UFC 324: Sean O’Malley vs Song Yadong Odds, Picks & Livestream
When the cage door closes on Sean O’Malley and Song Yadong, this isn’t just a bantamweight showcase — it’s one of the most bettable fights on the UFC calendar. Two elite strikers. Two violent finishing profiles. And a matchup that almost guarantees action.
O’Malley brings the flash, reach, and sniper-level accuracy that made him a champion. Song brings raw power, pressure, and the kind of forward aggression that has ended fights in seconds. For bettors, this is less about who wins and more about how the fight ends — and how to extract value from volatile markets. Let’s break it down.
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O’Malley vs Yadong Odds & Line Movement (Best @ bet365)
Trends & Line Movement insights: Sharp money in O’Malley fights tends to hit finish markets early. And for good reason, early markets places O’Malley as the favorite at bet365 sportsbook. In 7 of his last 9 wins, O’Malley ended fights by KO/TKO. Song has finished 8 of his last 10 fights inside the distance. Expect “Does Not Go the Distance” to be the most actionable market.
Fighter Form, Stats & Recent Performance
Sean O’Malley Form & Key Stats
- Significant strike accuracy: 60%+
- Knockdowns landed: 11 in last 7 fights
- Career KO/TKO wins: 12
- Striking differential: +2.1 per minute
- O’Malley rarely absorbs sustained damage
- He has been knocked down just once in his UFC career.
Song Yadong Form & Key Stats
- Significant strikes landed per minute: 4.6
- Song has multiple KO/TKO wins
- Power strike rate among the top 10 in the division
- Absorbs over 4.0 strikes per minute
- Song is hittable — and that matters against O’Malley.
Best Bets for O’Malley vs Song Yadong
1️⃣ Fight Does Not Go the Distance (Best Bet)
This is the cleanest angle on the board.
Both men combine for a career finish rate above 65%. O’Malley’s last 6 wins ended by knockout, while Song has seen 8 of his last 10 fights end inside the distance. With both averaging high strike volume and minimal grappling, this profiles as a finish-heavy fight. Anchoring a bet slip with “Fight Does Not Go the Distance” is smart, especially with odds around +150 at bet365.
2️⃣ Prop Pick – O’Malley by KO/TKO
O’Malley’s reach, timing, and counter-striking make him tailor-made for a pressure fighter like Song. Song absorbs over 4 significant strikes per minute and has been knocked down multiple times. Over 70% of O’Malley’s UFC wins are by KO/TKO, making this a highly probable outcome. At bet365, odds for O’Malley by KO/TKO are competitive, ideal for parlay inclusion.
3️⃣ Totals Pick – Under 2.5 Rounds
Fast starters. High output. Low clinch time.
O’Malley averages a finish before Round 3 in most of his wins. Song’s pressure style forces early firefights. In combined fights between them, 12 of their last 16 wins ended before Round 3. This is a tempo fight, not a patience fight.
4️⃣ Value Bet – Song Yadong by KO
If Song wins, it’s almost certainly by knockout.
He has only one decision win in his last 9 victories. O’Malley, while elite, has been hurt before by power punchers. At +250 or better on Bet365, this is a classic hedge or plus-money stab for bettors seeking upside on a riskier play.
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How to Watch O’Malley vs Song Yadong Live in the U.S.
- Streaming: ESPN+ PPV
- Coverage: Prelims on ESPN / ESPN2
- Catch-Up: Full replays on ESPN+
- Main Draw Broadcast: ESPN+ Pay-Per-View
O’Malley vs Song Yadong Final Prediction
This fight will be decided by striking — not grappling, not control, not judges. O’Malley’s reach and accuracy should allow him to pick Song apart as Song pressures forward. The danger is real on both sides, but the cleaner striker usually wins these matchups.
- Method of Victory Prediction
- Sean O’Malley by KO/TKO
- Round Betting Prediction
- O’Malley wins by knockout in Round 2
🎯 Pro Bettor Tip: Use finish markets and totals for the highest value — the moneyline alone underrepresents the explosive potential of this matchup.
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