 1 loss

Last Match Results:

  • Liverpool FC: 1:0 vs. Burnley
  • Atlético Madrid: 2:0 vs. Villarreal

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Soccer player shot ball

TrustnBet Final Thoughts

After thorough analysis, our betting tips focus on leveraging Liverpool’s historical home strength and the attacking prowess evident in recent form. A home win at Anfield is our primary tip, with odds favoring Liverpool significantly. Both sides have credible attacks, which substantiates our belief in both teams scoring. The projected 1:1 scoreline reflects an equilibrium in their recent form, giving a nod to Atlético’s defensive tenacity balanced by Liverpool’s offensive push. Betting enthusiasts can value these insights for an informed, thrilling betting experience.

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About the author

I’m Baba Faiza, an experienced betting pro and sports analyst at TrustnBet.com, with over 10 years under my belt in predicting outcomes for Soccer, NBA, NFL, and NHL games. My strong background in Mathematics allows me to effectively apply analytical models and sports algorithms to decipher game patterns and make accurate forecasts. With data-driven insights and a deep understanding of team dynamics and betting markets, I’ve established myself as a trusted name in the industry. Whether uncovering trends or identifying valuable betting opportunities, I ensure bettors are equipped to make informed and strategic decisions.

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