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PSG vs Real Madrid betting predictions

PSG vs Real Madrid FIFA CWC 07/09/2025

The grand stage is set for a heavyweight showdown as Paris Saint-Germain takes on Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. Both European powerhouses have stormed through the tournament with commanding performances, each sitting atop their respective brackets. With high stakes and elite talent on display, this neutral-ground clash is drawing major attention, not just from fans but from the sports betting community eager to cash in on one of the most anticipated matchups of the tournament.

PSG, under the direction of Luis Enrique, has been nearly flawless en route to the final four. They cruised past Inter Miami with a 4-0 thrashing in the round of 16 and followed it up with a clinical 2-0 win over Bayern Munich in the quarters. The Parisians average 1.5 goals per game while conceding just 0.25, backed by a relentless attacking style that produces 16.5 shots per match. Their ability to control tempo, evidenced by a 53.8% possession rate, has made them a tactically disciplined, high-pressure side.

Real Madrid, guided by Xabi Alonso, has carved their path with grit and quality, staying unbeaten through the competition. A narrow 1-0 victory against Juventus and a thrilling 3-2 win over Borussia Dortmund underline their versatility and resilience. Averaging 1.67 goals per game and conceding 0.67, the Spanish giants also boast impressive control of the game with 57.36% possession and 13 shots per match. Their attacking balance and midfield dominance remain cornerstones of their campaign.

The last time these two met, Madrid came out on top with a 3-1 scoreline, fueling anticipation for another edge-of-your-seat clash. With a place in the Club World Cup final on the line, expect fireworks from both camps. For those in the betting scene, this match presents a wealth of possibilities across goal markets, player props, and outright winners. Buckle up, this semi-final promises drama, goals, and big-time action.

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Our betting predictions for the match Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid

Tip 1: Spread Bet – PSG +1

Our betting tip for the PSG vs Real Madrid semi-final leans toward the French giants covering a +1 spread at -250 odds with Fanatics. With impressive wins over Inter Miami and Bayern Munich, PSG has shown both resilience and firepower. Their ability to control possession and limit goals against makes them a solid play. Savvy bettors could find real value in backing PSG to keep it tight or even pull off a result.

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Tip 2: Will Both Teams Score? Yes

Goal View

Our prediction for both teams to score: Given the attacking talents on both sides and their offensive stats, we’re tipping both teams to find the back of the net. Real Madrid has a potent front line that can breach any defense, while PSG’s forwards are in strong form. The odds for both teams to score at BetMGM are marked at the best price, offering an enticing proposition for this likely scenario.

Tip 3: Correct Score Prediction

Our final prediction for a close contest: In line with the abilities of both teams, this match might very well end in a stalemate at 1-1. With robust defenses and strategic on-field management, a low-scoring game isn’t out of reach. The correct score prediction of 1:1 ties offers incredibly lucrative odds of +700 at BetMGM, making it a tempting option for those looking for bigger returns.

Team news

Paris Saint-Germain performance check

Under the tactical stewardship of coach Luis Enrique Martínez García, Paris Saint-Germain has been riding high on confidence. Their recent 2-0 win over Bayern Munich adds credibility to their current form. In four Club-WC matches, they’ve performed commendably with an average of 16.5 shots per game and precise ball control of 53.8%. As they vie for supremacy, PSG’s defense has held firm, allowing an average of just 0.25 goals per match, while their attack remains ever-potent with a scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game.

How is the current performance of Real Madrid?

Led by the insightful Xabier Alonso Olano, Real Madrid enters the fray with no losses in their last five outings. Triumphing over Borussia Dortmund 3-2 in their last showdown is testament to their attacking prowess and composure. Averaging 13 shots per match and showcasing an impressive 57.36% ball possession in the Club-WC, Real Madrid seems poised for another strong performance. Allowing an average of 0.67 goals against, their defense remains a steady fortress, while their 1.67 goals per game illustrates an aggressive offense.

Statistics

Last direct match

In their last head-to-head encounter, Real Madrid emerged victorious against Paris Saint-Germain with a 3-1 win.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

The last five meetings have seen an even distribution with 2 wins each for PSG and Real Madrid, and a single tie, showcasing the competitive equilibrium between these two football giants.

Performance last 5 matches

PSG has notched four victories and suffered just one loss in their recent five outings, whereas Real Madrid holds a record of four wins and one tie, remaining unbeaten.

Last match results Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain secured a 2-0 win over Bayern Munich, while Real Madrid defeated Borussia Dortmund 3-2 in their recent fixtures.

See how the bookies stack them. Explore current Club World Cup outright winner odds and grab value before the lines move.

Fan at soccer stadium

TrustnBet Final Thoughts

Given the dynamic nature of both teams, our betting suggestions are rooted in their demonstrated form and statistical backing. Predicting a PSG win stems from their recent performance upswing and tactical execution by Luis Enrique Martínez García. Both teams’ scoring is likely due to their impressive attacking stats and previous encounters showcasing goal-scoring potential. Meanwhile, the 1-1 tie prediction takes into account their strong defenses and the strategic chess match likely to unfold under the guidance of Xabier Alonso Olano. Each prediction has been crafted with careful analysis and seeks to bolster your sports betting strategy.

About the author

I’m Baba Faiza, an experienced betting pro and sports analyst at TrustnBet.com, with over 10 years under my belt in predicting outcomes for Soccer, NBA, NFL, and NHL games. My strong background in Mathematics allows me to effectively apply analytical models and sports algorithms to decipher game patterns and make accurate forecasts. With data-driven insights and a deep understanding of team dynamics and betting markets, I’ve established myself as a trusted name in the industry. Whether uncovering trends or identifying valuable betting opportunities, I ensure bettors are equipped to make informed and strategic decisions.

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