US Open 2025 Semifinal: Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz
The 2025 US Open semifinals set up a generational clash as 38-year-old Novak Djokovic faces 22-year-old Carlos Alcaraz. Djokovic, a 24-time Grand Slam champion, continues to defy age, while Alcaraz, world No. 2, is chasing his second US Open title and sixth major overall.
From head-to-head history to current form, we break down the key stats, analyze the odds, and explore the best betting markets for this clash at Flushing Meadows.
Recent Form – Djokovic vs. Alcaraz
Novak Djokovic:
Djokovic advanced to the semifinals with a 6-3, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 win over Taylor Fritz. Despite some tense moments, Djokovic’s experience and composure allowed him to navigate the match efficiently and secure his 53rd Grand Slam semifinal appearance.
Carlos Alcaraz:
Alcaraz reached the semifinals with a commanding 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 victory over Jiri Lehecka. He has won 35 of his last 36 matches in 2025, demonstrating dominance and consistency on hard courts. His only recent loss was to Jannik Sinner in the Wimbledon final.
Head-to-Head – Djokovic vs. Alcaraz
| Matches Played | Djokovic Wins | Alcaraz Wins |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | 3 |
- Djokovic leads 5-3, including wins in their two most recent encounters.
- Alcaraz has proven he can challenge Djokovic, but the veteran still holds the psychological edge in key moments.
Betting Odds & Predictions
Match Winner Odds (@ bet365):
- Alcaraz – Slight favorite due to current form
- Djokovic – Underdog, relying on experience in high-stakes matches
Prediction: Alcaraz in four sets. Djokovic’s experience may allow him to take a set, but Alcaraz’s form and momentum give him the edge.
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Betting Markets to Watch (@ bet365)
- Total Games Over/Under
- Over 37.5 games – (-120 ODDS)
- Under 37.5 games – (-120 ODDS) ✅ Recommended
Alcaraz’s aggressive baseline play and consistency make a four-set win likely, though Djokovic could extend several service games, keeping the total moderately competitive.
- Match Spread (Games)
- +5.5 Djokovic at -125
- -5.5 Alcaraz at -110
Alcaraz is expected to win comfortably, but Djokovic’s experience and ability to push games make the spread a viable betting option.
Correct Score Betting
Our Pick: Alcaraz 3-1 – Djokovic may win a set, but Alcaraz’s momentum, current form, and head-to-head edge make a four-set win the most likely outcome.
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Prediction Summary
- Winner: Carlos Alcaraz
- Set Score: 3-1
- Game Totals: Total Games Under 37.5
- My Best Bets:
- Alcaraz to win 3-1
Expect a high-quality, competitive match with multiple momentum shifts. While Djokovic’s experience is formidable, Alcaraz’s current form makes him the slight favorite heading into this semifinal.
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