Wimbledon: Paul vs Kwon Odds, Picks & Where to Watch Live
Tommy Paul continues his Wimbledon campaign on July 1 after delivering one of the most dominant opening-round performances in the men’s draw. The American dismantled Alexandre Muller in just 73 minutes without facing a single break point and now meets resurgent South Korean Soon-Woo Kwon for a place in the third round. Kwon has quietly rebuilt his confidence on grass, winning four straight matches after battling through qualifying, but he’ll now face an opponent playing some of the best tennis of his season. With Paul owning a perfect record against Kwon and arriving fresh from a Queen’s Club final, bettors have several intriguing angles beyond the moneyline.
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Tommy Paul vs Soon-Woo Kwon Betting Odds Outlook
| Market | Odds | Bet Now! |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Moneyline | -833 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
| Kwon Moneyline | +640 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
| O/U | 34.5 | +110 | -135 | Place Bet @ FanDuel |
Expert Picks: Tommy Paul vs Soon-Woo Kwon
Pick 1: First Set Under 9.5 Games
Paul has made a habit of starting aggressively on grass, breaking early and dictating points with his forehand. Kwon now faces a dramatic rise in competition after qualifying, and adjusting to Paul’s pace immediately won’t be easy. An early service break could quickly produce a 6-3 or even 6-2 opening set, keeping this comfortably under the total.
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Pick 2: Tommy Paul to Win 3-1
Kwon has quietly built confidence after winning four straight grass-court matches and advancing through qualifying without dropping a set. That momentum could help him snatch one competitive set if Paul experiences a dip in concentration. Over five sets, however, Paul’s superior athleticism, consistency, and experience against higher-level opposition should ultimately carry him through.
Pick 3: Tommy Paul to Win the First Set
Paul has been one of the quickest starters during the grass season. With Kwon coming through qualifying and already logging more court time, expect the American to dictate play immediately and seize early momentum.
Pick 4: No Tie-break in the Match
Paul’s return game has been excellent on grass, while Kwon has created plenty of break chances in recent matches. With both players likely earning opportunities on return, avoiding a tie-break offers solid value.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Category | Tommy Paul | Soon-Woo Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Ranking | 25 | 200 |
| Head-to-Head | Leads 2-0 | Trails 0-2 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 0 |
| Wimbledon Best | Fourth Round | Second Round |
| Opening Round | Won 6-1, 6-2, 6-1 | Won 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 |
Key Matchup Angles
- Paul leads the head-to-head 2-0 without dropping a set.
- The American reached the Queen’s Club final during the Wimbledon warm-up swing.
- Paul didn’t face a single break point in his opening-round victory.
- Kwon enters on a four-match grass-court winning streak.
- The South Korean advanced through all three qualifying rounds before reaching the second round.
- Paul has defeated several Top-5 players during his career and owns five ATP titles.
- Kwon’s ranking has fallen due to injuries, but his recent form suggests he’s playing well above No. 200.
📺 Where to Watch (US)
- 🇺🇸 ESPN & ESPN2
- 💻 ESPN App (ESPN Unlimited)
- 📺 Hulu + Live TV, Sling TV, YouTube TV, and Fubo
Final Prediction
Soon-Woo Kwon deserves plenty of credit for rebuilding his form and confidence during the grass season. Qualifying for Wimbledon and winning comfortably in the opening round proves he’s capable of challenging higher-ranked opponents.
However, Tommy Paul has been one of the ATP Tour’s most complete grass-court players over the past month. His movement, returning, and ability to absorb pace make him extremely difficult to break down, especially in best-of-five matches.
Kwon may enjoy a brief spell of momentum, but Paul’s superior consistency should carry him safely into the third round.
- Best Bet: Tommy Paul Under 18.5 Games Won
- Value Play: First Set Under 9.5 Games
- Longshot Play: No Tie-break in the Match
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